this Great Clip coming out from tour deer and our boy Marty B over at T tftc this is what I've been saying you know I I've been kind of joking about it on the show that maybe you know maybe the Cycle Theory is kind of running its last course I think we will still see Cycles the next four years but the way tour breaks this down it just goes to show that this next year might be a little crazier than we think it is and it could be a prolonged bull bull market prolong Last Leg
of the bull market and this is going in I could have probably put this as a title because tour says within the span of two years Bitcoin could hit $1 million now before you call this crazy and hopped up on hopium let's hear how T explains this for you guys and how he's seeing that maybe this cycle isn't going to play out like the 2021 cycle it might not even play out like the 2017 cycle this time might be different and we might be going all the way back to a 2013 s Bull Run so
let's listen to this so anyway long sorry what's going on over here you're playing it I can hear it oh you hear it all right it's coming through my computer story short to just okay okay yeah I don't know what's going on let me let me change send me the link I got it I got it hold on so anyway long story short to just say that you know rather than predicting how high it's going to go I I I want to say maybe there's you know psychological fuel in the tank for like a twoyear
like real bull market and um and then the fact that we're starting with such a big push right now in the beginning makes me very very bullish it reminds me of like 2013 where like people thought like oh damn like it's going like we were to like 10 bucks in 2012 and then we went to like 30 which was the previous all-time high and then it just like zoomed past that and we went to I believe, 1400 right actually no we went to 270 in the spring of 2013 oh my God and then it declined
it went down to 80 bucks and people thought it was over and then that in a span of just a few months we just went back on the horse and by the end of the year 2013 we were at 1,200 bucks so like from 10 to 1200 100x in uh 2 years time you know so the fact that we we have we we have so much going on right now it makes me very bullish and it so it makes me think like maybe this could be one of those two-legged like there's going to be a
big fake out and then we just keep steaming forward and so all within a span of two years yeah we could we could hit a million bucks like it's weird to say but uh it's it's almost like only a 10x from here really okay wait wait let me let me show the chart let me show the the old chart here so people can visualize now now you go Nico go no no no I this is great I'm so glad you played this because this is like Monday morning hopium bullish to the V to the vein
okay I've been telling you okay so what you guys are seeing for anyone who's not familiar like those are the cycles and in terms of return right so obviously the first cycle what tur was describing full 452x then the second cyle the second cycle which 2017 did 100x then the third cycle which was 2021 did a 20x now I have a theory about the third cycle and I'm going to keep reiterating that effing Theory I think it was cut short I know Czech M disagrees with me on this but I'm sticking to my guns I
think it was cut short by the China ban and the sell pressure from those miners that needed to sell Bitcoin to relocate to a more favorable jurisdiction I think it was an attack on the Bitcoin price by the CCP I do not think it was a coincidence um call me a conspiracy theory call me whatever and then you can sprinkle in the FTX debacle that happened now what has that caused Bitcoin does the exact opposite of what everyone thinks and what I saw in the 2021 cycle was everyone thought everyone in their mother thought this
thing was going to hit 100K guaranteed back in 2021 mind you and the the the whole plan B and the you know the whole thing right the whole nine yards it didn't do it and we went back to 16 everyone got surprised everyone was let down it was it was a big letdown of expectations so what I'm seeing this cycle is the common theme that you get on bitcoin Twitter is the expectation that Bitcoin is going to hit 100 to 200k that's it when everyone in the room is telling you what Bitcoin is going to
do Bitcoin does the opposite now that could mean to the downside and that could mean to the upside technically we could have hit the all-time high and we could be heading into a bare market and it would make sense because no one is expecting it Bitcoin does the opposite of what everyone what everyone expects so what I personally believe and I've been seeing this pattern over like the the the entire year and the thing is we don't remember what this feels like anymore this has been a long time so I'm class of 2016 I remember
the 20x 20x in one year that happened in 2017 a lot of you guys were minted that year right you guys became bitcoiners that was your class and I remember that year like it was like yesterday it was gnarly right in 2021 we didn't get that and everyone was like chasing the dragon of 2017 like they thought they were going to get that same you know kick but they never got it so you know we're we're heading into 2025 the stars and planets political situation regulatory situation Wall Street situation nation state situation it's all effing
aligned it's all aligned but we all forgot what a a a rip feels like like we've had little baby rips but we all forget what a 2017 W feels like and the problem is that when you when you forget what that feels like you're like I'm going to sell at 200 I'm going to sell at 150 I'm smart as [ __ ] and I'm gonna buy when this bad boy goes down to 70 CU I'm a genius and this thing just goes rips to 500 leaves you in the dirt and you're like oh my God
why did I do that that is what Bitcoin does right like if everyone thought they were smart as [ __ ] trading this thing you know everyone would have a lot more Bitcoin than they do it's it's incredibly hard to ICT where this thing goes but I will tell you I'm not I'm not an OG like tur I haven't been here since 2013 I class was 2016 but I see the signs he sees I see the same thing and you know a lot of people were saying Nico the bull market it's cancelled it's over you
know when we were in the 60k region I'm like no we're going to hit you guys could go back and check the shows I'm like we're going to hit 100K by the end of the year I was like very confident in that and we're on the cusp of that now what you're going to try to tell me sit across the room right and just like use common sense right cuz Bitcoin has not broken from its from its previous cycle patterns right you're going to look at me straight in the eye and you're going to be
like Nico Bitcoin breaks 100K in 2024 so the year before the having right and the year of the parabola which was the year after the having which historically has always been the most explosive bitcoin's history we're only going to 2x I don't believe you I just don't believe you now am I going to trade on this information probably not am I going to do anything off this information no is this speculation 100% but I'm telling you what my gut feels like I'm I'm see what tur is saying is not that crazy cuz it's true it's
only a 10x now it's it's a crazy 10x you know like a million dooll Bitcoin where at 100K you're like Nico it's all going to happen next to you bro what the [ __ ] um and I'm not saying that it will but I'm telling you I I would be it would be disappointing for me if Bitcoin only hit 150k next year from where we are right now we're at 95,000 if all of next year 365 days of Trump's first year in office micro strategy proving the Bitcoin strategy giving a middle finger to all the
other traditional you know wealth manager people and then on the nation state level you have nimu Kell just again giving the middle finger to the IMF saying ha I told you so and now you're going to look at me straight in the face and you're going to say Nico we're only going to 150 I like I'm sorry you know and again it's unbelievable because we forget what this feeling is like we haven't felt this in Bitcoin in a really long time last time we paid our dues we survived 2017 we survived 2018 no 17 was
a party we survived 2018 we survived 2019 2020 we're like oh my God it's like you think you're like okay it's over I need to might probably need to get a job and then wakata but it it wasn't a wakata it was like a AI you know it was like it was Tiny it was like a little like you know thank you for hodling but the party is starting it's 2 a.m. Vibes are cooling but you know just they closed the party up too early that's what 2021 felt like so we don't know know this
feeling from a bitcoiners perspective we haven't felt this in a very long time and I think that's why you know this upcoming thing if Bitcoin follows its historical patterns could be potentially bullish and I I I could be reading the tea leaves here it could be totally wrong and this is speculation and don't trade on it just St humble Stacks ATS but I'm telling you OPI do am I crazy am I the only one feeling this way or seeing this a [Music]
