After the Cold War, the world was not as close to the Third World War as it is today. With time, the Ukraine-Russia war is not stopping, but the situation is getting worse. Now Russia has attacked Ukraine with a new hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile.
And President Vladimir Putin has said on TV that Moscow will continue to use its new arsenal. There is a reason for this escalation Ukraine attacked Russia with 6 US and UK made long range missiles. America has not given Ukraine permit to carry out deep strikes in Russia The agreement was for defence, but now America has permitted Putin has said that this is not a regional conflict, but a global confrontation.
Zelensky has said that Putin has escalated the situation. Putin has made a mistake. He has called troops from North Korea and now he is fighting them in Ukraine So Russia is the one doing the escalation and globalization.
Both sides are not ready to reconcile after 33 months of war. And now President Biden has started to put the fuel to the fire Russia has also started to play their cards hoping that Trump will not support Ukraine when he will come to power in January. Russia has also launched a revised nuclear doctrine.
What is this new nuclear doctrine? What are these new hypersonic weapons? Why is Biden escalating the situation?
Why are we witnessing the beginning of a global conflict? All this in today's episode. [subscribe and press the bell icon] 6 Jan 2021.
. . this was the day when Trump supporters climbed and attacked capitol hill Their goal was to reverse Trump's loss and prevent transition of power process 5 people died, it is seen as a dark day for American democracy But, after 4 years, the game has changed.
The seat which Donald Trump did not want to vacate, the American people have again chosen him and sent him back to the White House. We have made a video on this new election result. How did Donald Trump win?
How the Democrats beat themselves? You can watch that episode Before the election, everyone was afraid that if Trump loses again, the results will again not be accepted riots will break out, and fire will spread But no one paid attention to the fact that if Democrats lose, they can also do something bad Well, a week ago, what no one had thought of, happened. Before leaving, US President Joe Biden did that.
With his one step, fire can spread not only in US but in the whole world His one reckless decision has triggered such a chain reaction that can turn into an all-out nuclear war at any time. . .
let's see how. To bring peace in Ukraine has been a core election promise of Donald Trump He met President Zelensky before election He told Zelensky that he will end the bloodshed that has been going on for 2 years Donald Trump promised to get peace as soon as possible. Trump talked to Ukrainian President on phone after winning elections.
According to reports, talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin have also been held on the phone. A process seemed to have started to somehow end this war. But then Joe Biden, who has been counting his last days in the White House, He made a very big decision about Ukraine Ukraine has been given permission to use long range missiles in Russia.
Now Ukraine can use American missiles not only for self-defense but also for attack in Russia. Ukraine has been asking for permission from Biden for a long time. Zelensky said that if Russia's critical targets are not attacked, it is impossible to win against Russia.
Zelensky said that unless you destroy Russian launchpads, Russian military targets, Ukraine will continue to be attacked and Ukraine will never be safe Biden did not give him permission to do so. Because it would be seen as a significant escalation against Russia. And it could also start a war against NATO.
Russia can announce war. Biden himself had said many times that he would not allow Ukraine to attack Russia with American missiles. Because he does not want a third world war to start.
What happened that after losing the election, he gave Ukraine this significant permission. Is there no tension of the third world war? Is that worry not troubling now?
Has the reality changed? Has Russia become quiet? Will Russia not see this provocation now?
Or is all this done to increase the difficulties of the Trump administration? That the plan that was being made for peace should be destroyed, so that no peace talk. Many analysts believe this.
Today, 9 countries have nuclear weapons. Russia has the most, then US, China, Pakistan, India, France and UK. Israel has significant stockpiles but they don't officially declare how many weapons they have.
North Korea has also increased its nuclear arsenal. Finally, Iran has been trying to make a nuclear bomb for years. Some reports say that they have the capability but no official clarification.
It is important to understand why Russia's escalation is so dangerous. The yield of Hiroshima bomb was 15-kilo-ton and today it can be as high as 200-2000 kilo-ton. Imagine a bomb that can be so powerful and can cause so much destruction.
Such bombs can not only kill people or cities but can also destroy the entire world. Radiation fall out and can have an impact on the entire earth, agriculture, climate. When a nuclear explosion occurs, you see a chain reaction inside the bomb.
similarly, a chain reaction occurs outside the bomb. In global politics, this is called Mutually Assured Destruction or MAD. According to this principle, if a nuclear launch is carried out from one side, retaliation will be carried out from the other side.
This means that one mistake, one wrong calculation can destroy everything All major cities, economies, environment, this can be an extinction level event of the whole world. If it goes wrong, there is misunderstanding, mistakes happen. And this has happened in the last decades, especially during the Cold War.
Almost all nuclear powers follow a doctrine that prevents the sudden use of nuclear weapon Biden's permission to use long-range weapons is a trigger for a chain reaction. Putin has also officially updated his nuclear policy. Within a few hours of Putin's updated doctrine, Ukraine launched long-range missiles in Russian territory for the first time.
This ATACMS is in the category of short-range ballistic missile in conventional sense, but in the eyes of Ukraine, it is comparatively long-range because it can hit targets 300 km inside Plus, it is a ballistic missile. It has such a high warhead carrying capacity, payload delivery, speed, everything is more than a conventional missile. Along with this, Ukraine also used UK-made long-range storm shadow missiles, which are launched from aircraft.
But using ground-hugging technology, they destroy enemy targets while avoiding the radar. Russia has declared this usage of missiles from Ukraine a new phase of war. New phase or nuclear phase .
. . the proof of this will be found in Russia's nuclear doctrine It is a set of policy that determines the situation in which a country will use its nuclear weapons.
India's doctrine states that India will use its nuclear weapons only in retaliation of a WMD attack. In simple words, we will use nuclear weapons only in retaliation of a major attack. Russia introduced its nuclear doctrine in 2020 Russia made it clear that it can use nuclear weapons against conventional attacks also, if Russia's critical targets are hit Russia's nuclear doctrine has been updated.
It was written that nuclear weapons are a deterrent. If another country threatens Russia, then Russia can use its nukes New specific conditions are added in new version Russia can use its nukes not only as a deterrent but also as a means of using it more broadly. Let us understand.
. . Russia can use nukes if Russia or their allies face conventional attack , or their sovereignty is threatened So if attack is on Belarus, Russia will consider it as an attack and can use nuclear weapons.
It is also written that if any non-nuclear country, like Ukraine, attacks Russia with the backing or support of a nuclear power, i. e. UK, France, America, then Russia will consider it a joint attack and can take nuclear response on it.
It means that it can attack UK as well because they supplied the missile Russia can also counter a retaliatory nuclear strike. It can counter a military target with nuclear weapons. Russia can use its nukes if ballistic missiles against Russia are used Especially in the case of Russian military facilities Worrying thing is after this doctrine, Ukraine launched US missiles on Russian military targets So, technically, there is nothing stopping Putin.
He can press the nuclear button So, according to this doctrine, Putin can launch nuclear weapons against Ukraine and the US or NATO. But some experts say that Russia will not do this now. This is a drastic action for him.
Russia will also try to save its reputation. Because, as we told you earlier, nuclear war will ensure MAD, Mutually Assured Destruction But the situation has become very delicate. Before the missile attack in Ukraine, countries like Sweden, France and Norway were distributing pamphlets about do's and don'ts in nuclear war and disaster.
And in Russia, nuclear bunkers were being built. So, strange madness has spread, the fear that was seen during the Cold War. After the attack of Ukraine, the US also shut down its Kyiv embassy that Russia will attack it too and will launch missiles So, a state of nuclear war has been created and the trigger is completed by Ukraine After the blessings of Biden uncle, by launching long range missile Now, the whole world is watching with a heavy heart, what will be Putin's next step?
Will he escalate this? If on one hand, NATO and Western allies are condemning Russia's advance towards nuclear war, on the other hand, Russia's core allies Belarus, North Korea, Iran, Venezuela are already condemning US missile approval. And they are also making their place in Russia's camp.
For example, North Korea, which itself calls itself a nuclear nation, is already participating in this war. Zelensky confirmed that North Korean soldiers are in Russia and are in direct combat with Ukrainian troops So, it is not a local war or regional war. So, it is not a Russia vs Ukraine or Russia vs NATO conflict.
Russian allies are also involved in this. Iran is supplying drones and weapons to Russia. Iran is now close to being a nuclear power according to latest report.
Iran's top advisor confirmed on Tuesday that it can become a nuclear power in a few years. Official confirmation is pending. But Iran's nuclear program has been going on for years.
Secretly, it is trying to become a nuclear power for decades Donald Trump may also be behind Iran's nuclear program. Trump has always been anti-Iran and vociferously pro-Israel. Now, his new team has such strong anti-Iran and pro-Israel people.
. . them coming to power means anti Iran rhetoric will increase And Trump camp is also talking anti-Palestine.
So, Iran's nuclear posturing should be seen more from Trump's eyes. A nuclear situation can emerge. Iran, North Korea, Belarus and their allies are openly supporting Russia.
On the other hand, NATO nations are still supporting Ukraine. They are saying they will support . .
. They are nuclear powers. America, France, Britain.
But the interesting and worrying thing is that the states and nuclear states in Russia's camp These are not democratic nations but authoritarian ones. Not the people but leaders are controlling the policy. .
. . all these authoritarian leaders control the nuclear button and weaponry They can take decision like press the nuclear button without opposition check and balance, without answerability Democracies in support of Ukraine will have to answer Biden and Sunak failed in elections because they couldn't handle the situation of Ukraine Trump will have to answer if he continues Biden's policies.
Trump promised peace not war but Biden has played a card game that has ruined the peace making ability of Trump. Trump's incoming team members have also criticized Biden's decision. America has transition period after the election and before the new president's swearing-in At this time, Biden did not need to take any special decision but he has taken it and it has become a matter of concern And on the other hand, the concern for Russia is that Vladimir Putin has used this Interim Range Ballistic, Hypersonic Ballistic Missile for an offensive combat.
Remember, even during the Cold War Ballistic Missile always was a deterrent. So, a worse situation than cold war is forming No trust, no back channel talks If this situation escalates, it will have a global impact on you and me.
