yo what's up guys it's Noah here and in today's video going to be talking through some player props I like on prize picks for today's NBA slate on Friday March the 7th I think we have eight games tonight I believe yeah eight game slate for Friday so decent amount of games decent amount of props to choose from guys I do have three early plays that I like taking a first look at the board on Thursday night I am recording this video the night before I'm recording this video around 1:30 a.m. like late Thursday night so
you know going to have to get into the get to the bed soon get some sleep but I did want to put out this video before I went to bed since there are props available right now I mean we do have props up for like for already you know six games so got three plays guys we're going to break these uh break these down and talk through why I like them now before we do get started make sure you guys hit that like button down below if you enjoy these prospects videos hit that subscribe Button
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our plays so hopefully you guys did tell we took Quinton Grimes over four assists which hit he finished with five assists it was very sweaty it was way sweater than it should have been cuz Grimes I was watching the game Grimes had like I want to say he had like seven potential assists in the first half and he only converted one of those he had one assist at halftime but then in the second half he racked up a bunch of assists finished with five and then we took Carl and the towns over 11 a half
rebounds which also hit K got into uh into some early foul trouble he had two fouls and like the first two minutes of the game it was not looking great after that but uh he came through for us I think he finished with like 13 or 14 rebounds game went to overtime but luckily it's you know still hit before overtime so went two and0 on our two picks on Thursday also went 4-0 on the four plays that we gave out over on patreon so a really really good day on Thursday let's see if we can
keep it rolling guys and go 3 and0 here on on these three picks for Friday so first prop that I like for Friday is going to be a first half prop so go over to the NBA 1H stat type over on prize picks and there's a first half prop I'm liking and we're going to take Jared Allen for more than five and a half points in the first half so pretty low line here on Jared Al given the you know matchup here against Charlotte I mean this is one of the best possible spots going up
against a Charlotte team that just you know has historically been a great match up for centers Charlotte not a great team around the rim you know defensively they they're a team that'll definitely give up points in the paint and this season they're top 10 in points allowed to centers now if you look at Jared Allen's last five games he has only gone over this in three out of five but man if you look at the two two matchups where he went under they were both terrible matchups he had to face face Miami a team that's
historically been really tough defensively on centers you know because of B out of bio and then against Boston I mean that's just a terrible matchup all around Boston one of the best defensive teams in the league but he's had some big game you even against Orlando kind of a tougher match up six points had eight points against Portland had 10 points against Chicago I think this you the Chicago game I believe was without Evan Moy but still it's a great matchup here for Jared Allen it's a matchup he's had a lot of success in this
season for what it's worth these teams have already played three times this season and in those three games Jared Allen has had 10 points nine points and 15 points in the first half so he's been super productive against Charlotte this year this game does have a lot of blowout risk so I think that's another reason why I kind of like his over on first half points instead of his full game points prop but honestly if you want to take more than 11 and a half points for the for the full game I kind of like
that as well like I like both these plays on Jared Allen I wouldn't be surprised if you see both these lines get bumped a point or two um because I think this is a really good spot for Jared Allen Jared Allen thrives in matchups like this where he can score around the rim off dunks off Aly oops and that's what Charlotte is going to give up a lot of you know yusf nurkic not a great defender Musa di diaba not a great defender like this Charlotte team just doesn't really have any good defensive bigs that
can slow down Allen here they're going you their team they'll give up points off pick and rolls which him and Darius scarland like to do they like to do those pick and rolls which sets up Allen for Aly oops for dunks I like this spot a lot for him I like him for more than five and a half points in the first half if you want to take 11 and a half points for the whole game totally fine with that as well other prop I like is on the other side of this game we're going
to take a Points Plus assist prop on youus of nerit we're going to take use of nurit for more than 10 1 12 points plus assist now we did talk about the blot risk in this game that's one thing that does concern me a little bit here for nurkic but this is the front end of a back toback I do believe for Charlotte I'm pretty sure Charlotte plays uh plays on Saturday I think they do have a game on Saturday um yeah they do have a game on Saturday against the Nets and I think that's
why we saw we're seeing Mark Williams sit this game so Mark Williams is ruled out for today most likely he'll play on Saturday we saw a similar scenario to this um a couple weeks ago when they faced the Kings I believe it was the front end of a back toback or like the back end of a back toback I think it was the front end nkit started that game played 27 minutes Mark Williams did not play that game and then the day after that they they ruled out nurkic he sat that game the day after
that and then Mark Williams played so I think I think we're going to see nkit start playing pretty full minutes here and then he's most likely going to sit and not play their game on Saturday so even if this game does turn into a blow out I still think we're going to probably get like 23 24 minutes from nurkic and if the game's competitive I could see him playing like closer to 30 minutes last time he did start um when the when they were on the frontend of front end of a backtack and they sat
Mark Williams on December 2 or December on February 24th they faced the Kings and in that game nurkic did play 27 minutes had 12 points three assists for what it's worth in the three games he started this season 12 points and three assists nine points and seven assist nine points and one assist and you the game he went under he only played 16 minutes ner which his minutes were pretty they were keeping his minutes low when he kind of first joined the team but they kind of started to ramp up his minutes a little bit
and without Mark Williams here I think we're going to see nurkic play like upper 20s and minutes even if the game's will blowout I think he'll still play like 22 to 24 minutes and nurkic has been super productive when he's been on the floor with the Hornets I mean if you just look at his game log this season he had 10 points plus assists and only 16 minutes he had seven Points Plus assists in only 18 minutes 16 in 19 minutes he had 16 in 16 minutes he had 15 and 27 minutes he had seven
in 15 minutes and he had two in 12 minutes the game he had two was against Minnesota terrible matchup now this matchup against Cleveland is probably not the best overall but nurkic is still a guy that can score around the rim he's a guy that they you know with lamelo ball with him and lamelo ball running a two-man game lamelo is so good at getting his big men set up for Aly oops you know in the in the right spots and nerkish to still be able to get some scoring in this matchup but the reason
I do like adding Points Plus assist here for nurkic is because nurkic has had a pretty good facilitating role with the Hornets he's actually averaging six potential assists per game since he joined the Hornets and he's averaging about three and a half assists per game the prop that I wanted to take on nurkic was over 2 and a half assist but it got taken off the board you know before I could even start recording the video so I had to kind of pivot to find a new prop and the one that I pivoted to was
Points Plus assists cuz I'm totally fine taking this as well look nurk has just had a really good role when he's been on the floor he's a guy that can facilitate he's been a decent facilitator throughout his career typically you when he gets six potential assists I would bet on him getting like three or four assists more times than not and if he gets like three or four assists to go along with like you seven or eight points obviously that's going to be enough for him to go over this Points Plus assist line minutes should
be pretty strong here I like I said I think there's a very good chance nkit starts this game plays like 25 to 28 minutes and then he rest on Saturday when Mark Williams will be back because Mark Williams is sitting out this game so he he can play Saturday so do like this play on nkit expecting a decent role here even in a tougher matchup I like him for more than 10 and a half points plus assist and then the third and final prop that I like that we're going to break down in this video
excuse me is going to be a uh points prop so we're going to take a look at a points prop on um hold up let me find it it was on Nick Richards so we're going to take Nick Richard I was liking his eight and a half points I was also liking his 17 and a half p and I'm kind of debating between the two I think I'm going to lean P I was originally going to take points but I think I think I'm actually going to lean p on on Nick Richards but honestly I
like both the props here on on you know Nick Richards either more than eight and a half points or more than 17 and half p as you can see his P line and his PR line are the exact same so if you're going to take one of these you might as well take P you know Nick Richard is not a guy that typically gives you many assists but if he gets at least one assist it's going to make the you know p a better bet it's already a better bet anyway cuz they're the exact same
line so we're going to take Nick Richards for more than 17 12 PR and let's talk through why I like this prop on Nick Richards so Nick Richards minutes have started to creep up a little bit now since he's been with the Suns his minutes have not been secure by any means like we've seen Nick Richards some games play you know 26 28 minutes we've seen some games he gets benched and plays like 15 minutes like he's had a couple games where he played less than 20 minutes but as of late the minutes have started
to be more secure you you look at his last four games 31 minutes 29 9 minutes 25 minutes 23 minutes when Nick Richards has played at least 23 minutes with the Suns he's played at least 23 minutes in 12 games he's gone over this P line and nine out of those 12 games this is a spot going up against the Nuggets where you would think Nick Richards is going to be needed you're going to need some size out there to guard yic now obviously if Nick Richards has to guard yic that's going to bring some
foul trouble risk and I'm totally fine you know that's already baked into this line to begin with if as long as Richard's a avoids foul trouble here I feel fairly confident he's going to play like 22 to 24 minutes I guess the Suns could like they could go small and try and play like ball bowl at Center they could try and let Mason plumbley guard you know guard Nick Richards but I think Richard's minutes are fairly secure here as long as he avoids foul trouble and when Nick Richards has been on the floor he has
been able to produce at least from you know a scoring and rebounding perspective he's been really really good on the glass since he's been with the Suns he's averaging just over or he's averaging nearly 18 rebound chances per game and he's averaging nearly 10 rebounds per game with the Suns and we've seen the the Nuggets give up big games to centers this season I think the nuggets are top 10 I think in points allowed and rebounds allowed to centers they also give up a lot of points in the paint the Nuggets do like joic he's
good defensively but he's definitely taken a little bit of a step back this year like we've seen centers be able to have success against this nuggets team so I actually do like this matchup a decent amount for for Nick Richards is just can he avoid foul trouble that's kind of the big cons you know question I'm willing to B you know play that you know play that risk I guess in this spot especially with his line at 17 and a half we've seen Nick Richards be able to crush this line when he gets you know
minutes and last time they did face Denver I think it was back in like February he did play I Believe 22 minutes in that game um let me see yeah they played on February 8th he played 22 minutes in that game he had five points and nine rebounds so he wasn't like the most productive game from Richards but like I said when he's played at least 23 minutes this season he's over this line In N Out of 12 games it is worth noting that game was kind of a blowout they lost by 17 I would
be interested to take a look at the rotations and kind of see if Richards like if he got benched like late in the game um I'm actually going to take a look at that real quick so that game was on February 8th so let's take a look here so let's go to where is it there it is so Nick Richards in that game he started the game played about 7 Minutes in the first quarter and then he subbed back in with about um 9 minutes left and he played about six minutes so he played I
mean he played about 14 minutes in the first half Richards did and then yeah it looks like he played about nine eight nine minutes in the third quarter and then didn't get any minutes in the fourth quarter and that's definitely the risk is when the suns are trailing when they get behind if they're down by like 15 points heading into the fourth quarter that's the concern because they will play small ball they'll try and space the floor get more shooting on the floor when they're TR trailing and playing from behind but this is a game
that does have a relatively close spread um and the suns are playing at home as well so I think that makes it you know a little bit more likely this game is competitive or no Denver is playing at home excuse me so Denver is playing at home here it does have a seven and a half point spread but like I think as long as this game is within like 5 to 10 points heading into the fourth quarter we can kind of expect Nick Richards to get that fourth quarter rotation he typically gets benched in the
fourth quarter when you know like I said the suns are down by like 1520 and they're just trying to get more shooting on the floor so they you know put more spacing out there but when it's a relatively competitive game and Nick Richards are playing well sometimes he'll get like 28 29 30 minutes he's he's shown a bigger minutes ceiling lately they've been playing in more minutes lately the matchup against Denver I think is actually pretty good it's just a matter of can he avoid foul trouble here going up against joic but I do like
this spot I'm willing to take the risk on Nick Richards here going to take him for more than 175 P so these are the three props guys that we're going to roll with for this slate on Friday we're going to take Jared Allen for more than five and a half points in the first half Yousef nkit for more than 10 and a half points plus assist and Nick Richards for more than 17 A2 P you guys are telling me here on these three picks let's see if we can keep it rolling we went 2 and0
on Thursday let's see if we can go 3 and0 on these three picks for Friday as always guys appreciate you watching make sure that you hit that like button down below if you did enjoy this video hit that subscribe Button as well and be sure to go check out prize picks if you're not signed up for prize pick yet use that promo code Noah when you do sign up and when you play your first $5 lineup on prize picks you'll get $50 in promo funds instantly added to your account so check them out if you
have not yet but good luck tonight guys thanks for watching as always enjoy your uh enjoy your Friday night guys enjoy your weekend and I will see you guys in the next video peace