if you're a cryptocurrency investor then you're 99% likely to lose money in 2025 sorry about the bad news but that's because most investors are not paying attention to the market cycles that are at play one minute your portfolio is adding extra zeros every time you refresh it the next the markets crashed and you've lost all your gains that's a very familiar story for a lot of people who've been around for a few Cycles you don't want to be like most investors you want to be a bit contrarian so in this video I'm going to break
down the market cycles for you where we are right now to help you plan man ahead unless you've been living under a rock of course then you'll know the crypto Market is currently in a bull market yes true prices are going up most of the time anyway which is extremely dangerous if you don't know what you're doing at this point you're highly likely to fall into the Trap of foming into the market when it's pumping thinking that you're a genius without a plan for what comes next but the harsh truth here is that you're not
a genius it's simply that the market conditions are right and the cycle is doing what it always does remember what goes up will at some point come down often dramatically so much quicker than you expect so what do we mean by market cycle well the cryptocurrency market has historically moved in fouryear cycles and each cycle has four stages accumulation growth bubble and inevitable crash remember when the cryptocurrency exchange FTX collapsed back in November 2022 that signal the bottom of the previous cycle so Bitcoin dropped 77% in value during the bar Market with alt coins way
further than that a lot of coins went to zero even the big coins like salana dropped 96% all the way from 250 bucks down to like 8 n bucks at the bottom that was of course the time to buy low if you had the conviction when everyone else was scared running for the hills say was going to zero remember the Warren Buffet quote be fearful and others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful so that was 2022 rough year and markets in general 2023 was the accumulation phase which saw Bitcoin bounce back in a
big way wiping out most of the losses by the end of the year bring us of course into 2024 where we had Bitcoin ETFs approved initial pump up to 74k Big consolidation phase breakout Beyond 100K now bitcoin's price was up massively in 2024 in case you living under a rock driven by the having event and the ETF hype okay now only 450 new Bitcoins enter circulation every single day thanks to that Bitcoin having 50% less than before April those us Bitcoin ETFs are gobbling up Supply like crazy we have corporate option country ad option fomo
across the board collectively ETFs have bought gargantuan like 77,000 Bitcoin just in October loone which is 5.5x the new Supply entering the market so what do you think comes next well if history repeats we're going to be heading into the massive bubble phase during 2025 okay this is what you need to prepare for but before I talk about how your emotions can either make or break your portfolio in 2025 I want to take a quick second and let you know about today's sponsor which is it trust because one of the biggest ways that you're going
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overlay bitcoin's price with the psychology of a market cycle and oh they're so close almost identical sometimes that's because financial markets are driven by fear and greed and Bitcoin is just a pure representation of that isn't it at the end of the day psychology is what moves markets not necessarily the movees the news itself it's our reaction to the news right so to avoid buying high and selling low you have to control yourself you have to be a bit contrarian you have to stay sane when the markets get crazy and the Euphoria and the greed's
going to be so hard to deal with during a cryptocurrency bull market investors go from feeling hope to optimism to belief to Thrill and finally Euphoria when bitcoin's price reaches its peak then during a crypto bar Market investors go from feeling complacency to anxiety to denial to panic to capitulation to anger depression who allowed this to happen I'm so angry ra and that's all over I lost of my money yeah that'll be you unless you sell by the way and finally of course disbelief when Bitcoin starts to make a recovery crypto Market starts to make
recover and everybody starts getting rich again as you can see there are a lot more negative emotions that you'll feel along the journey and most of the time crypto markets are actually not breaking out to new highs and all that stuff there a lot of pain and suffering in in markets in general making it even more important to not get caught out so what you need to realize is that your emotions are usually a good inverse indicator of what you should actually be doing when you're feeling fearful you shouldn't be selling instead you should be
brave enough to buy assuming of course you actually manage your funds well and have cash on hand when you're feeling greedy you're a genius looking up houses to buy a Monaco and stuff you shouldn't be buying more you should probably be selling okay you have to have the courage to sell you have to have the responsibility towards your future self to sell and take some damn profits now before you make any investment decision of course make sure to check in with your emotions to stop yourself from making any irrational decisions that you may regret later
on so how do you know when the bubble is about to burst and it's time to sell and run for the hills well as you can see the top of a bubble comes when there's eventually a call for a new paradigm of whatever Finance money metaverse gaming whatever okay in crypto land these tend to be big bold claims like bitcoin's going to a million this year when talk shows can't get enough of you know stuff like Paris Hilton and Jimmy Fallon when they were talking about nfts back in January 22 you need to be on
lookout for these extreme dramatic and over-the-top signs that the market is way overcooked and we've got a video coming soon we haven't released it already about uh top signals to watch Force to go watch that video but anyway if you're caught up in the Euphoria of it all you're not going to see clearly going by how things feel right now we're not even close to this point yet by the way Google searches for Bitcoin are rising but nowhere near insane levels and outside of CNBC the media attention is really only just starting to begin again
when like Jimmy Fallon launches his meme coin that's a you know probable top signal for the market so there's still a long way to go here but when the market moves it moves fast and it also ends fast remember the smart money institutional money will be the first to sell and leave leaving essentially retail investors like you to hold the bag someone's got to hold it they want it to be you don't let it be you if you don't have a plan made yet an exit plan then you're going to be someone's exit liquidity okay
so Now's the Time to make your plan because they actually make money in crypto you need to hit the sell button you need to you need to Guys these things are wildly volatile and will collapse massively in the bare market so know what Market signals you're looking out for know what cryptocurrencies you're selling how much of them you plan to sell because the end will come the end always comes and I love the bull market the bull market is fantastic it's very exciting everyone's getting rich all the time yay but it'll end it'll end way
F faster than you think it's going to end so have a plan remember failing to plan is plan to fail I'll see you in the next video