Trading Under 2.5 Goals - What Traders Don't Know! (3 Tips!)

this video is all about trading under two and a half goals on betfair which should be one of the easiest ways to trade football yet people often find it the hardest so i'm gonna give you three profitable tips that should help you start making money when you're trading under two and a half goals go grab yourself a nice cold beer or a smirnoff ice and let's get into it so if you are someone who has struggled to make it pay when it comes to trading under two and a half goals on betfair then i think the tips i have lined up for you in this video are going to be very very helpful and i also have some live demonstrations as well to demonstrate exactly what i mean recorded on the betfair interface so i think this video should be very very helpful for you but if you are someone who is quite new to trading under two and a half goals you might be wondering why we like to trade that market specifically and this is the reason here it is because it is very easy to know the price direction of under two and a half goals i mean we know that once the match kicks off as long as no goals are scored the price is going to move in this direction and if you are a trader then you know that trying to work out the direction of a price is one of the big battles and well half the battle is one when you're trading under two and a half goals because we know it's going to move in this direction just as long as no goals are scored now if a goal is scored yet it's gonna move against us drastically however think about it football matches average two and a half goals per match so you're only likely to get caught out by this two and a half times per match so you just need to be in the market and avoid the goals okay so we just need to get in get out maybe stay in for five minutes 10 minutes 15 minutes make our profit and then get out and just avoid the goals basically not to say we can always avoid the goals but that is kind of the battle when you're trading under two and a half goals just trying to get in and out the market as quickly as possible not being exposed uh when a goal is scored so i'm going to give you a few tips which i really really think will help with that but before we do that i would love it if you could click the like button and show your support for the channel also keep in mind that youtube doesn't really like to suggest trading videos so if you press the like button it helps you to get more trading videos suggested to you in future and then you don't miss a thing and while you're here if you just want to cut to the chase and just see all the very best football trading strategies demonstrated before your very eyes then do check out my free football trading strategy class this is not available on youtube if you do want to see it you have to click the link in the description of this video get through there and then you can see pretty much all the best strategies demonstrated one by one including under two and a half goals and the best ways to trade that market okay it's absolutely free so if you haven't done it already make sure you do it asap click the link in the description of the video and click through there and then check it out like i said it's not on youtube so tip number one i can give you when it comes to trading under two and a half goals is to be a contrarian and to go against the markets and go against what everyone else seems to be thinking i see a lot of people trying to trade under two and a half goals by researching matches where they're trying to find matches where it's probably gonna finish under two and a half goals because they found matches between two teams which hardly score goals however you have to think about it and it's more likely more than likely that the markets are aware of this as well and it's heavily priced in to the price on under two and a half goals so you see a lot of people will back heavily odds on on under two and a half goals and then they're just looking to trade out because obviously we know the direction that the price is going to move in however you're not really gaining that much of a big profit and you're probably staying in the market much longer than you should in order to to make any sort of significant profit so you're much better off being a contrarian looking for matches where everyone's expecting goals but you've kind of got a read on the match where you think it might go it might get off to a slow start it could be a bit scrappy maybe the weather's not great or you really think that the underdog could uh defend well and frustrate the favorite in the early stages at least because obviously when we're trading under two and a half goals we're not having a bet on it we're not in there for the whole match we're just in there for short periods usually at the start of the match so that's what you have to keep in mind you could have a match between uh man city and stoke i don't know why stoke just came to mind but it could be man city against stoke and you're not you're not trying to predict whether that match is gonna finish under two and a half goals because we're not having a bet what you might want to look at is whether man city do like to start matches slow whether stoke are a strong enough team to defend strong in the early stages or are they a team that crumbles quickly and concedes early on those are the types of things to look at okay but overall you want to be a contrarian on the market you want to look at the matches where the markets are expecting goals but you have a feeling that the goals are going to be slow to arrive that's pretty much our fault as traders of under two and a half goals and so moving on to tip number two and that is to let the market guide you when you are trading under two and a half goals i see a lot of people get involved in the under two and a half goals market and they're kind of just hoping for the best okay they will back under two and a half goals and then they won't follow the match but even worse they won't follow the markets now what you can often see happen on the under two and a half goals market is the market can go static depending on the uh the actual in play action now when this happens you don't want to be in the market you don't want to be in the market at all in fact you're better off just abandoning the trade you want to be in the markets when the markets are moving fluidly and they are ticking down steaming in and sometimes they even steam in faster than expected and those are the markets you want to be in when you're trading under two and a half goals and it is pretty easy to see and obviously i do have some live demonstrations coming up a bit later but you want to let the market guide you you want to get in the market and if it's moving fluidly stick with it if it's not looking great and the markets are getting a bit static don't just stand there and crush your cross your fingers hold your breath and just hope for the best you need to take action you need to get out which kind of leads me onto tip number three and it's very very similar to that and for tip number three it is to be flexible okay always be flexible and look to try and race profits whenever possible when you're trading under two and a half goals okay so as as mentioned if the markets are going static then that could be a good sign to get out but if they're moving fluidly that's a sign you want to stay in but if the match is very slow scrappy dull or the the favorite is looking a bit frustrated or there's no goal attempts then you could stay in for for for longer than anticipated a lot of people who trade under two and a half goals like to just stay in for the first 10 minutes but if you get to the first 10 minutes there's been no shots on goal it's been very slow and the markets are moving fluidly then why not stay in for another five minutes and try and race those profits okay we all kind of know our worst case scenario when a goal goes in and it could be a 40 loss on our stake well if you're aiming for say 10 profit why not try and aim for about 20 or 30 or something like that and move the risk award ratio in your favor and you can do this by being flexible paying attention to the action and the markets at the same time and just trying to squeeze out some extra percentages of of of profit because there are some times when you're getting involved trading under two and a half goals you are a little bit nervous but you end up cashing out too early when really there was a great opportunity to stay in uh longer and make a bigger profit and it all adds up in the long run but anyway i'm going to dive into some real life demonstrations of exactly this where i take these three tips into account for the for the actual trades that we're doing and uh yeah it's gonna be good if you've got anything to say if you've got any suggestions about trading under two and a half goals if it's a market you like if it's a market you don't like if it's one you succeed at let me know in the comments if there's anything you agree with in the video anything you disagree with healthy debate is always good but anyway let me know in the comments is the under two and a half goals market a market you like to trade it's very interesting to know it is a bit of a marmite market from from the sounds of it anyway but anyway let's dive into some real life examples so you can see exactly what i mean so we're going to get involved in this match from the bundesliga to hamburg against karlsruhe and under two and a half goals is 2. 6 so over two and a half goals 1. 61 so that means the markets are expecting goals and if you just look at the recent form hamburg at home decent amount of goals flying around there and when cars go away it is a similar story so all indications suggest that there's going to be lots of goals in this match okay but we're gonna be the contrarians okay if we were just having a bet on this you might want to bet looking for goals but as a trader we're just looking to be in and out and this is a pretty generous price on under two and a half goals so there's a lot of ticks for us to win and as traders that's what we're looking for okay we're looking for the ticks so let's just use a 100 pound stake and we're gonna back under two and a half goals and we're gonna back it there at 2.

6 and get involved in the market and so we're just going to show you an example where we're just going to use the the same tips we spoke about in this video we're being contrarian as you can see we're going for we're backing under two and a half goals in a match where pretty much everyone is expecting goals and then once the match goes in play we're gonna be flexible and we're gonna let the market guide us so anyway let's see what happens it's just about to kick off i'll give you an update once we're underway so as you can see we're 10 minutes in and under two and a half goals price has dropped to 2. 24 as you can see remember we backed it at 2. 6 so it's quite a nice move already within 10 minutes we used 100 pound stake we could lock in uh pretty much 13 okay but we're going to let it go we're going to let it keep going because as mentioned earlier on look we're being contrarian we're getting involved in a match where the markets are expecting goals so we're utilizing tip number one but we're also being flexible because i'm ready to exit this trade if this match suddenly starts to warm up and so far it hasn't shown any indication of that there's been two goal attempts both of them are off target neither of them enough insignificant so it's been a very boring scrappy start which is exactly what you want and that is also causing the odds to move uh smoothly okay the market is moving fluidly as you would expect on under two and a half goals it is ticking downwards just like we want so if i click on that you can see it is coming down so as mentioned earlier on we want to let the market guide us if this market starts to go static at any point that's probably our cue to get out but while it's moving fluidly and the and the action on the pitch isn't really up to much we're just going to stay in let's just stay in a little bit longer and see what happens so 17 minutes on the clock and it's probably time to exit now because hamburg are starting to get a hold of the game they've had a few more goal attempts they're now starting to dominate possession so probably that is our time to exit and as mentioned earlier on this is the time to be flexible and i just started to notice i think the markets were starting to stall around this 2.

06 point um as you can see we're trying to get 2. 08 match let me just have a quick look and just show you the chart anyways it was ticking down so if you kind of look closely where the arrow is you can see that it's starting to get a little bit static around this point okay so that's the markets not moving fluidly or as fluidly as we like because the action on the pitch is starting to warm up and so when that happens it's just going to be harder for us to improve our profit or to gain even more ticks so usually that's a good sign to get out of the market and then take what we have and as you can see we can leave it over 52 pounds three bets on under two and a half goals or we could lock in 25 pounds and be done with it okay and as you know just to keep it simple in these videos it's exactly what we're going to do right here i know the beginners like to do that so as you saw that was an example of exactly what we spoke about in the video being contrarian we were prepared to be flexible and we were letting the market guide us okay the market started to go a little bit static and you can see it's still hanging around that 2. 02 2.

04 it's not moving as fluidly as it was earlier in the match and so we are flexible enough to walk out and uh take the profit at that particular point so anyway uh 18 minutes on the clock nil nil and we've made a 25 pound profit 25 return on our stake so this is barcelona at home to granada and yeah we're going to be trading under two and a half goals in a barcelona match and a lot of newbies would look at this and just be like well you're absolutely crazy there's going to be loads of goals and all that sort of thing however these matches are actually some of the best and remember when you think about what we spoke about being a contrarian everyone's expecting goals in this one and if we can well getting get involved in a market and then let the market guide us and also let the in in play action guide us as well then we could make some low risk profit okay if we if the match starts fast barcelona come out the gates look like they're going to score really quick and the markets go static then you know what we just exit the trade before uh the inevitable goal arrives but there's a bit of a sluggish start we could see a very very fast drop in the price and that's what we're going to look to profit from in the first 10 to 15 or even 20 minutes depending on how the match starts okay so yeah that's what we're going for in this one very high price on under two and a half goals three point nine over two and a half is one point three free to back so yeah yeah this is uh as crazy as it gets but anyway the match is just about to start i'll give you an update once we're underway so we're like seven eight minutes into this now nil nil barcelona granada and the price on under two and a half goals is dropping pretty quickly now into 3. 2 okay and we could uh take that 18 profit right now if we wanted but uh no reason to just to get out just yet zero goal attempts from both teams barcelona 93 possession as you would expect nothing uh nothing strange there but no goal attempts and i've got the stream there playing as well and it's just been a bit of a slow start but i'm gonna give it a few more minutes and then we're gonna look to take what profit we can but so far so good we're being contrarian we're letting the market guide us it is moving down fluidly and we're following the live action and we're ready to be flexible if barcelona really start to turn it on okay they do have a corner let's see what happens from there but you can see here from the chart it's moving fluidly it's exactly what we want okay so in a few minutes we should look to get out with a profit on this one so just hit the 12-minute mark pretty uneventful start barcelona really struggling to get going in this one so far so that's good for us trading the unders okay we're gonna exit out the market and uh let me just put in an order to now lay under two and a half goals remember we backed it at three 3. 9 pretty much and now we're going to look to exit 2.