we should be optimistic not because we have less problems but because we have more capacity to solve them this is important we don't want to live in a world where open AI for example is the Tyrell Corporation that's kind of what open AI is becoming if you haven't noticed they're inventing digital reality digital simulations digital humans the key question is no longer if and how something can be done but why we should do it anything can be done that's the answer you want to upload your brain to the internet you can do that now it's
kind of expensive but here's the question why we should do it and who can we trust who's in charge who is Mission Control for Humanity good morning namaste and so on it's great to be with you today uh I'm honored to be in such an illustrous crowd of Engineers and scientists and IBM leaders uh I am of course myself not exactly a scientist um I started in the music business about 30 years ago I was a musician and producer I went to the internet business I wrote a book called the future of music which Spotify
is based on today and I found out that I had this kind of knack for understanding the future you know for seeing what's coming not in a sort of prediction way but just in a way of understanding what might be next I like this one because I'm kind of in it you know I told Chad GPT and Deli to make a picture of the future of Dubai uh and it made this you know it's a pretty cool tool uh and you can tell it to do all kinds of things and then I said well preparing
for this event you know I should use AI just to kind of show what's possible and what's not you know and I did quite a bit of work on that and so I came up with a few ideas and one great tool that I use a lot is translation so what's happening with the future as I like to say it's no longer about this idea of prediction but is to be better prepared this is important predict in the future is difficult I think it was possible maybe in the 50s to some degree but now that
it's like exponential like 10 years from now you know what's going to happen 10 years from now it's the end of oil right I mean talk about crazy the shift to renewable energy maybe nuclear fusion some people are saying 10 15 20 years the end of cancer in 20 years longevity you know my kids that are 30 years old they will live an average to be 100 years old unless something funny happens right so it's really about this that it's to be better prepared so I took the sentence and I asked the AI to help
me out to address you so okay that's me speaking Arabic you know if you speak Arabic I don't think it's perfect but I did understand one word must which is you know the teacher R but then I figured I should stretch it further I don't know you speak Hindi I'm I'm sure some of you do was it reasonable yeah I I hope it didn't say anything really funny but and the interesting part is it can actually do it in my voice and you know now I have a pretty big busy YouTube channel I have a
thousand hours of video or so and now people are saying can you just please make sure you have more Hindi speaking Keynotes and we translate them and it turns out it's sometimes pretty bad but German and Spanish is good it's it's a it's a good tool right so it's useful for this this teaches us one lesson about AI right do the stuff that you can live with if it's not perfect that's a good lesson I call it intelligent assistant so what if the Spanish is not so good it's better than nothing right uh it's not
like I'm going to do mission control for NATO aircraft here you know that's that's a different story so when we look at this future I'm I have prepared nine points for you today I hope I get through them Point number one the future is better than we think you know the future today has a bad reputation it's kind of like New York City in the 70s yeah the future can be amazing I mean the stuff we're inventing is true mindblowing nevertheless people are saying well in the future yeah it's kind of like you know the
planet is wilting the doors are closing and you know in Europe there's about 70% of people Millennial age know 30 that say they will not have kids because the future will be terrible my own kids tell me this I should think about having kids because the future would be any good okay well if we look at the facts of course you know ultimately there's two different scenes that we're seeing around the world in different ways of looking at statistics and of course at the news on the left uh we have all the bad news and
I have his friend Kevin Kelly at w magazine who says something very important about this he is a futurist of course he says we should be optimistic not because we have less problems but because we have more capacity to solve them this is important right we think about the problem there are 70 elections in the world this year in India in America of course in Indonesia was just wrapped up and a lot of problems will come from this of course but do we have capacity to solve we have capacity to solve of course practical things
that is already a very good start right so 10 billion people feeding 10 billion people but look at the statistics here if we look on the left you know some people are saying well artificial intelligence means automation which means less jobs so on the left we have this this statistic shown 236 million people might be unemployed in China because of Automation and Ai and the pretty nasty story when you read the rest of it on the right hand side we have a statistic also from Gardner and Goldman Sachs showing that all technology has increased the
propensity for new jobs the directly opposing in a way you could say so which one will it be right we have on this side showing that how we failed with climate change we have negotiated for 40 years on climate agreements and here is the curve the PPM the particles per minute they keep going up and up there's not a single hiccup not even Co that is a dent in this curve I mean that's pathetic right but on the left we have a curve that's showing what's really happening all so is that we have the possibilities
of disconnecting global warming emissions from the growth of GDP we can grow without emissions if we do it right not completely without emissions so the idea of degrowth you know I think that's a difficult sale for most people is to not grow not have kids not expand right so this is happening we have capacity to solve so I say the doors aren't closing they are opening and if you've ever been in therapy with your husband or your wife or your kids most likely right you find that the when the doors are really closed nothing happens
you go somewhere where you find a solution and then a tiny door opens like a little small door and I and then boom there's a new world right or not depending how open you are this is where we are today we have wars we have geopolitics we have climate change we have artificial intelligence we have a race to the top there I mean good things and bad things right but the doors are opening climate change is a door that's opening towards the green economy the biggest door in the last 100 years World economic form sells
100 million new jobs in climate change can you imagine and yes of course the oil industry doesn't really like the idea I mean look where we are right think about this for a sec it's a painful change but it's a good change AI is a painful change guess what machines are no longer stupid okay that's what it comes down to machines are not smart like us they're not intelligent like humans I'll talk about them in a second they're just no longer stupid that makes a very big difference biotechnology being able to reinvent materials based on
on biology and geoengineering and all these kind of things so I say we have all the tools what we need is the tell us the wisdom it's funny when you look around today you can say we have all the tools we could apply to solve these issues we've chosen not to do that the first thing we do when we vent artificial intelligence at the first thing the commercialization of course was the military right we go out and we build drones that can kill by themselves I think there's other things that we can do with these
things we have to rethink the opportunity that we have here at that basally number two three door openness okay when I say big blue I don't mean IBM even though that's obviously confusing but I'm talking about technology right so there three door openers coming and they are going to change every part of the world a digital Revolution which is not just artificial intelligence right now it seems like it is right the second one the sustainable re Revolution changing how we do energy how we deal with pollution how we grow things what we eat everything and
this all going to happen in the next 20 years the third one is the purpose Revolution that is a revolution about what matters okay in my age you know people of that generation you know it's primarily about profit and growth and you know doing well now we have a New Generation many of you are in that generation the Millennials Gen Y there's more things that matter than this tiny universe of profit in growth right people Planet purpose so remember those three things big blue is about holistic thinking you will not be successful in technology unless
you think of the consequences the side effects the opportunities the challenges right we have to think a little bit further than we used to because technology is so powerful now me think about this for a second Facebook 10 years ago most of the advertising was on Facebook meta today right didn't really work today it works so well that their profile about you is deeper than the NSA that's because of progress we have to think holistically big green is about circular thinking thinking about the larger story and big purple which I borrow from Indian methodology purple
meaning of course in the chak the inside the people and that is of course all coming together and that is changing the way that we look at the future in material ways as is stiring us away from this old Obsession about one thing the bottom line right I guarantee you if you continue in One Direction of saying if we make good money it's fine no matter what happens that will kill us we did that of course with gas and oil go we had to drive we had to have factorism so that was the consequence now
similar things are happening with AI right we have to think about how we would serve the quadruple bottom line people Planet purpose to really make sense the age of extraction oil companies gas companies and of course social networks right because they're extracting the data from us you same thing that's closing and now we have a the age of creation the most powerful human age we can use these power tools to truly create anything that's the scary part anything we want so the key question is changing I'll talk about that in a second but really what
it means now the Millennials are coming right let's say bald Park 25 to 40 they're inheriting money from their parents they're shifting in power they're taking over politics and in many countries the women are coming the diversity is coming and that will change everything you know that about 80% of people who graduate from college around the world are now saying they would never ever go work for an oil and gas company because it's a crime Zone then it's akin to a crime that's there I'm just quoting right I mean okay so when we think about
this now many colleges are saying that oil and gas companies can no longer come and recruit there cuz clearly you know it's it's not popular so that's changing the entire equation what do you think is going to happen in 2030 when we have a 35y old prime minister of a country Like yinda Ur used to be in New Zealand or other countries making decisions on the future of the country big blue technology to help right big green on top of that big purple people that's the agenda it doesn't matter what religion or what part of
the world you're from because that is the ticket to a successful future so digital revolution of course has four pieces I won't bore you with that because you know all of that but this is why we can safely say today you're worried about jobs Information Technology biotechnology energy technology and AI which is not a technology is a research field right but let's put it in the same similar bag there people are saying the next 100 uh unicorns billion dollar companies they will be in climate technology Battery Technology agricultural technology food technology the ingret I mean
plenty of jobs there just not the old jobs here's one bottom line is very important depending where you're from if you work like a robot a robot will take your job and if you learn like a robot you will end up working for the robot and I can't tell you how many people around the world today are learning like robots this is pathetic right because we go to school we put this information in here fine and later we say oh case study 47 right but none of that works it's all pretend what really works is
creativity resilience imagination intuition Ingenuity things that are sometimes hard to learn at College you know that you learn them sort of inadvertently really kind of on the side but here I would say can we have a good future I would say totally yes we can but do we want to technically speaking we have the ticket we can solve water food energy space travel Communications we're getting to be live older in the west except for America for some reason we're increasing our Lively span by onethird of a year every year think about that for a second
we're all going to be 120 that's 60 years on the cruise ship you know if you're if you're not just kidding not forget the cruise ship but as we're looking in this direction is really clear the next 10 years will bring more change than the previous 100 years and it's not just because of AI six King making technology of course IBM is involved with most of these so uh cloud computing Quantum Computing nuclear fusion genetic engineering geoengineering these are all like very large stories if they work then we have the ticket and it seems likely
most of them are any kind of working so it's really really powerful stuff this one cognitive Computing as IBM used to call it I think I'm not sure that's still being used but the thinking machine and a machine that can actually learn and that is the biggest change in our lifetime AI is really a general purpose technology now it's going to be used everywhere and AI is also the next Computing platform as we heard this morning supp post cell phone and cloud and Mainframe of course AI is a Computing platform now you see what's happening
to Google for the first time ever there is serious competition for Google because of something that they invented themselves the Transformer technology and now ai people are saying well why why do I use Google I can just you know say Hey you know who should I get married to and your AI will give you instant advice this is actually very real in India that's a different story but so on top of that we have virtuality in virtual reality in different ways the metag glasses the Apple glasses so not only can we actually get all the
information of the world and make sense out of it we can also go into it right now it's $44,000 you know it's little bit unaffordable for Africans for example but you know we have to use our imagination Henry Miller said one's destination is never a place but a new way of looking at things this is what I would like you to learn today a new way of seeing things I'm not talking about you know taking pills or wearing your glasses but a penny drop moment a realization in genetic engineering and of course bio bioengineering and
nanot Technology put them all together here we have this huge field that basically says we can invent things that used to be in nature now we can engineer them or vice versa for example Airplane Fuel spider silk you see over here meat in agriculture artificial meat you know it sounds disgusting right but I have tried it and there's a lot of investment in this in 10 years a lot of that meat from the lab parenthesis yeah half sort of fake vegan you could say yeah this will become one tenth of the price of regular meat
which is already pretty cheap in some places right and for example Airplane Fuel will be able to fly on airplanes without kosene without Airplane Fuel that's a tall order you know that's a very big shift that we have to take there another example of course is the climate right basically right now we're Shifting the mega Challenge from economics that's the challenge until now to climate what good does it do to have great economics and economic gains and growth of GDP when the planet is crashing I think everybody realizes that's kind of an odd proposal so
I'm going to create a world where my kids can live in a sort of you know contained compound that keeps them safe from everything else because they have the money everybody else does not this is a strange scenario with rich people buying their bunkers in New Zealand and you know yes strange but Solutions are here the climate technology development curve in the next 10 years I mean look at this basically here the next 100 unicorns prision agriculture battery storage climate F Tech fuel cell EVS nine boggling today if you have an electric car you know
can you can if you're lucky on a lucky day two 300 400 kilometers if you drive fast you know it's not that far or if God forbid it's winter right but okay in 5 years 1,000 km in 8 years 4,000 km in 10 years once a year to fill up we think about that for you know this is leaping technology this is basically happening everywhere so all that stuff is really really powerful Green is the new digital if you haven't realized this this is the number one opportunity for the application of technology is to fix
the M that we made so green is a new digital in many ways you could say sustainable is the new profitable cuz now stock markets are looking saying how these guys actually care or do they just make money are they just another version of aramco or meta or do they actually care are their future fit that is the key question this is how people are going to look at the share price of IPM not what you promise to do and what your promise is about the technological future but whether you care whether you actually there
to do the things that have to be done so in this curve it's really amazing the next decade by 2030 data everything Cloud everything Network everything smart everything not intelligent in a second sustainable everything that's the curve and that's the mission that's the ticket right that's those are your customers and so the real question is we will have all the tech and the science but will we have the teos will we have the wisdom to deploy it will we make the lies the right political decision today $2 billion are made in profit every single day
from the oil and gas industry that pays for a lot of things imagine if we shifted that money over and the subsidies of oil and gas to green I mean the world could explode in Innovation and this is what's going to happen everybody's pulling the plug on this this is of course why this entire region is in such a turmoil to reinvent and to think of new ways of doing this point number three techn techology alone is not enough not to disappoint you given that most of you are engineers and technologists technology is great but
technology alone this world made with Dal where we can exist in a composed world of technology it could be entertaining yeah yeah clearly I'm a geek I like this kind of thing right but then we have our friend Marg Andre one of the most famous investors in history who invested in Twitter Facebook many others he wrote a Manifesto called the Techno Optimist Manifesto you should read it where he says basically we should get out of the way of technology and just let it go forward and stop inhibiting it and just take the benefits here's a
quote no material problem including those caused by technology cannot be solved with technology okay go to Silicon Valley right this is really interesting it's like a social study on the one hand I would say yeah I'm kind of agree on the other like no that's just not true Israel Hamas Gaza Ukraine Russia the UN you know we're going to solve that with technology no there's no such thing technology solves practical problems it doesn't solve cultural problems if we want to have a good future it takes a bit more than technology you know we're not going
to say well we're all idiots so we're going to get an AI to be the President right yeah you know toaster for president but logic alone is not enough I mean a world like this where we think about the brain so to speak intelligence only I mean there's a lot of mapping in history right people with huge intelligence destroying the world countless examples of that we need a bit more than that to create the good future we found that out in in social media social media was a one point a super powerful tool a blessing
now it's a curse it's toxic basically well we're still using it I just kind of a strange thing I stopped using it but so Mark zerber had to apologize to the US Congress the senate for leading a company that makes Instagram this is what happened there's families of victims here today have you apologized to the victims I would you like to do so now well I'm sorry terrible knowing actually go through the things that Europe have okay imagine the CEO apologizing for what this company does for business that's kind of a strange a little bit
tiny embarrassing right let's hope we can spare this here for ourselves but the financial performan is mindboggling I mean they make more money than aramco the Saudi Arabian oil company look at the curve the red curve right if we're going to live in a world where doing bad things makes good money that won't work and that's ending I think meta and also aramco are companies that do things that we can safely say are poisonous right that's ending that won't work anymore it's timing out and as good as uh Zuckerberg talks about his possibilities right we
don't want to live in a world where open AI for example is the Tyrell Corporation if you know history of films you know Black Blade Runner right the number one film period the first Blade Runner of course not the second one you know 1982 uh the Ty Corporation is the one inventing the digital humans the replicants that's kind of what open AI is becoming if you haven't noticed they're inventing digital reality digital simulations digital humans this is what the co says the coming change is impressive of human capabilities the phenomenal ability to think create understand
and reason that's what he wants to build to which I would say that's very ambitious and you know I understand why you're saying that but why do we want this I want a machine to get the job done I don't want the machine to reason to question me to try to understand my emotions or to fake a response to them I think it's potentially quite dangerous we have to think about where this is going we have to apply our tellers and say why do we need a machine that can think and reason don't we just
need a machine that can drive a car fly an airplane build a bridge do they have the reason for that I think this an important question when we think about the future so Bas number four the key question is no longer if and how something can be done but why we should do it this will F fundamentally change your future at IBM anything can be done right that's the answer you want to upload your brain to the internet you can do that now it's kind of expensive but you know in 2030 you can you can
put your body on ice and wake it up again you know 100,000 years later you can already do that cost a million dollars yeah but all these things are becoming possible control the computer with the brain computer interface so here's the question why we should do it and who can we trust who's in charge who is Mission Control for Humanity in many ways you could say IBM is a bit of a piece of Mission Control right in in a practical sense right so with that comes a lot of responsibility this thing from 10 years ago
you know can we do something is too expensive if and how yada yada yada this a engineering thinking right like we can solve the problem but this is a question of direction of purpose of you know the the different Outlook of tell us why why are we doing this and what is the outcome is the outcome going to be more money for those that run the platform or actually Global benefit and how do we do that that question is larger all those Technologies Quantum computing and uh genetic engineering are you know large things that will
shape our world pretty much forever so here's the thing it could be heaven or it could be hell right and this is has nothing to do with technology technology I mean I can I can take a hammer and go kill my neighbor or I can build a house we don't regulate hammers right but when technology is super powerful like nuclear technology then yeah we do have to s about how we can find a way to actually make this work because here's the challenge technology doesn't understand why we have considerations of the emotional kind you know
the kind that computers don't understand that is our main part of our lives and technology has no ethics and I would say always technology by itself of course you know it's a machine it does not understand when you say I like or no doesn't W just that but technology companies must have ethics right cuz we're making the reality happen with things that are happening and this is why I support the UN initiative of the United International artificial intelligence Council I call it the iaia the international artificial intelligence agency not that making more agencies would be
the ticker to a lot of things right but hey you got to start somewhere I think this is a really good way of looking at that number five when we build AI let's think about competence this is your business case that is of course also the case for the safe future why do you want to build a business case about machine Consciousness like machine Consciousness means that we are going to be the second most intelligent species if machines have Consciousness some people say it's actually AI alien intelligence right because if we have a machine that
has more power than we have we are number two number two is not doing so well in most cases Marshall ml famous philosopher says it's the framework that changes with technology in the 70s that was not just the picture this is the framework right AI is now a general purpose platform it's hard to call the technology it's everywhere printing press fire internet chip Computing AI is that big and it isn't going to be like the like Bitcoin or the metaverse sort of you know talk again about it next year right the shift from the GUI
the graphic interface to the Nei the conversational Network we're going to speak to computers we're already doing that this is a very very big deal as we're shifting into this world from graphic interfaces to conversational AI here's an example of conversational AI e main AI pin it's a standalone device and software platform built from the ground up for AI engagement comes through your voice touch gesture the laser ink display Play the song how music makes you feel better well the date how much protein these almonds have 15 g of protein oh you get the point
this is called you. AI uh the release was delayed of course this is very complicated um reality of that is probably more promising it's supposed to be $699 for this and it's supposed to work offline too so you can speak to it as if you spoke to a person that's the idea we're a little bit far away from this but okay so here's the reality this is our Human Experience when we do this what happens like 500,000 things happen when we do this as humans we feel things we smell things we have Sensations we remember
things intelligence is the ability to solve problems and will machines have intelligence that can solve problems the answer is yes solve problems some problems in certain situations Consciousness however is the ability to feel things it's called a different cup of tea and if I can do both then I got the perfect combination I can have a machine that can have an unlimited ability to solve problems and I can feel things and we can put them together that's Consciousness right that's what the machine is supposed to be doing in Indian philosophy again we have four different
kinds of U emotional intelligence booty discriminative facility Manas chitt and aam Cara this is four different kinds of intelligence that machines don't possess machines are processing by thereby they don't exist just because they're process right they process information it's a binary situation so this is about competence not Consciousness because in the end really what's happening here is that we have to say well algorithms know the logic of everything but the feeling of nothing I think they could know the feeling of something but of course it would be a simulation it wouldn't be real so this
is a big problem because humans have 95% of our Lives is the opposite it's not about the algorithms it's about the andr rhythms as I called the human things right feelings emotion compassion intuition imagination right that's how you do business because people like who you stand for that's how you do everything very important fact to remember as we're moving into this curve we will have assisted intelligence everywhere we have some automation which is overhyped but yes we have augmented intelligence do we really need autonomous intelligence I can guarantee you for the IBM business you probably
won't because a won't work okay that's kind of a problem B to roll out the practical application of This Means superseding ourselves I have vote for pursuing IIA intelligent assistant you know making machines understand things to help us do our job better to work with us to augment us and not necessarily think of it beyond that too much of a good thing can be a very bad thing alcohol cigarettes food tobacco right yeah we have problems yeah do we make alcohol and cigarettes and food illegal and some countries yes but you know generally we find
rules around this rules about how we make this work that's the rule a standard just like we have with everything technology like the i e has been doing for you know 50 decades to come up the standards that's what we need for AI so that Bas Point number six humans are not machines organisms are not algorithms to where I put your right a little asteris saying if they are we certainly wouldn't know how to gauge it today for today's purpose I think this is very true we are actually quite different than machines if you're look
at the biological intelligence versus digital intelligence we have a situation where basically it's the binary logic of computing that may change with Quantum the cloud right uh that kind of thing all of a sudden becomes something else right it becomes basically on The Human Side something much more amorphous emotion imagination Consciousness now if you're going to send your kids to school in the future where would you send them to the human school or the technical school well of course if you could do both that would be fantastic right but we're going to make a lot
more choices to send our kids to the human school because everything else they can acquire in this process right or vice versa you know it's all about a mix of those two things that's going to be really important for the future as we're going to the Future like this Sora from open AI is an app it's not public yet but I got some videos where you can actually do a text prompt and it will make a 60-second video for you from historical footage so here Sora was told to make a western town and then another
app called 11 apps made the sound reinvented the sound of the motion picture soundtrack you know all done like 12 [Music] seconds well get the point here this was made by an AI there was no photography involved no licensing of images no right and they made the sound I mean mindboggling right now when you watch the next one what this one is quite interesting it's the monkey the prpt was show a monkey that plays chess now do you notice something on the chess board there's Seven Fields on the chessboard not eight and there's three kings
so basically the mission was fulfilled made a monkey playing chess but everything else was no chessboard with Seven Fields no you know it's it's interesting yeah but it's know no cigar I would say basically it's cool but has little veracity has little context had little C cality no real understanding it just made a cool video but it will get better but is it going to replace real film making h no you will get so tired of seeing this stuff you'll say God and other Sora clip please it's like mental fast food and here we have
a picture that I made myself where I gave a prompt saying show left-handed writers creating poetry do you see any left-handed people here they don't exist and I did The Prompt 43 times okay in the end it was showing me writers without hands right this is the kind of okay so basically frequently wrong but never in doubt so you could say well that that really precludes any use but it doesn't because there's lots of use where we can live with some of the doubt and of course it will get better but it's actually good for
us to get the doubt because then we can make our own decisions it can make really nice photos of people by the way uh this is how it upgraded me into a nice youngl looking semi astronaut I suppose an app called lensa but this is the image I like the best it's kind of like this is what it does it's a power tool right I mean programming it's a power tool it's also a kind of you know it's it will make a try to take shortcuts where there aren't any you know it could lead to
potential laziness of course but here's the thing you when look at this generative and conversational AI maybe the less accomplished can do a lot more and they're really accomplished and take off the cyberspace that's not a bad thing as long as you don't think it's like us or you get lazy I think the biggest Factory is that we get lazy right we you say oh let's program this code and send it to my boss it'll be fine yeah no that's not how it works but it is a power tool okay so for education and for
ourselves that means our pyramid is changing we must move up the per this is super crucial for Education because the lower part of this intellectual knowledge some logic that's computer Turf now and not all knowledge I mean like I like to keep some of my knowledge but you know looking stuff up the computer can do that I can do that anywhere now I can speak to the wall and get a summary about the future of Switzerland I don't need a futurist for that I need to go up here tcid knowledge understanding wisdom the human Turf
that is the value of your job in the future people are going to assume that you know all this data information and logic because you can get to it anytime you want and and anywhere you want anywhere in the world very soon that is really what we need to think about EQ and IQ right emotional coent and intelligent coent to balance the two don't think for a minute you know India graduates 1 million Engineers per year is that the ticket to their job that's just one of the tickets then we have this pyramid that we
have to deal with it's not bad to be an engineer even in the future but it's just one step in this pyramid we have to think of taking this further do you know the drug OIC oamic is a weight loss drug that's going crazy around the world used to have to inject it to lose weight and now you can take pills it's very popular with people who have weight weight problems okay and some people are saying artificial intelligence is like OIC for human resources and other words you take the AI you can fire people slim
down the company nothing is further from the truth this here is just a dream that many companies have about having less people in the end we'll always find other things for them to do because technology cannot do the things that we do very easily the mor ofet Paradox whatever is easy for a computer is hard for a human and vice versa this is a very important story because in the end this is the bottom line about no things knowledge without wisdom is like water in the sand that's a malavi saying and that's very important when
we think about work it's not bad to have water in the sand you know the sand needs to get some water to you know grow things but we need a little bit more than that number seven augmentation cognic is more beneficial than automation we should focus on what we can do to augment people not to replace them not to automate things that shouldn't be automated as the graphic shows brain computer interfaces language translation cognic making smart augmentation making more capable automation to some degree what we do not want is the last one dehumanization we don't
want to think of people as data and every person that's real gets in the way that's kind of what we see in C with lots of startups saying you know let's take the human out no keep the human in the loop that that's the key even if it takes longer because it makes something special and there are situation where we don't need the human do we need the human to weld the car and move the car down the no probably not but that doesn't apply across the entire chain everywhere I'm we going to need a
little bit of protection here to figure out how we can actually go into that future when we look at the slide again from Goldman 40 4% of Adas office and adman support could be substituted by technology yeah that's okay whoever made that chart I think it was Goldman themselves I just remind of one thing Tesla car next year will probably be 90% capable of aut pilot you for sure Highway we're probably only a month away from having uh autonomous driving at least for highways like a model S and model X can drive autonomously with greater
safety than a person right now safer than a person by the fex here okay here's the thing of course we don't really have a lot of self-driving cars but in principle it should work and I think with AI we're going down a similar path in principle it should all work well take a little bit longer until we can actually say okay here it is it's finished right as we're looking at charts like this that talk about what's happening here I got a wrap up so I'm going to go for a fast forward here very important
ethics right that's Point number eight we need to think about everything that we do in technology now has ethical applications everything ethics is KNN the difference between what you have the right or the power to do and what is the right thing to do and technology companies have a lot of power and a lot of Rights so a lot of responsibility comes with that we have to think about this I'm very happy to see IBM signing up for this the tech occurred to combat deceptive use of AI just a couple weeks ago to help with
election fraud and AI IBM signed that up by itself but this is a big deal of course right cuz if we're not careful then AI may be used to detate trust because it's about speed not depth about bias about patterns you know about machine reading basically right that could destroy trust in other people which is the worst thing we want that leads to conflict it could destroy democracy because of this information these are all things that we need to think about when we think about the future I'm going to skip this one because we I
got to get up to the to the rapper here so um just to kind of show you the bottom line you know we're moving to this 4p economics four poles that are different than before if I can get this yeah I was a little bit too ambitious on this so let's just skip this one and go to the wrapup so what now that's the big question every time you hear futurist that's the number question with think about the future we think about the good future and the bad future I think it's important that we say
yes the bad future could exist and the bad present exists but Barbara Mark Harbert said as you see the future so you act as you act so you become we must think positive about what we can do we must think about the difference we can make we must stop focusing on things that we can't fix right we must work on the things that we can impact because the future can be made better than we think this is a really important learning from the last decade that I found and the future is something that is an
act it's a verb it's not a noun it's like something we do the future is something that we can affect that we can actually impact that we can change I give you a couple of bullets here uh Bachman Fuller said we are to be architects of the future not its victims it's an important one now we actually decide what's Happ happening so summarize what I said earlier pursue competence not Consciousness with AI if you want to pursue Consciousness that is an open chapter but that to me is on the other side of the equation ask
why will this be good for the collective benefit not just for our software development or for our products or for our bottom line purpose not feasibility take the technocratic oath I will not do anything that will not serve the collective human benefit I know that's going to be a tough one to think about because there's many discussions about this switch to what I call the full stack economics the single stack economics is just profit and growth the full stack people Planet purpose prosperity and of course back to the tellers that I mentioned earlier I want
to just mention at the end um American Indian Cherokee saying the wolf your feet is the wolf that wins the future you feat with your science and technology is the future that may win we have to think about that what Future do We want to create with what we create What We R what do we want to make possible the good future with a tiny bit of bad future that we can fix what's our emphasis so here's my motto for my future future it is awesome humans on top of amazing technology that's the ticket and
I wish for you guys to realize this and hopefully see you again in just a little while and the question is not with AI what it will do to us let's get rid of that question but what want what we wanted to do for us that's the key question what exactly do we needed to do for us thanks very much for your time and I wish you a good rest of the event
