codeine is dead I've seen this prediction thrown around more and more lately but will programmers really go extinct anytime soon it's in my best interest to shill for the learn to code industry on this channel however looking into 2023 there are some really bad looking storm clouds on the horizon in today's video we'll look at six messed up trends that might kill programming once and for all along with a few shreds of Hope at the end before we get into it I'd recommend you sign up for fireship pro to learn how to code with a
brand new platform I built from scratch that provides an addictive meme driven experience and this might be your last chance to support the channel before coding dies forever the first Trend I want to talk about is stalled technology now normally I love making fun of Facebook on this channel but things have gotten so bad with the metaverse that I honestly just feel sad at this point like the entire metaverse likely has fewer daily active users than that shitty side project that you totally forgot about foreign like they just keep pouring money into this thing and
so far it's been nothing but an embarrassing flop I'd highly recommend watching this video from mental Outlaw to learn more about why it sucks so bad now even though the metaverse sucks right now that doesn't mean it's not going to be a big thing in the future there are quite a few Technologies out there that haven't fully matured to the point where there's a massive demand for new programmers in the field but have the potential to be huge in the future like self-driving Cars 3D printing Quantum Computing and augmented reality and these Technologies are great
but they haven't reached their full potential like the smartphone has and the big question is will they ever get there in my opinion the adoption of these Technologies has been pretty disappointing so far if they never fully mature that could mean a lot of dead programming jobs the next Trend which is affecting literally every human being on the planet is the current economic meltdown economists have no idea how this rampant inflation could have possibly happened it definitely has nothing to do with all that money that was printed the last 10 years to be fair though
even Nobel prize winning economists aren't very good at making predictions like in 1998 when Paul Krugman thought the internet would have no bigger impact than a fax machine now that out of control inflation is a reality central banks are raising interest rates and that's a big problem for programmers the vast majority of startups and many publicly traded companies don't make any money they operate in the red and rely on investors to bankroll their losses until they become profitable or get acquired or go out of business higher interest rates make it much harder for Venture capitalists
to provide easy money for these startups and that means startups that do raise money have to be far more careful about how they spend it and one of the biggest expenses for a startup is hiring programmers as of today the job market still appears to be very strong on a macro level however just last week there were layoffs at Microsoft the stock price of snap collapsed which means they'll probably have more layoffs then you've got Elon talking about firing 75 percent of Twitter staff and essentially all of the big Tech corporations have started to slow
hiring and that's unlikely to change while their stock price is tank as well and even the FED said that unemployment needs to go higher and you should never fight the FED they're the house that controls our Casino economy and speaking of casinos another problematic trend is the crypto winter Bitcoin is down 70 from its high of last year that's not a great look for an inflation hedge and there's been a variety of disasters that nobody could have ever possibly seen coming in a million years like the collapse of Luna Celsius and Voyager about a year
ago web 3 or the decentralized web was trending into the stratosphere teenagers were making millions of dollars trading pictures of monkeys and it looked like web 3 was going to make everything else obsolete by this time this year but unfortunately that didn't happen and now you don't really hear about web 3 anymore whether you like crypto or not it's decline in popularity for the time being is not a great sign for programming in general these smart contracts require smart programmers but if smart people aren't using them then we've got a problem here in my opinion
I think web3 is in the trough of disillusionment but will continue to improve and grow in the future an even bigger threat to the lives of programmers is Mo code no Code and low code and we're molos though we're almost so bro programming has kind of evolved into a blue collar profession it's like being a janitor but with less exercise luckily as of today it still pays extremely well that's why boot camps like Bloom Institute of Technology formerly Lambda school can offer a job guarantee of fifty thousand dollars a year that's nearly five thousand dollars
more than you would make at McDonald's working for twenty two dollars an hour although they also offer a free mcbus pass the reality though is that technology is now replacing many of the lines of code that used to be produced by humans typing into a keyboard there are tons and tons of tools now that make it possible for non-engineers to create basic applications websites and even back-end utilities and databases on top of that Engineers are now writing code with tools like GitHub copilot which move us closer and closer to obsolescence there are no doubt ambitious
people out there are foaming at the mouth with the idea of entirely automating your job with AI the technology is not there yet but just look at how far it's come in the last year we now have things like stable diffusion and Dolly and voice cloning that's indistinguishable from the real thing it's only a matter of time and when that day comes it's over we are screwed next up we need to talk about social Media consolidation a trend that's been going on for many years now Tech lead made a video about this last week and
you can always trust him to tell you the things that you don't want to hear in that you think the ability to code is like magic it's not we're not Wizards nowadays the vast majority of content creation has been absorbed by platforms like Tick Tock Twitter and YouTube that use the follower model for social media why is that well it incentivizes creators with money and internet Fame at a time when the common person's attention span is lower than ever like more than 50 of Americans have not read a book in the last year this is
a problem for developers because people are no longer downloading apps from the App Store every day or randomly surfing the internet to find new content this makes it extremely difficult to build a new web or mobile app and make a ton of money with it unless you have a massive marketing budget behind it like when oil first became a thing there were all kinds of Prospectors becoming overnight millionaires but nowadays you have a small handful of companies that control the entire world it's a bad trend for independent developers because it's much harder to take your
side hustle to the moon now the final Trend which has also been going on for years is the cloud you have big cloud platforms like AWS that have been aggressively simplifying basically all areas of development and until recently that's mainly met fewer jobs for system administrators and it guys but now there are many tools coming out that eliminate both front end and back-end jobs like honeycode which is a no code tool for building web and mobile apps or amplify an entire back end as a service in addition you've got a bunch of new startups coming
out with next-gen serverless databases that further simplify the role of a back-end developer in other words as new cloud-based tools make development easier there's just less code to write now this video may sound very pessimistic but I think there is hope you could always get into farming that's what Bill Gates did after he got sick of coding in c-sharp and now he's the biggest Farmland owner in the United States another Ray of Hope for Millennials is that gen Z seems to be pretty Tech illiterate primarily because that generation is growing up at a time when
social media and technology is already very Consolidated like I bet many kids these days don't even know how URLs work or that you can even edit them in the browser and that's good news for old Millennial developers who understand these esoteric Technologies another piece of good news is that it looks like World War III could start any day now instead of being drafted to the front lines a good programmer will likely be assigned to updating software on drones and missiles while a good web developer can update CSS on propaganda websites now if that doesn't pan
out I have a lot of faith in the JavaScript ecosystem to create an endless supply of jobs by creating an endless supply of new game-changing Frameworks if the new Frameworks can always stay one step ahead of the no code tools in the AI then I think our jobs will be safe another point when it comes to no Code and low code is that this stuff has been around forever like Microsoft Excel is a low code tool in my experience it's always been a dead end hype train even if no code did hypothetically make all Engineers
obsolete you would still need someone to code and maintain all those no code tools ultimately when I take a step back and look at the big picture I see this massively complex ecosystem of code and Technology that'll be impossible to maintain and push forward without a massive Army of skilled programmers coding will never be an easy skill and many real world systems are so over engineered that they'll always need highly specialized and highly paid Engineers to work on that and just like our banking system still needs Cobalt developers the reality is that code is just
the most efficient way for humans to develop software there will always be ups and downs in terms of opportunity for coders because of the economy and whatnot however it seems highly unlikely that the underlying skill set of writing code can actually be replaced by anything in the near future alright that's enough talking I need to get back to writing some code with GitHub co-pilot thanks for watching and I will see you in the next one
