Why 2025 is the Worst Nightmare for Russia - Russia's DEATH TOLL Will Hit 1,000,000 as Tanks Run Out

the question of whether Russia will be plunged into a deeper and deeper crisis as it approaches 2025 is one of the most burning issues of the war in Ukraine the lvan foreign ministers prediction that Russia will reach 1 million dead and wounded soldiers by 2025 was a striking spark that ignited this debate will 225 really see Russia's military and economic collapse ask everyone who has ever wondered what the Russian and Ukrainian fronts have been through what Russia's industrial capacity Logistics and Military morale are like and where this war might lead but it is important to

remember this the total collapse of a nuclear armed state in the world is a nightmare that could threaten not only Russia but the entire world order it is this balance that shapes War and the direction of international politics so where do these claims of collapse come from what factors are pushing Moscow in a war that is expected to last until 2025 and how is Ukraine trying to read this picture some argue that Russia's military is heading towards exhaustion that the kremlin's ability to finance the war is eroding due to massive economic sanctions and that the

Public's patience is wearing thin another view is that Russia is such a big country with all its Soviet era stockpiles nuclear deterrent and vast natural resources that it will not collapse easily let's take a closer look at this long and deep issue of course it is clear that Ukraine continues to bleed Russia by attacking key points like ksk and Crimea and that the Russian military is developing a rear guard strategy to compensate for every loss but up to what point at the heart of the war is Russia's Imperial ambition to subjugate Ukraine if this ambition

is to continue as we approach 2025 it is inevitable that Ukraine will resist even if there is a ceasefire the danger of Russia rearming and attacking again will remain that is why Ukraine is looking for strong security guarantees from the US and Europe NATO membership is a possibility but a red line for Russia this is a signal that peace will not come easily another dimension of the war of attrition could be an uprising of Russian Society asking why are we paying these prices or the Putin regime could turn into an even more repressive model and

suppress the population keeping the hope of Victory alive until 2025 in short there is a picture full of great uncertainties this picture of uncertainties leads us to a few questions about the Great War that will continue in 2025 will Russia really reach the appalling figure of 1 million dead and wounded by 2025 if so will this trigger a complete collapse of the army or will Russia resort to Extreme Measures such as total mobilization does Ukraine want to push Russia into a rapid Collapse by attacking key centers such as ksk and Crimea or is its goal

only to gain an advantage at the table how will the West find a balance to its desire to keep Russia intact but not win the war what role will the nuclear weapons issue play will the Kremlin move towards a let the world go to hell if we lose mentality or is this just blackmail could a possible Trump Administration or a similar change impose a scenario of peace with small territorial concessions between Ukraine and Russia would Ukraine agree to this let's get started the lvan foreign minister statement that Russia will reach 1 million dead and wounded

soldiers by 2025 is of course not accepted by Russia in its official statements the Kremlin never admits to such high casualty figures but if we look at Ukrainian claims and independent analyses it is clear that Russia has so far suffered hundreds of thousands of casualties and lost not only troops but also a huge Arsenal including tanks armored vehicles artillery and missiles the economic costs are even more devastating Russia's exports and imports have been hit hard by Western sanctions inflation has risen much faster than expected the ruble has lost its stability and the budget deficit has

soared if the war lasts until 2025 it could lead Russia to a serious burnout both human and economic by collapse do we mean the complete disintegration of the Russian state or is it a scenario that speaks of a collapse within the military a lack of production capability or internal Rebellion some say that the combination of all these factors could lead to Putin losing control quickly and a major disintegration Russia's full-scale aggression against UK Ukraine began in February 2022 as we approach the three-year Mark Moscow is far from the we can take Kiev in a weak

mood in the early stages of the war the Russian army was quickly routed near Kiev lost control of the KV and MV regions and eventually this blitz cre plan hit a wall it then moved to a strategy of attrition in Southern and Eastern Ukraine making some progress in the donbass but Ukraine's resistance and the sophisticated Weaponry it received from the West prevented a complete Russian Victory in fact the missile and drone attacks on the Black Sea Fleet demonstrated that even at Sea Russia could not establish absolute dominance targets such as the saki Air Base in

Crimea the Kirch bridge and the port of sevastopol fell within Ukraine's range forcing Russia to repeatedly defend what it perceived as safe zones the losses in this process have hit Russian ground forces the hardest with thousands of Tanks armored vehicles and artillery systems destroyed Moscow has been forced to turn to Soviet stockpiles even old t62 and t-55 tanks in addition new production capacity is not moving as fast as planned due to sanctions and logistical constraints according to Western estimates Russia has lost at least 11,000 armored combat vehicles in the first 2 years including some 3,600

tanks these figures suggest that even the stocks that Russia has held since the Soviet era are rapidly dwindling although official statements put the human losses in the tens of thousands Ukrainian and Western sources believe that the figure is in the hundreds of thousands or even closer to 700 800,000 the lvan foreign minister statement that it could reach 1 million by 2025 is a sign of where Moscow is heading if this trend continues Ukraine on the other hand is still resisting and even taking counteroffensive steps with the financial and Military help of the West recent infiltrations

into the ksk region or missile attacks on Crimea are part of kiev's strategy to wear Russia back if we erode Russia in this way until 2025 the Kremlin will come to the table much weaker zalinsky believes strategic points like ksk are critical to Russia's logistical supply lines a Ukrainian offensive there could prevent Russia from supplying its troops on the Eastern Front Crimea is already Russia's key base on the Black Sea and a security breach there could undermine Russia's plans for the entire Southern front Ukraine strikes on Russian territory outside the front line could unsettle the

Russian population and increase the backlash against the Kremlin moreover such strikes would expose the flaws of Russian air defenses and discredit Moscow therefore Ukraine is planning a total attrition model by continuing to hit Russia from the inside with its missiles Storm Shadow perhaps ATT tacas or similar systems and drones if this tactic succeeds Russia could be severely depleted even before 2025 but Ukraine is not without its problems Manpower ammunition and consistent Western support are the pillars that keep Kiev fighting for the long term so this difficult path carries a heavy price for both sides what

would it mean for Russia to collapse in 2025 if there is indeed a collapse it could mean two things first militarily it would mean that Russia would run out of offensive power and Logistics and its ability to fight would collapse Russia would then perhaps be forced to withdraw or negotiate peace with major concessions the second possibility is the loss of regime stability within the country the disintegration of the Federation and the tendency of autonomous regions to seek Independence or secession from Russia the latter would cause greater fear in the international Arena because it would be

unclear who would control nuclear weapons therefore the West may be inclined towards an approach formulated as let's keep Russia under control but not completely disintegrate some experts remind us that Russia's potential collapse is not only due to moscow's strategic mistakes but also to an outbreak of the social unrest that Putin has kept in the shadows for so long Russian youth are unhappy about being sent to the front economic Devastation and sanctions woses are spreading across the population and many ethnic minorities are suffering disproportionate casualties in the war if these balances are upset in 2025 there

could be Russia's internal turmoil in addition to the devastation of War as a result confidence in the Army would be shaken Invasion plans would be thwarted and the Putin regime would be in trouble of course Putin could respond by stepping up harsh domestic repressive measures but this too has often in history been a precursor to bigger explosions it is important to remember that Russian President Vladimir Putin still holds the trump card of nuclear weapons the idea that a collapsing government might resort to nuclear threats as a last resort is causing unease in the west so

far Putin has argued that the use of nuclear weapons would only be considered in the event of an existential threat but Russia's military or economic collapse could signal just such an existential situation the US and the EU are therefore hinting that they may be trying to prevent a total collapse scenario at the same time as they wear Russia down the lvan foreign minister statement of 1 million dead and wounded is perhaps a message to other European countries if if we prolong this war Russia could really explode it is a complex approach on the one hand

Ukraine should be supported on the other hand Russia should not be pushed to the dangerous threshold on the other hand Russia is not only on the defensive in the War of Attrition it is also launching a new generation of weapons the kingal dagger a Hypersonic ballistic missile has made a name for itself in some operations in Ukraine another Hypersonic missile the ciron or ziron has also been rumored for use against Ukraine in early 2024 in addition to these missiles the oresnik medium range ballistic missile allegedly Hypersonic was launched in November 2024 in the Deno region

Russian sources say at mach 10 or Mach 11 these weapons provide material for Russia's propaganda that we are not losing we are still Superior with Innovative Technologies but Ukraine says it has shot down some kinal and oresnik launches with Patriot and other Western air defense systems this casts a shadow over Russia's Invincible missile myth nevertheless Russia is putting a lot of emphasis on its military allocating huge budgets for arms production but how much this will drain the country's financial and Human Resources by 2025 will be decisive a critical element of the war is drones Russia

like Ukraine regularly deploys new types of drones it has largely adapted the Iranian Shahed drones and tried to hit Ukrainian cities but the Ukrainian side with its own production and Western support was able to repel most of these attacks although there is a reform in Russia we are creating our own speci specialized UAV unit progress is thought to be slow as sanctions restrict access to electronic components Russia has also suffered losses in fighter jets but not to the extent of destroying its entire Air Force still Ukraine claims to have shot down one of Russia's newest

stealth Jets such as the Su 57 suggesting that Moscow is not fully reflecting its technological advantage how is Russia's military shaping up in 2025 initially hoping for a quick Victory the Kremlin is now trying to reorganize the Army both in the short term and in the long term private military companies mercenaries and volunteer battalions have been introduced the most famous of these was Vagner but after the death of its leader yevi progan and the short-lived Mutiny in June 2023 Vagner withdrew from the scene a attempts such as the so-called storm Zed punishment squats the sending

of convicts from Russian prisons to the front ramzan kadir's chin troops and most recently the sighting of thousands of North Korean troops near ksk show the Army's quest to fill Personnel gaps this mix seriously disrupts the homogeneity of the army creating confusion with different chains of command Russia's budget is in deficit due to the enormous sums it has spent to continue the war when revenues are not enough they either issue bonds and borrow from the market or deplete the national welfare fund moreover the record levels of spending planned for 2025 41.5 trillion rubles suggests that

the war will not let up Russian economists say that the low inflation forecast for early 2024 has already been exceeded with the ruble hitting 110 120 against the dollar this is dragging down the purchasing power of the population and straining Russia's foreign trade if things continue like this the Russian people may ask the question why this war even louder which is a risk for Putin Ukraine on the other hand says we are obliged to resist until we get our territory back to end this war operations like ksk and Crimea demonstrate Ukraine's deep strike capacity Kiev

hopes that by 2025 it can wear Russia down perhaps not achieving total Victory but at least putting Russia in a position to force it to the table the zalinsky administration calculates that it will be able to continue its Advance thanks to arms and logistical assistance from the West they even plan to take partial control of the airspace with the introduction of new systems such as F-16 aircraft in this context the thesis that if Russia suffers 1 million casualties its Army will be on the verge of disintegration is a prediction that boost Ukraine's morale likewise the

disruption of Russian Logistics in areas like ksk could sabotage the supply of Russian divisions on the front line further reducing Russia's capacity to wage war in 2025 but what if Russia suddenly makes a major breakthrough another factor to consider is the possibility that Russia could turn to nuclear or long range ballistic missiles if it realizes it is losing Moscow has repeatedly hinted at this option but would it actually act on it pitting the West directly against it and dragging it into a fullscale World War may not be a risk even for Putin still no one

is ruling it out this makes War all the more dangerous if the Russian military suffers heavy casualties and economic Collapse by 2025 the Kremlin could threaten we are cornered we have nuclear weapons and try to extract concessions from the West this is a factor that will also determine the course of the peace talks on the other hand Washington and Brussels may be arguing that a complete collapse of Russia would be a bigger disaster because the risk of nuclear disarmament and internal turmoil is a nightmare for everyone so the West continues to provide arms to Ukraine

but does not seem to want Russia to completely collapse in this fine line criticism has been raised from time to time Ukraine has not received enough weapons it's still lacks longrange systems the arrival of trump or any other leader in the White House could also affect this balance many argue that Washington might be persuaded by a deal based on Ukraine seating territory perhaps on the basis that when Trump takes office I will end the war in 24 hours of course this would be unacceptable for Ukraine and its European allies would also react independent sources such

as Medusa report that by the end of 2024 inflation in Russia is skyrocketing the ruble is depreciating and the central bank is forced to raise interest rates in 2025 estimated budget expenditures are set to reach a record 41.5 trillion rubles while revenues are not growing at the same rate this means new borrowing or depletion of reserves the war is devouring the economy lowering the living standards of the Russian people concerns are growing what will we do if the war drags on this could lead to an explosion in Russia say Western experts but Russia's powerful security

apparatus is currently suppressing social protests nevertheless any suppressed reaction could explode one day what does this picture mean for Ukraine if Russia continues to be weakened and subjected to internal repression until 2025 Ukraine has a great opportunity to reclaim its territory Russian troops in the occupied territories especially in Crimea may be logistically weakened and moral may suffer therefore the Ukrainian army with training and weapons from the West could fill the Gap and make progress an increase in Surprise attacks in areas such as kskk could draw Russia in and weaken the Frontline defense on the other

hand prolonging the war means human and economic attrition for Ukraine but the Ukrainian people continue to fight on thinking if we surrender Russia will tear our country apart in order to keep the war going Putin May resort to regular cabinet reshuffles additional War budgets through Parliament and the suppression of domestic opposition it is known that he redesigned the Army after the Vagner Rebellion the question now is can he really last until 2025 factors such as the patience of the society economic collapse and the unwillingness of young people to enlist in the Army raised the question

how long will the stone of patience last this picture may have a more important strategic consequence for Ukraine than tactical victories Russia could collapse from within yet such a collapse carries dangers such as the fate of nuclear weapons and the destabilization of a vast geography Russia's slide towards collapse in 2025 depends on a Confluence of factors not only military losses but also the unsustainability of the econ eony the escalation of social repression cracks in the elite and the devastating impact of Western sanctions to this end the Ukrainian front continues to make many moves to wear

Russia down attacks on Crimea deep strikes on the cors line and occasional strikes on distant targets such as Oro if this strategy stays on track and the West keeps up its arm support Moscow will be pushed to the Limit the lvan forign foreign Minister's estimate of 1 million casualties may seem exaggerated but if Russia continues the war at this pace between now and 2025 it could create a truly frightening picture for the Kremlin despite all these pessimistic scenarios Russia still has a huge nuclear Arsenal and considerable energy revenues so predictions of a total collapse may

be delusional but a military collapse could also mean the military's dysfunction and massive failure on the ground this would Shake Putin's domestic politics possibly leading to large-scale protests or Elite infighting in the end we could see a very different Russia before 2025 perhaps the West will step in to end the war along with regime change in Russia of course this is all speculation but the course of the war and the indicators so far confirm that by 2020 5 Moscow could face a period of extraordinary hardship at this point one naturally asks what will happen to

Russia what will Ukraine gain how will the world order change if this conflict lasts until 2025 prolonging the war for more than 3 years brings extreme attrition to both sides but Russia's level of sacrifice seems to be less acceptable than Ukraine's why are we being dragged into such a state stalemate the public is likely to ask if the Kremlin cannot suppress this criticism the regime will be in trouble if it does it can evolve into a more authoritarian structure and continue the war but this time its economy will take a further hit thus in every

scenario it is clear that a great unknown awaits Russia in 2025 it is not clear whether Ukraine wants the breakup of Russia or a limited victory because Russia's disintegration is a big risk in the international Arena a loss of control over nuclear weapons could have catastrophic consequences for the entire region and even the world for this reason even though the West is providing arms Aid to Ukraine it is not too keen on an uncontrolled collapse of Russia let's defeat Russia on the front lines and force it to negotiate but don't dismantle it completely maybe the

summarized approach Ro in diplomatic circles the Latvian foreign minister statement that Russia will lose 1 million troops is controversial from this point of view perhaps he wants to send a message to other EU countries with an exaggerated figure look Russia is weakening let's increase our support for Ukraine let's strike the final blow this could also be a political maneuver in the end Russia's collapse in 2025 will depend in part on the course of the war and the moves the Kremlin will make if Russia continues to perform at its current level and continues to suffer heavy

casualties in Ukraine's Fierce counterattacks the military and the economy may eventually reach their limits this could force Putin to take Extreme Measures or sit down at the table others fear that Russia will never come to the table it will blackmail with nuclear weapons perhaps risking attack tactical nuclear attack the West is also worried about this scenario still no one is 100% sure in international relations a new Factor can emerge at any time the political wind can change direction since the beginning of the war Ukraine has been resisting Russia's massive military power with Western Aid if

this assistance continues unabated until 2025 the Russian army as the Latvian foreign minister put it will continue to suffer a certain number of casualties per day and could approach the 1 million Threshold at that point the deao collapse of Russia's military seems a logical end on the other hand if Russia takes dangerous escalatory steps it is not clear where the situation will lead with so many variables it is difficult to say this is certain however those who wonder will Russia to fall apart in 2025 say that the available data confirm that the outlook for the

Kremlin is not bright if the intensification of the ksk and Crimea operations continues to break the morale and Logistics of the military 2025 could indeed be a turning point for Russia from the West the objection is that the complete destruction of Russia risks the loss of the security of nuclear weapons and great instability that's why the us or the EU while supporting Ukraine are staying away from the idea of completely dismembering Russia but how this balance will be maintained is a big mystery there are new developments in the war every day yesterday's constants can become

today's variables large deficits in Russia's economy the deployment of old tanks in its Army and continued casualties could further escalate the situation by 2025 ultimately Ukraine too envisions that it can continue the war until 2025 bring Russia to its knees and liberate its territory the Collision of these two opposing goals will result in either a big explosion or a forced peace agreement what do you think about this will Russia really hold out in its current form until 2025 or will the Army show signs of internal collapse and the country suffer a major shap fake up

how does the risk of nuclear weapons factor into the equation and can Ukraine continue until then without losing the will to fight please share your comments with us thank you for tuning in please don't forget to subscribe to our Channel turn on notifications and like our content