yeah yeah [Music] [Applause] [Music] [Music] warning this video and all other videos on this channel for entertainment purposes only the content of this video and all other videos on this channel the opinions of the Creator only and do not constitute legal trading investment or financial advice of any kind investing c a high level of risk and the majority of retail clients lose money do not invest in C capital you understand the risk and you are prepared to lose it all all right hello and welcome to camel Finance I'm your boy camel and today today we've
got a little bit of a mix bag but ultimately we're still saying the exact same thing right we've been slowly but surely wasting time allowing sentiment to be reset so we can find this cycle loow and finally get some trades on right so unfortunately I don't really have anything new to show you today but I think in a way that's good right it's good that we're not doing what everyone else does which is show 1,500 different scenarios wait for one of them to play out and then come back and say I Told You So told
you I'm the best ever right so this is how it looks in the real world right we're taking our time we're setting up the quality we are letting it come to us and then of course we've got to try our best to catch it now before we get into today's episode and we continue to hunt this cycle low down I wanted to point to this because I covered this yesterday that a whole heap of Institutions are adding micro strategy shares some of you were very quick to point out actually it's just called strategy now or
something like that look I still call X Twitter I probably will forever so don't expect me to start to remember to call this thing strategy but the reason I wanted to bring this up is some of the members pointed out something to me about this that I havn't thought of it may well be that what we are seeing from the institutions in terms of acquiring shares here is actually a mandate since micro strategy is now being added and included into things like the NASDAQ and potentially the S&P so it may well just be the mandates
are forcing them to buy some of these shares and keep the balances in order and all that kind of thing in which case I think that would really continue to put in favor the idea that we won't see a new alltime high for micro strategy so that's all I'm really going to say it's just something I hadn't considered so thank you to the members who are letting me know that I havn't considered that that's a very very very good point in my opinion and is likely not going to lead to a new high if true
so everything else I said still holds right weekly cycle low long it if you're bullish and don't if you're not and more importantly than that use it as the barometer to let us know whether or not tops should be coming soon for Bitcoin and at the end of the day the difference of opinions for everyone is what makes a market so let's see how this plays now I want to hop back to my homepage here and pull up this old classic of mine okay the weekly cycle low and double as you can see we are
slowly but surely getting our way down into that timing window of course this timing window has not moved these ARS of fixed length and in case you're new here okay once we get here we're expecting around 100% pump to around 180 K and we will also be using this line as bull market invalidation meaning once the low is in we draw a line underneath that low and any trade below that low is me exiting the market and calling tops so super wild times one other thing I should probably point out here and this is largely
reserved for the level three members but we're also going to be drawing a trend line in here and I'm going to be taking some profit here because frankly by the time we get up here if we do okay and by the time we get some TR trend line breakdowns I'm going to be well over 10x on my entry and therefore I have to pay myself right I just have to pay myself so I'm probably going to be lighting up the stack how much again I'll reserve for the level three members and I'm going to be
taking some stuff out of longer term accounts crypto related equities that kind of thing but for now we continue to hunt this low and try to get underneath it as soon as possible without kind of rushing or having no quality in our setup that's still the base case nothing has changed and sentiment apparently absolutely sucks right now I don't notice this and I think that's largely speaking because I live in a bit of an echo chamber in which the camel crew are aware of cycle lows are aware of this idea have seen enough of them
be traded on the channel to know that things are going our way okay and I think most of the camel crew is actually kind of excited about this setup I think a lot of people were patiently waiting for this getting ready to see us long it and we're going to do our best to capture this so for me sentiment is not that bad I think the camel crew are winning I think we're on top here but apparently everyone else thinks it's sucks right now and it kind of makes sense because sentiment always gets reset into
these cycle lows but if we come over to fomo finder we're right in the middle and that to me makes a lot of sense because it's kind of hard to be panicking here when the price isn't doing anything right it's just sideways it's 95k it was 95k a couple of days ago a few days before that a few weeks before that a week before that a few days before that right you can see you've got eyes as well we haven't done anything in months nearly right so seems kind of hard to get to panic now
one thing I do think is possible and I've been saying the same things over and over again right we're probably looking for one of two things timing base low and go hopefully not hopefully what we get is the second option which is flush daily and weekly cycle low okay right into that day 60 time frame and then a big push off hopefully we get a new low because it makes it easier to identify but if this is to play out if it's this squiggle instead of the sideways and up one then I would think during
this puke here during this quick swing we get sentiment destroyed I think this causes a lot of panic I think people will start to say yep told you that was distribution now we're breaking down I think people will start to force all kinds of you know double top narratives okay and start to expect that's the breakdown and so during that Weekly cycle flush I largely speaking expect this to move a little bit this way it doesn't have to go all the way into Panic or capitulation I don't think that's likely although you'll see that's one
possible scenario I really think we're just going to flush a little bit more and the main goal for the market makers here is just going to be to convince people to short the breakdown right put a bunch of stops in here and then V reversal out of this run all the stops use that for fuel to the upside so I don't think much has changed and again I think the sentiment in the camel crew is a lot higher than elsewhere in the market simply because we have a different read on this to most people but
do expect if we get the flush rather than the Bas low to possibly see this thing move down possibly even get a flash of purple as we saw here and in the prior ones and again it will just be business as usual with that said and again it's probably an echo chamber thing okay I don't know if this is necessarily representative in fact feel free to let me know if you also are experiencing this same kind of timeline Echo chamber but I'm also seeing a lot of people here with a very similar idea now everyone
is reaching it via slightly different methods as you're about to see but all of the rest of these tabs now are showing this from different Ang angles so we'll start here in no particular order and you can see the question remains Right double top before moving lower or ranging before moving higher in hindsight we will know okay but right now we can see both scenarios up or down yeah no surprises there based on the liquidity heat map is one idea is that the wick down first would actually be more bullish just to grab all those
stops and like I said kind of trap a few more shorts in here right so we'll run all these stops take all the liquidity from here at the same time as price moves down we get that Panic some people will sell like okayy that will help Force the price down we also get shorts piling in here and like I said set some stops all up here and then what we'll see is the V reversal and we'll run all of this liquidity from the top so this move should happen very fast and keep that idea in
the back of your head because I'll show you just how fast it could happen in a few more slides and I guess looking here okay you can see without the knowledge of Cycles people have mixed feelings right they're not really sure how this is going to resolve whereas I think the cycle Traders have a little bit more confidence in what's coming similar deal here okay if pause your screen take a good look at that and again a flush to I don't know 92 94 something like that seems inevitable we'll see if we can again get
a little bit lower down so that's that okay but ultimately you can see people are kind of thinking a bit of a flush would be good run some stops and then reverse and again fits with this idea now take a look at the next one copy and paste this fractal from all the way all the all the all the way back here I think this is this right here okay so something like this could well be coming next and again would that or would that not fit with the weekly cycle low and double I think
it would do we come all the way down to 80k or sub 80k personally I don't think so okay but obviously no one knows right no one can know I'm that's that's my guess that's my guess based on my experience in markets I don't think based on what I've seen over the last cycle we're going to get a flush sub 80 but of course if we do I it doesn't matter right it doesn't matter at all all that matters is the moment that swing is in I can point it in and say there you go
right right on schedule let's get long let's put a stop below it that's our new bull market inv validation so it doesn't change much I just personally if I had to guess and it is nothing more than a worthless guess I don't think we go as low as this pral suggests but you can see two different ways of coming up with the same idea as me there's also this third idea and I like this a lot because I didn't really think about quantifying it in terms of weeks as I said I'm going to be drawing
a trend line in here and looking to sell that on when it breaks down looking to take some profit at least okay and then look to potentially play another swing but we'll see on the structure at the time but shout out here to this guy because as he points out we ran for seven weeks before that Weekly cycle topped okay then we ran for six weeks before that Weekly cycle topped and then here the breakout only lasted another 6 weeks so this whole upside move this double from wherever the low forms May well be over
in six or seven weeks and if we really think about it we can almost put some dates on this if we get a perfect 60-day low that means we're going to bottom on the 28th of February six or seven weeks means by about the second week of April first to the second week of April we should see the top come in and be somewhere between 150 and 180k I mean that's pretty wild May well look something like this but I think we go higher I think we go a lot higher I think we do something
more like this I know a lot of people are not going to like this idea but I guess to each their own right and shout out to Big Mike here King of the Waves showing us a couple of scenarios that again fit with the Cycles right this could be ABC and then go off we go to the moon 150k plus but notice again the completion of this seawave somewhere down here around maybe 87 is okay would give us that Weekly cycle and daily cycle low before we move higher and it could also be this ABCDE
e this would be slightly harder to deal with from a cycle perspective because I would suspect we would have to entertain this breakout not knowing if that was for real okay it would be a bit annoying to deal with something like this but certainly on the table so I actually favor the ABC here that's what I'm hoping for but you can see both of them fit from not only an Elliot wave perspective but also from a cycle perspective as well and then the next thing I want to talk about is hyperwave because if indeed this
is on the table right if we are dangerously close defining that low and reversing and hitting a double okay then notice we've already done one two this will be our third angle okay and possibly even the fourth to come in here on my normal chart with a regular scale you can see one two and three okay we're already potentially in the third angle and we'll confirm once we get that Weekly cycle low in and based on the touches of this trend line you know somewhere perhaps around 87K would make a lot of sense and then
it should be time for perhaps even the fourth wave near vertical 6 weeks into about April okay it may well end up looking like this now this is pretty cool for a number of reasons okay first of all I want to turn off all of my stuff and move on to my hyperwave chart you can see phase one phase two phase three getting ready perhaps for a slightly lower low puke in which case we could just Encompass the lowest low close on the weekly time frame here that would still be legal and qualifying and then
here's the key part we may well be looking for phase four to come in pretty crazy and shout out to the wman Socrates here as we scroll down and check out his hyper wave idea as well you can see a similar concept right one two in three looking for buyers to come in step in and drive this thing much much higher into phase 4 and the weatherman is quick to point out that we are actually Flirting With Disaster as the price refuses to explode off of the phase three trend line remember a breakdown on a
weekly closing basis is technically Trend reversal right it's the trend over it means that we won't see phase four and in fact that that was the top so we do have to avoid a true technical breakdown here and the weather man is quick to point out that if it breaks down further from here there would be no room to adjust it but again it's the weekly close below that is important it is not necessarily a wick we can Wick it and come back up and then explode higher without confirming a true Trend change or true
sell signals we would however need to make this move in the next week or two otherwise the hyper wave will be expected to break down and if that happens it would ring some serious alarm Bells but lucky for us we just so happen to be in that neighborhood where we're expecting the market to bottom in the next one to two weeks so I would say to you all of the stars seem to be aligned nicely here multiple strategies and Market perspectives all pointing towards the same path for Bitcoin Which is higher lots and lots of
Confluence not just with Cycles but with elot wave counts with fractals and with hyperwave Theory amongst a couple of other things so I suggest to you long and strong Happy Days continue to hunt down that Weekly cycle low and remember where we are in the major scheme of things okay especially if phase four is to start to unfold then any breakdown from there is indeed sell signals elsewhere in the markets there are no real changes okay because yesterday was President's Day so we will see what happens this week no changes to the plan of course
gold I think is going to continue to upset all the top callers out there it's weird I see an awful lot of top callers here and I personally don't see it I think we're very very early in the 8year cycle I think any pullback is not going to occur till later in this current weekly cycle and even when it does I think it's going to resolve to a weekly cycle low that moves higher so I'm still probably one of the biggest precious metal balls out there and especially with the backdrop of all this chicanery and
Bank runs and all that stuff that's going on at the moment you know I I think this is I think this is not stopping anytime soon still positioned via silver and miners again printing money Happy Days and Bitcoin we've done to death right we've already done to death the last thing I wanted to point out is the Dixie days away now from a daily and a weekly cycle low we may well therefore find ourselves in that weird situation where the Cycles are behind the Dixie and we continue to look for this yellow wiggle of mine
to roughly speaking play out I don't necessarily think this is reflective of dollar strength so much as relative underlying weakness in all the other currencies in the basket particularly the Euro so I don't necessarily think we can look at that and say well the Dollar's gaining strength and so is Bitcoin and everything else I think it's much more of a case of the dollar is the largest and strongest sick cow in a dying herd of cattle that's what I think I think it's dying the slowest and therefore it's being perceived as relative strength one other
thing I'll point out while I'm here just before we move on cuz a lots of people I know I don't really cover ethereum or altcoins I'm not an altcoin guy as you know but I do think I know what the setup is going to be from here so I thought I'd just share that with you okay just using these two examples again I don't really know much about altcoins don't bother requesting them I'm not doing anymore again but I think what we're going to get here is that old school Del Lama pattern out of ethereum
something like this okay and that would kind of fit again with seeing Bitcoin out performance if it is going to break out I don't think it happens until Bitcoin puts in that top so I have mentioned this once or twice before again weekly cycle low long to the upside sell the trend line breakdown and in here even though it's highly unlikely for me to rotate my Bitcoin into ethereum I think a lot of other bitcoiners will a lot of other people will be just like I said earlier on looking at a 10x from the lows
and saying well I got to pay myself but unlike me many people are not as stubborn as I am or as risk averse when it comes to this space as I am many people will be much happier than I ever would be to just rotate that Bitcoin straight into ethereum and so I'm thinking if it is going to go and again we don't know and camel doesn't care but just if it is going to go as I've said before I think that would be the time to do it and so what does that translate to
in ethereum it translates to about a six we Del Lama that eventually breaks out as some Bitcoin has rotate into ethereum that's my guess okay so I just thought I'd share that with you as one possible scenario otherwise until we break out the D slop in red the yellow troll squiggle is actually in play right it just is what it is and the other thing I wanted to say is just for xrp I'm guessing this thing's going to do the same thing right I'm guessing this is the making of a Dal Lama pattern in here
that goes and again it will probably be caused by rotation as people take their Bitcoin profit here and rotate this part in the cycle and that's probably what drives this breakout if it's going to occur I bet also this whole thing will end up looking like a massive head and shoulders formation and it will have a whole heap of people saying oh that's it it's going to break down I think instead what this is is three four and five a b and c Daly llama and off we go right and people are going to misinterpret
that because this is the most hated coin in the world and therefore the path of pain is higher so I would think that's what's coming and I would think probably some of your SS you could apply this same template to so I thought I'd share that with you of course I don't know this is just my idea other than that I hope you found value here today I hope you're doing well in life and I hope you will continue to follow along make sure that subscribe button is hit make sure the Bell notification is switched
on so you can see when the cycle shows up that I get underneath it in real time and other than that till tomorrow take care for me all the best cheers [Applause] bye the mucket with his contrarian stream trads like a pro no fear no shame sticking to his guns in his money game he's a bad ass oh yes indeed gam Finance got the lock it key taking a stories on the bumpy ride C those emotion
