Camala Harris would become president and they would secure the incumbency key and he could then release all of his delegates to Harris to secure the contest key vice president KLA Harris has already made history she's the first woman elected to the office the first black person elected to the office with everyone looking forward to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States expectations are raised High and controversies rise about who would emerge the winner an American historian and psychist Alan lisman referred to as the Nostradamus of Elections has made predictions for kamla Harris Harris speaking
to those persuadable voters the hatred diminishing the chances of the Democrats losing the third party key that bring major concerns to the Democrats kamalo was recently appointed as nominee for the incumbent party after Joe Biden performed woefully at a debate against his counterpart Donald Trump however with what Nostradamus has fortold ahead of the election does she stand a chance against the audacious Trump join us in this video as we reveal nostradamus's prediction for kamla Harris that leaves everyone speechless Alan lishman and his prediction for kamla Harris Alan lishman also known as the Nostradamus of Elections
is famous for accurately predicting the outcome of United States elections 10 times he is likened to the man Michael Nostradamus of old who was most popular for his work less prophecies this is said to contain quat trains that are predictions of future events and a great number of them have come to pass Michelle de nostas publishes a volume of four-line poems called quatrains but perhaps even more baffling is the volume's title the prophetes some of his predictions include the Great Fire of London the rise of Adolf Hitler the death of Princess Diana the atomic bomb
of 1945 amongst others though researchers suggest that most of his predictions were simply adapted from a collection of bible-based prophecies together with references to historical events and projects them into the future with comparative horoscopes yet the fact that they all actually came to pass is what has made him renowned for centuries long after he died Nostradamus died in July 1566 years before camela Harris was born so no prophecy about her can be found in his books but modern-day Nostradamus Alan lickman seems to have filled up that Gap Alan lickman is an American psychist writer and
social entrepreneur he's one of the first persons to hold a joint faculty position in both the sciences and Humanity his thinking and writing explore the intersection of the sciences and Humanities especially the multil logues among philosophy religion and spirituality Allen is also popular for his postulated theory of the 13 keys to the White House even though he's not regarded a sear as Nostradamus was or utilizes anthologies of omen reports in making his predictions he has been given this title for his accuracy in predictions of nine out of 10 elections held in the United States one
historian who has predicted nine out of 10 presidential elections says replacing the president could cost Democrats in November with us now is Alan lickman presidential historian Alan lickman uses a system of data analysis combining historical stability patterns with current political Trends his method of predicting presidential elections using the 13 keys to the White House that are premised on the idea that American elections are essentially votes up or down on the strength and performance of The White House Party lickman credits governance and not campaigning as what counts how do these Keys work and their results been
accurate nine out of 10 times since 1984 stay tuned because what we're about to reveal will leave you speechless the keys to the White House is a framework developed by Alan lickman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Kellis Boro in 1981 adapting prediction method methods that Boro made for earthquake predictions it is a 13-point checklist that assesses the situation of the United States and political system ahead of a presidential election when six or more items on the checklist are true the incumbent party is predicted to win the election but when six or more items on the checklist
are false the opposing party nominee is predicted to win some more of the items on the checklist include qualitative judgment and therefore the system depends largely on the knowledge and analytical skills of whoever attempts to apply it lickman argues that the checklist content and its track record of reliability prove that the American voters select the next president according to how well the country was governed in the last four years and that campaigns have little effect if any on American voters former president Donald Trump and vice president kamla Harris ramping up their campaigns with fiery criticism
of one another As Trump takes aim at Harris's record Harris is pushing back on Trump's policies if American voters are satisfied with the governance of the country they will reelect the president or elect their party's nominee but if they are dissatisfied they will transfer the presidency to the challenging party the 13-point checklist is a set of true or false statements which would be discussed in the next part of this video the first key in the framework is the party mandate means that after the the midterm elections the incumbent party holds more seats in the US
House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections the second which is no primary contest which suggests that there is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination next point is the incumbent seeking reelection referring to the sitting president vying for a reelection and by reason the party's nominee another key in the checklist is no third third party meaning there's no significant third party or independent campaign the strong short-term economy and strong long-term economy both suggest that there's no economic recession during the election campaign and significant growth in the real per capita income that exceeds
the previous two terms the major policy change describes major changes in the policy that was affected by the incumbent Administration no social unrest and Scandal means that there's no no form of social unrest during the term or untainted by Major Scandal the next is no foreign or military failure and major foreign or military success the charismatic incumbent is a national hero the last key is the uncharismatic Challenger which implies that the opposing party is not a national hero using this 13 key framework Alan lickman has made a prediction for kamla Harris that left everyone surprised
Kamala the current Vice President of the United States has been appointed the nominee for the incumbent party after Joe Biden withdrew his candidacy vice president kamla Harris will become the official Democratic nominee next Monday August 5th she is the only Democratic candidate who qualifies for the presidential nominating ballot and endorsed her as the best candidate to replace him this was facilitated by his poor debate performance against Donald Trump which fielded calls from voters and the party's sponsors for him to drop out of the race and make way for a new nominee following this announcement in
an interview with Wall Street Journal Allen predicted that kamla Harris would not be able to save the Democrats he says she had a lot to lose being up against Donald Trump and would only stand a chance if Democrats unite behind her lman told the journal that Biden had provided Democrats with seven keys the incumbency no no significant primary Contest no recession during the election a strong long-term Economy based on real per capita economic growth compared to the average of the previous two terms major policy changes no major Scandal directly pertaining to the president and an
uncharismatic challenger but with Harris as the new nominee Democrats have lost two keys previously secured the incumbency and primary contest nonetheless he says that they could still preserve the contest key if Democrats heed Biden's advice and support Harris in the upcoming elections but could he be wrong this time let's find out in 2021 lickman told the Miami Herald that he believed Trump would not make a successful political comeback in 2024 citing some of his failing businesses and financial troubles at that time it turns out that he was wrong he even comes forward with the prediction
that Kamala Harris might not stand a chance against Trump is he contradicting himself before arriving at this conclusion let's take a close look at the past predictions of Alan lickman for the previous elections the first time Alan lickman would predict the outcome of the presidential elections accurately was in 1984 the incumbent nominee being Ronald Reagan and the challenging party nominee Walter Mondale according to the keys the incumbent President Ronald Reagan had 11 keys to be true and only two false and in congratulating us out here as we were congratulating him Governor Romney said that perhaps
the significant thing in this election is that now maybe in our party we can put the party together nationally which were strong long-term economy and major military success true to his prediction Reagan emerged as the president this brought Allen to the lichman and respected media houses began seeking his opinion in 1988 he foretold George Bush the incumbent party nominee at the time to win the elections as he had only three keys false and it was so in 1992 he predicted opposing party nominee Bill Clinton to win the elections against the incumbent nominee George Bush as
George had six keys to be false already eventually that was what happened as at 1996 it was no longer a surprise when his four told winner Bill Clinton emerged the president against Bob Dale that year by the next election everyone was eager to hear what he had to say that was when his keys failed him his prediction went wrong in 2000 Allen predicted Al Gore the incumbent party nominee to win the elections against George Bush as he had just five keys to be false but he was outrightly wrong as George Bush emerged the winner though
he claimed that he is always predicted the winner of the popular vote and not the elections the fact that he didn't State this in the previous elections when they emerged as the winners makes it to be recorded in history as his failed prediction still the key's past success cannot be denied and brings to light certain observations about the US elections lickman says that the lesson of the 13 Keys is that it is governance not campaigning that determines who will win a presidential election if voters feel that the country has been governed well for the preceding
four years then they will reelect the president or elect the nominee from the incumbent party otherwise they will elect the nominee from the challenging party given this Insight lickman says that candidates should invest less time money and resources in their election campaigns since these have little if any effect on the outcome of the election lickman also says that observers should ignore polls pundits political analysts media strategists and any others whose careers revolve around the campaign and its marketing referring to such people as husters well I have a system for predicting elections as you know the
13 keys to the White House that has been right since 1984 I got a 40-year track record with these observations from the keys let's analyze Kamala and Trump's chances in the forthcoming election and predict the Emer winner kamla Harris rating according to the 13 Keys known as the first female Vice President of America kamla Harris is an American politician and attorney who was sworn in as the 49th vice president on the 20th of January 2021 kamla Harris was born in Oakland California as the daughter of immigrants she grew up surrounded by a diverse community and
a loving extended family she and her sister Maya were inspired ired by their mother shamala gopalan a breast cancer scientist and Pioneer in her own right as vice president she has worked to bring people together to advance opportunity deliver for families and protect fundamental freedoms across the country she has led the fight for the freedom of women to make decisions about their own bodies the freedom to live safe from gun violence the freedom to vote amongst others while making history at home she's also representing the nation abroad in embarking on more than a dozen foreign
trips traveling to more than 19 countries and meeting with more than 150 global leaders the vice president has been a trusted partner to President Joe Biden as they work together to deliver Monumental achievements that are lifechanging for millions of Americans together they have invested in the economy to create a record number of jobs and keep unemployment low their work has led to more small business Creation in a 2-year period than any previous administration they capped the cost of insulin at $35 a month for seniors cut prescription prices and improved maternal Health by expanding postpartum care
through Medicaid they also passed the first meaningful fund safety law in three decades forming a bipartisan Coalition they enacted a $1 trillion investment in the country's infrastructure to remove every lead pipe in America and make the most significant investment in public Transit repairing Bridges and high-speed internet in history as president of the Senate vice president Harris set a new record for the most tie-breaking votes cast by a vice president in history surpassing a record that had stood for nearly 200 years and her votes have been consequential this includes casting the decisive vote to secure passage
of the landmark inflation reduction act the largest investment ever in tackling the climate crisis she also presided over the unprecedented vote to confirm the first black woman Justice katangi Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court while working alongside President Biden to achieve historic representation of women and people of color among nominees at all levels of the federal government in 2017 she was sworn into the United States Senate Comm Harris is a brand new Senator her office was in the basement a far cry from the fancy digs of State Attorney General but she was extremely happy to
be there where she championed legislation to Fight Hunger provide rent relief improve maternal Health Care expand access to capital for small businesses Revitalize America's infrastructure and combat the climate crisis I have a great deal of of support for the Department of Homeland Security's Mission and purpose to protect our homeland there could be no more important work and responsibility she questioned two Supreme Court nominees while serving on the Judiciary Committee she also worked to keep the American people safe from foreign threats and crafted bipartisan legislation to assist in securing American elections while serving on the Senate
select committee on intelligence in 2010 vice president Harris was elected Attorney General of California where she oversaw the largest state justice department in the country she's California's most Innovative District Attorney kamla Harris created a long overdue child assault unit the first ever environmental justice unit a national model for early intervention she took on those who were preying on the American people winning A2 billion settlement for Californians whose homes had been foreclosed on and a $1.1 billion settlement for students and Veterans who were taken advantage of by a for-profit education company she also defended the Affordable
Care Act in court and enforced environmental laws even with all these achievements and eagerness to fight for the people many still suggest that Kamala is unfit for the position of President and Trump should rather be voted in well let's see what the keys have to say to that as we analyze each of their competencies and eventually predict the emerging winner we hope at the end of this video you'd be able to form your own opinion as regards this keep watching the democrat's replacement of Joe Biden with kamla Harris cost the party three keys to Victory
according to Alan lishman but they have an Advantage with four more in play in an interview with new nations he says Harris has lost the party mandate key with the major losses in 2022 midterm elections the Republicans took control of the House of Representatives after they passed the threshold of 218 seats while Democrats retained control of the Senate by gaining the state of Pennsylvania from the Republicans this makes Kamala bound to lose the party mandate key as the Democrats occupy less seats in the house liman also said Harris has also lost the Charisma and incumbency
keys this is because in previous appearances on news Nation lickman had recommended that if President Joe Biden were to withdraw from the campaign he should also resign the presidency to give Harris the advantage of incumbency President Joe Biden has just announced that he is dropping out of the 2024 presidential race this happening just moments ago but his advice was not heeded so they are down by one more key under lickman Key's model Democrats would have to lose three more keys in order for him to predict a Harris loss but he says that's not likely to
happen on the other hand he says that four of his keys remain in play the influence of a third party candidate the possibility of major social unrest a big foreign policy or military failure and a big foreign policy or military success lickman says the most popular third-party candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr would have to attract about 10% of the electorate to be a factor which is most likely not possible as far as social unrest being a factor lickman says the demonstrations we saw this spring have fizzled a possible but unlikely event could be violent demonstrations
surrounding the Democratic National Convention in Chicago as happened in 1968 a new legal move from AC groups planning protests for the Democratic National Convention the city is blocking their protest plans but the groups are fighting back and as tensions build some comparisons are already being made to the notoriously chaotic Convention of 1968 according to lman the shakiest keys are the two centered on foreign policy and the military this is why Kamala Harris is talking about the need for a ceasefire and hostage release in Gaza if the incumbent Administration can pull that off they may well
win the the foreign policy or military success key which they don't have in hand right now lickman discounted Harris's upcoming decision about a running mate and simmering talk of Republican dissatisfaction with Trump running mate JD Vance as there's no key for the vice presidency and no evidence that vice presidential picks influence the outcome of Elections Kamala chances are condition-based and would take a whole lot of effort to push the citizens to make a decision that would favor the incumbent party but what are the keys saying exactly about Trump even after lisman once predicted that he
might not be able to run a second time for the presidency which he's now doing get ready for the most thrilling part of the video Donald Trump's chances according to the 13 keys to the White House former president of the United States and renowned business tycoon Trump was at the very peak of his career just before he had fatal crashes that formed the basis of lickman predictions of not being able to make a successful comeback some of his major business failure will be talked about over the next few minutes in 2006 Trump announced that after
years in the real estate business he would be launching a mortgage company before he was president-elect Donald Trump was the king of the Big Apple my name is Donald Trump and I'm the largest real estate developer in New York his son Donald Jr predicted that it would soon be the nation's number one home loan lender and Trump himself attested that he knew so well about finances and the business would be a whopping success within a year and a half the mortgage closed down leaving Trump wrong with his own predictions in 2007 Donald Trump kicked off
his line of Premium sticks that he dubbed the world's greatest the company has since been discontinued and maybe it had something to do with the Trump's Steakhouse in Las Vegas being closed down in 2012 for 51 health code viol violations including serving a 5 months old duck in 2005 Trump opened the non-accredited Trump University 8 years later the New York attorney general sued Trump and the university for $40 million for allegedly defrauding students the next business that Trump launched that failed massively was the G trump.com this was launched in 2006 and was meant to be
a luxury travel search engine only to be shut down a year later despite being powered by booking giant Travelocity these major business disasters put Trump in a dilemma and at the time of his tenure as president his establishments faced several bankruptcy cases this ultimately led to him making irrational decisions and was impeached on the basis of abuse of power and obstruction of Congress but it seems he turned the tides around coming back to contest for a second tenure and just might stand a chance at emerging the winner let's take a closer look according to his
ratings by the 13 key framework Trump made a successful comeback despite all the major business crisis he faced and now there seems to be hope for him getting the seat of presidency upon careful analysis of his chances with the 13 Keys these are the results they provide Trump obtained the party mandate key as the Republicans took control of the House of Representatives after they passed the threshold of 218 seats the next key on board that he checks is the no third party key as of now there's no major independent third party that calls for concern
to Trump Robert F Kennedy Jr would have to attract about 10% of the electorate to be a factor and it is most likely not possible he marks true to the major policy change as during his administration he made major changes both home and abroad and a track record of long-sought conservative victories domestically from this policy change he also checks the major foreign or military success as he rebuilt the United States military after 8 years of Decline and neglect he also checks off the no primary contest and incumbency Key by default as the incumbent nominee loses
this Keys Trump is beyond reasonable doubts predicted to emerge the winner with reference to the 13 keys to the White House but during a recent rally in Pennsylvania Trump was attacked in an attempt to assassinate him if you want to see something that said take a look at what happened could this prediction be the reason why a presidential candidate was attacked only 100 days to the election sit tight for the thrilling part of the video at a rally in Pennsylvania days before Trump was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time an attempt to
assassinate him was carried out a garage of gunfire set off panic and a bloodied Trump who said he was shot in the ear was surrounded by secret service and hurried to his SUV the FBI identified the shooter as Thomas Matthew Crooks a 20-year-old guy from bethl Park Pennsylvania the agency said the investigation remains active and ongoing upon conclusion of Investigation secret service agent fatally shot Crooks who attacked from an elevated position outside the rally venue one attendee was killed and two Spectators were critically injured the attack was the most serious attempt to assassinate a president
or presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan was shot in 1981 it drew new attention to concerns about political violence in a deeply polarized United States less than 4 months before the presidential election though the shooter did not confess or mention anything about those who sent him some people hold opinions that the attempted assassination is in one way or the other connected to the forthcoming election because Trump is giving an advantage to the Republicans than the Democrats if we look closely Harris has other features she can use to her Advantage besides an attempt of assassination while the
candidates are yet to have an official debate lickman alongside other professors have made certain predictions of what the likely outcome of their debate would be now remember that Biden's performance in the June 27th debate was marred by some incoherent statements and a raspy voice which his team told reporters was due to a cold so he stepped aside from the election campaign and made way for Harris following the party's switch lickman predicted that former president Donald Trump would likely get slapped down by vice president kamla Harris if the two were to go head-to-head in a debate
during a live stream on his YouTube channel lickman tells the viewers that Trump does not want to debate Harris as he is in a tough spot he goes on to say Trump might be able to debate Harris but he'll probably be in a lot of trouble he brings to mind Trump's debate against Hillary Clinton who is certainly not as fasil as Harris but who beat him every single time lickman categorically states that Trump can do one of two things debate Harris and likely get slapped down or duck it and if he Ducks it he says
Trump would look like a coward lickman says if he were to advise Harris she should let the debate rule be a freefor all and allow Trump to be his typical bombastic obnoxious self he added that the contrast would play to her Advantage with most voters who value even a modum of Civility in an interview with Newsweek an associate professor of political science Thomas gift says kamla Harris can perform better in a debate than Biden at the same time she describes Trump as a sneaky good debater and it can be hard to fact check his fire
hose of lies on the spot without veering off message well only time will tell what the outcome of the upcoming elections will be and if Allan liman's predictions will turn out to be true do you think Trump's attempted assassination was conspired by some Democrats as Harris supposedly doesn't stand a chance against him or that Harris would really slap Trump down in a debate let's know in the comments section remember to like share and subscribe for more also click the following video shown on your screen you will enjoy it
