hey everyone it's F around and my name is Jordan I had a a very nice uh streak going pretty much uh since the uh Allstar break uh had ended and started back up but uh uh Wednesday was a pretty humbling uh this video will be for Thursday's slate of games we have just five games um I I put a lot of time into that breakdown yesterday and uh just spent hours of staring at lines so here uh I'm I'm going to do the full uh breakdown again uh I'm I'm just going to point point out
plays that I I see that I like um and and talk about some opportunities for lines that are not out yet but I'm going to go ahead and jump into it you'll see images that come up on the screen right here that's from a date app called outlier there will be a link in the description for a 7-Day free trial for outlier those first game is the Warriors at the magic Warriors are five and a half Point favorites so one of their big men Jackson Davis is questionable and kaminga is out and for the magic
uh Cole Anthony is expected to return they thought uh his injury might have been pretty bad but he looks like he might not miss any time and then jayen Suggs and mo Vagner remain out uh the Warriors since the break have three blowout wins and then the magic uh they've beaten the bad teams and they've lost to the good teams uh so they're two and two out of the Break um still trying to kind of figure out their their offense and and their identity you know they they had a lot of potential you know last
year uh they just haven't been able to really figure things out out um but this match Up's uh an interesting one so both teams are giving up the six least points or lower over the past couple weeks uh so two really great defensive teams the Warriors they start Draymond Green at the center position he is 66 and then I checked the magic lineup um just their their potentially starting point guard if Cole Anthony does not play Anthony black is a 67 but they have France Vagner Paulo banero W Carter Jr um Jonathan Isaac and Goa
baz who are all 610 so they are very tall um across the board pretty much uh so this could be an interesting matchup uh the Warriors would need to kind of need the game plan that the Cavaliers had and pretty much just knocked down a bunch of Threes uh but they worked inside out and the Cavs have the bigs do that the Warriors don't necessarily have that um they just need to to be hot uh so this this could kind of be uh a game for the Warriors I know I said that for the Cavaliers
but the Cavaliers just kept rolling the Warriors are going to Orlando they they could struggle here and they've been really struggling with giving up rebounds so um with all that size you know they're giving up the seventh most rebounds to these Center positions so there's wend Carter Jr um but also you know you could look at Paulo banero France Vagner um and those guys uh for rebounds um just forcing a lot of Miss shots here uh with their height uh but this this isn't necessarily one that I would uh want to uh you know try
to find some props for unless I found a pretty decent like rebound type line um I feel like a lot of guys could go under this could just be really tough game um but this next game is more exciting the the nuggets at the Bucks the nuggets are two and a half Point favorites U nuggets Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray are probable and for the bucks Giannis is probable but he's been on a minutes restriction around 32 minutes usually uh if you go to Twitter and go to Underdog uh NBA They will announce the minutes
restriction of shortly before game time and um they could say it's lifted they could say it's remaining around 32 minutes um but the Nuggets since the break uh they beat the Hornets uh then they got blown out by the Lakers and then they beat the Pacers uh the Bucks have three wins and then a close loss versus H Houston which is pretty respectable so both these teams want to play Fast the the Bucks have upu their pace and the nuggets have play played at a fast pace all season long um the Nuggets defensively just haven't
been that great uh so if we get an Unleashed Giannis I would love his his points line or potentially assist line the the Nuggets they give up the third most assist um in the NBA right now but they've been in the top three all season long uh when you look at the the past month uh so Dame's assist is pretty high Yannis could be one to look at if his minutes restrictions lifted I think it's pretty high where it's at with a minute restriction and on the other side of things the Bucks are giving up
the fourth most rebounds to teams so uh guys that I would like there are joic or um Michael Porter Jr and Christian Brown I think they they all have been rebounding extremely well Michael Porter Jr rebounds assist was a go-to for a while that's starting to look like a play again and then Christian Brown rebounds alone is is looking pretty Sol and the Bucks have struggled against the center position giving up points but yic the volume just hasn't really been there for the past two games I'm not sure what's going on but um I I
would not go with uh his his points until we see that volume come back um but I don't think uh you know rebounds and assists is is out of play um and especially triple double is in play but it's atus 125 now it's not a plus one 100 play anymore it's crazy that your triple doubles minus 125 um but that that is definitely in play here in this matchup Fast Pace uh giving up a lot of rebounds and he is passing the ball a lot more um and um not shooting as much so a sneaky
assist play could be Kyle kozma believe is at two and a half assist um and he has been doing pretty well with the Bucks passing the ball um being a team player so that is kind of a a sneaky one to look at if you you like it so if you guys could please like the video and if you haven't please subscribe to the channel if you have a little bit of extra time could just leave a comment for the algorithm you just put the number one that helps get the video out there for more
people to see and also if you use prize picks and you want to get away from it or if you just want to have other apps to compare you know payouts and stuff like that or have Dynamic payouts check out Underdog fantasy sleeper parlay plate chalkboard or better Underdog is matching your first deposit up to $11,000 uh the rest up to $100 and better uh is matching up to$ 250 for your first bet so uh promo codes F around 11 for those his next games another one that could be interesting is the Hornets at the
Mavericks their Hornets are plus uh 10.5 underdogs whenever they have a lamelo ball uh Bridges and Mark Williams they can be pretty competitive and 10 and a half points uh that's a lot to give to them uh they beat the Lakers whenever they were uh were healthy so um they are going to be healthy here the Hornets uh they have they do have a lot of injuries but nothing significant and then the Mavericks uh PJ Washington is questionable I think that's a big piece if he's if he's out then uh definitely would lean towards the
Hornets but if he plays the the Mavericks are are still just kind of decimated uh down low Hornets are one and four out of the break the one win was versus the Lakers um the Mavericks are one and two so they haven't been uh great uh either so we got to look out for would be miles Bridges uh points uh he's usually been pretty consistent this year whether lamelo's been playing or not um or you can take a look at his rebounds um that's usually a good play um both teams are in the top eight
uh for giving up the most rebounds so uh Mark Williams definitely a great play uh while I was writing everything down and about to film I I checked and they did drop lines for uh Mark Williams they didn't put just like rebounds alone they had just like the points rebounds combo uh so I'll put that up on the screen they dropped him at 222 for Points Plus rebounds he did have 12 and 12 the the last game that he played in a blowout uh versus the Warriors The Warriors obviously uh they're struggling with with having
you know big men um down low and he was able to get 12 and 12 and a blowout where he had to sit um and earlier this year he had 13 and 133 uh vers the Maverick so he really may not be a bad look and uh even on Underdog right now if you look at his double double um they it's plus 100 so you can get a boost there if you go with his double double uh which um you know is pretty close to the 22 and a half uh I really like Mark Williams
here in this matchup and then for rebounding uh if PJ Washington plays he would be the go-to guy uh for rebounds and then I looked at that Lakers game to see who else stepped up uh PJ Washington uh did really well he's you know the top rebounder but Kyrie and clay also um rebounded really well with seven and eight uh so you can keep you can take a look at where those uh come out at like I said rebound lines alone did not come out um when I was looking at these next game is another
one that that could be great for uh lines for props for for all that stuff it's the Pelicans at the Suns so pelicans have been giving up uh pretty much the most points all season long Pelicans they will be without Kelly alen and Bruce Brown um and then the suns have no significant injuries uh Pelicans are two- one coming out of the break and they have gone under and all of their points totals which are usually pretty high um and then the suns are one and three out of the break uh so Suns they're playing
all their guys they got Bradley Beal back in the starting lineup um and and they're trying um this should be an opportunity for them they are seven and a half Point favorites but the the Pelicans they have some guys that can score CJ McCollum uh Trey Murphy Zion Williamson uh clearly uh so you know s and a half points yeah I kind of this could be a nice Underdog day so over the past two weeks the Pelicans are giving up the most points the suns are giving up the fourth most points um there are lines
out for this and a solid look that I I found was CJ mccolm over rebounds plus assists is at seven and a half uh you can see it on the screen um he's gone over in three straight uh since the break and he's gone over in the last four against the Suns uh the suns are giving up the fourth most rebounds and the fourth most assists to the point guard position where CJ mccolm is slotted out right now and then on the other side of things a guy who has been consistent and just come out
of nowhere is Bradley Beal I like his P you see he's just crushed it 27 and A2 he's gone over in six straight and earlier this year he had 24 points for rebounds four assists ver to Pelicans uh Pelicans just continue toh be bad defensively they are giving up the six most points and the third most assist to the shooting guard positions you take a look at the props Madness uh heat map here you'll see uh they are bottom 10 in his uh two best zones for scoring in the restricted area and Beyond the break
uh at the three-point line so a couple props to take a look at uh that I found that I liked and then this last one is the Timberwolves at the Lakers Lakers are five and a half Point favorites uh for the Timberwolves Rudy goar remains out as well as Julius Randall Anthony Edwards is questionable so that's a that's going to be an interesting one hopefully he does play and for the Lakers LeBron is listed as likely to play um I know a lot of people are going to be on NAS Reed for Points Plus rebounds
uh he has played great uh with uh Rudy goar and Julius Randall out um he's gone over his line in in every single game that he has played and he has played the Thunder three times and the Houston Rockets one time with those guys out and he's gone over in all those tough matchups I would just say be careful I know this seems like a great matchup but I checked over the past couple weeks the Lakers are giving up the least points and the least rebounds to these Center positions but since the break the Timberwolves
are one and two and the Lakers are three and one and they're starting to kind of catch a groove and you know really beat teams pretty badly so Props to look out for uh the Timberwolves they struggle against point guard position with points Lucas's points pretty high and they struggle giving up rebounds and his rebounds is also uh pretty high so maybe you could do like a a parlay where you kind of bump his rebounds down a little bit um and mix it in with some other guys uh that you like but with the way
the Lakers are playing I would definitely lean towards the uh the spread for the Lakers at at five and a half it could definitely be a close game uh the Timberwolves did play great against the Thunder but the Lakers just have a lot of Firepower right now so uh that's my my look for those uh five games if you want to discuss lines further I have a Discord link is in the description you can hop on in there conversation will be going on all day long um then as far as a recap goes for the
last video uh like I said I spent hours and hours and hours uh just looking at lines and doing the breakdown and um I found I found five plays I put in the video that I I felt really good about and um we we'll just go through them um I it started out with Denny ABIA over three and a half assists he got one in the first quarter and then he got injured he came back he got injured again uh so that one missed and then um I had cam Johnson against the Thunder he had
uh for under three and a half three-pointers made he had not gone over that line in 10 straight games he had gone under in like 80% of games this year um going up against the Thunder who are one of the toughest defenses and he knocks down two threes you know start the game uh makes a third one right at the end of the half and then makes one right at the end of the game to go over and uh it just makes me you know just not want to ever take an under again and and
this gets worse uh Dyson Daniels over five and a half rebounds um I said I said I had taken his rebounds assists at nine and a half the previous game versus Miami which was the the same matchup uh it came out at 10 and a half and I did not like it that night it actually got bumped down during the day and uh I would have gone with uh the 9 and 1/2 um if I had seen it um but I had already made the video with 5 and 1/2 uh he got really close there
at the end but he he did not get it he hooked uh so this gets worse uh James Harden over eight and 1 half assist in one of the best assist matchups versus the Bulls um he ended up with six a lot of other guys were getting assists uh like kawh Leonard was a guy I was I was looking at and zubac was the guy I was looking at but I was like no let's just go with the guy who's who's like the guy that gets assist and uh it it wasn't him it was them
uh so that one was awful and then I had Jordan Clarkson over two and a half three-pointers made uh he had just been crushing it as of late I think it was like the last nine games he had gone over he had gone over in every single game with Colin seon out um they had a bunch of other guys out he he had all the the free reign in the world to take threes and and uh I think he made a shot at the end of the game but it was a two uh it would
he I don't remember the total but I he was like 0 for nine from three and finished with two points so maybe last time I take Jordan Clarkson um so it was just an ugly ugly night um like I said things have been going great out of the break and then uh this happened and I was just like man I I spent I've spent too much time uh researching um so I'm going to try to figure out a way to to kind of look at these games in general um if I see something that I
like you know like the CJ McCullen play and the Bradley be play I'm going to point those out um but I'm going to take a look in the morning and put plays in the pin comment I know EV from guy Boston Sports he kind of just does his run through and then he'll you know spend his time looking for plays um you know he'll make like little small parlays uh for for decent payouts and and those they're always safe and they hit um and they make money so doing this the night before I don't have
all those alt lines out I don't have all that uh available to me so I'm going to take it easy at night time and I will be working on the pin comment um uh when I can so I'm get I'm going to get this edited and get it out to you God bless you all it's final round my name is Jordan I will catch you on the next one bye