Geo-Strategy #11: The Second American Civil War

today uh we will be discussing the second um American Civil War so I want to make the you the argument that um a conflict is very likely and so we'll be discussing why it's likely how this war will menit benefits itself and what will happen after this war okay so the first thing to know about America is that it is a country that enjoys violence okay you can you can say that Americans are addicted to violence okay so for example America has 434 guns oh sorry 434 million guns that's 1.3 guns for every one person

and the guns they have a lot of them are like semi- machine guns okay so it's a very um gun obsessed Society not only that but they believe that gun ownership is their sacred right as Americans so the Second Amendment of the Constitution is that every American has the right to bear arms um then there's American football football have you guys seen uh American football where guys just bang at each other okay is it is extremely violent sport in fact America is really the only country that plays a sport and Americans love football the Super

Bowl is the most watched um TV event every year and um the game the game of football causes a lot of psychological injuries okay so um there are a lot of football players who at age 30 they either commit suicide or they will kill someone because their brains have been destroyed by the game okay it is extremely violent Sport and even though it is barbaric Americans uh love it uh Americans also worship their history of Wars okay they believe that fighting War it's Noble and it's sacred okay so second thing to know about America is

that it has a long history of fighting Wars in fact you can make the argument that America has been continuously at War since its founding in 1776 okay even before that um so the first major war that America fought of course was the revolution right 17 1776 war of independence and um the reality it is that Americans believed this war was sacred and it was a revolution in human Affairs but if you actually look at the history of this war you'll discover that the Americans didn't really fight this war for good reason um they fought

this war because the British were taxing them but if you think about it well the British were providing defense they were proving Army right so the British had a very good Reon reason to tax the Americans but the Americans like this so they rebelled okay um and the rebellion was actually the first American Civil War because there were actually a lot of Americans who wanted to remain in the union and so um these loyalists a lot of them were terrorized by extremists who wanted Independence okay so that is the American uh uh Revolution but after

American Revolution The Americans embarked on something called Manifest Destiny and the idea of manifest destiny is that it is God's will that America controls all of the Americas okay North America and South America so the Americans embarked on a violent colonization of all lands okay killing many Natives and other people to uh control America okay Manifest Destiny and then this led to in from 1861 to 1865 the American Civil War okay which killed 800,000 a million Americans okay but it it was the deadliest war that America ever fought okay much more so than World War

II and World War I in fact more people died in this war than in War then in World War I and World War II combined for America right and if you looked at the reason for the Civil War again you're like they didn't actually have to fight this war okay so at the founding of the nation America was divided into North and South and the difference is that North the north um was very industrial and the South was agricultural okay and because the economies were different um the way they showed their politics and culture and

Society were different so the north believed in free labor meaning that you were free to do any job you want and employers were free to hire anyone they wanted and this system is obviously much more efficient because it's a it's a much better use of man power and so this caused the north to prosper and become very very wealthy and expanded okay so at the start of uh the Civil War in 1861 the North had a population of 22 million people okay very wealthy very powerful The South was an agricultural um uh was an agricultural

base economy and therefore it have to rely on slave labor all right um and even though slave labor made wealthy people very prosperous it was not good for the economy as a whole okay it was an inefficient use of Manpower and at the start of the war they only had about 9 million people okay but what's important to remember is that the north was an an industrial based economy The South was an agricultural BAS economy so in terms of weapons Manufacturing in terms of Logistics in terms of organization the North had a huge advantage over

the South right now now why did they fight the war and the center explanation is because the north wanted to get rid of the evil of slavery and that's not true that's not what happened um so at the beginning of the founding of the nation the Constitution permitted uh slavery okay slavery was legal and um so the South were free to have as many slaves as they want the north didn't want didn't need slaves because because it was an industrial based um economy the problem was the nation was expanding westwards okay the nation was expanding

West and they were adding more States into the union and the more states there are are um they can send senators and representatives to Washington DC okay and the fear was that if these Western uh states were proslavery then that would tip the balance in favor of the proslavery uh cap but if the reverse were true if the western states were anti-slavery then the so the South would be marginalized okay so for decades there's this Fierce debate as to how to handle um these Western States as they were emitted into the Union one by one

okay and the solution what they call the Missouri Compromise is that for every one state that came in as proslavery the other state the next state had to be anti-slavery okay does that make sense to maintain the balance but the problem of course is that a lot of these Western States had their own opinions so um the Western so some of these Western States for example Kansas would would would want to be anti-slavery okay so for decades this was a huge issue politically um In America which divided the nation the turning point was in 1860

when Abraham Lincoln was elected president of the United States and Lincoln was radically anti-slavery he believed that slavery was evil and had to be abolished at some point okay the rest of the world abolished slavery why is it in America there are so many slaves so that was Lincoln's agenda but Lincoln was also a lawyer and he believ that the sou legally had a right to slavery but over time what we can do is limit slavery in the west and therefore over time it maybe 100 years time slavery would naturally cease to exist okay that

was Lincoln's plan now the S did not like this plan and they were afraid of what Lincoln might really do as president so they declared independence from the United States it was was they basically succeeded from the union okay and Lincoln response invaded the South okay so basically the Civil War was a battle over how much power the federal government had okay so from the perspective of the South they were fighting a war for their right to freely Express their political views okay and the north was fighting to maintain the union slavery was not the

main issue in fact Lincoln himself said that um if it if if I could end the war about freeing any slaves I would do so slavery is not is not the main issue keeping the union intact was the main issue okay does that make sense okay so but again um they could have chosen to politically compromise they could have had discussions right they could have even broke apart but uh they chose to fight a gruesome Civil War okay so the third thing you need to know to know about America is that America resolves conflicts for

violence okay it doesn't really have a history of diplomacy it has the history of War making okay that's how America usually resolves um issues so um given this history now let's look at the conflicts in America today to see how serious uh the division is and the reality is that today it's actually very very serious far more so than in 1861 when they fought the first Civil War okay so let's look at the division the first major division is basically between the halves and half knots okay so inequality and debt um so the wealthy the

top 1% not only do they control most of the wealth in America um but they also control what we call the means of production meaning that if new money comes into the system they will seize it okay so basically the 12 1% have a monopoly over wealth production and the way they make most of their money is actually through collecting debt okay by exploiting other people and this is what we call a rentier economy okay now what exaggerates makes this situation even worse are the culture wars so America is divided between left and right and

this division actually goes back to the very founding of America in the 1600s okay so um in America in its founding there's there were two opposing Visions or Str or strands okay the first strand are people who came to America to build a kingdom of God a Christian Nation that follows the laws of God okay these are the pilgrims and the peritan okay and we've discussed them before and they've always been there okay and they today comprise the right and the right are people who believe in Conservative Christian values okay the left but there's also

another strand of America and these are um dissident or political dissident and they believe in the enlightenment they believe that reason should be the god of human Affairs okay and these were the founding fathers okay the founding fathers believed in something called theism which is that there is a God but God gave us the power reason and logic to determine our own Affairs so uh the Constitution um is is a document based on on deism okay separation of church and state and they want to create a multicultural secular Empire okay and today it man manefit

El in the left okay now there's actually um a lot of s a lot of crossover between the left and the wealthy okay because if you look at the left it's usually um Urban liberal and college educated okay and Coastal okay and these are the people usually with all the money okay so the inequality only makes the culture wars much worse and so the right feel left out okay another major division in America that's important is the one between Empire and democracy meaning that there are many people in America who benefit from America being an

Empire but the rest suffer from the fact that America is an Empire okay so for example the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq made Wall Street very rich right but it was the poor the right who sent their sons to fight in these wars and who lost their lives or lost a limb okay it was the poor who were taxed in order to fund these wars and it's the poor who must pay off the debt from these wars okay so the right is also very isolationist meaning like they don't want to fight these wars they think

that America should be an island it should not intervene in the Affairs of the world okay so there are a lot of Divisions in uh America the problem today is that there's no actual solution to any of these divisions okay and and the reason why um there are three major reasons why um a civil war would probably break out okay the first major reason is the over militarization of America and so what this means is that okay first of all we've already said that in America there are 434 million guns right in private hands so

every individual has access to one or two guns that's the first problem second problem is that if you go to a small small town in America and you look at like the police there you think that okay a small town it's safe they should have I don't know pistols right in fact they have armored vehicles some of them they have tanks they have helicopters they have bulletproof vests they have machine guns okay they got all this from the military so that's just like a local police force I'm not even talking about uh the state militias

okay the National Guard these guys are basically an army onto themselves then you have federal agencies like the FBI and the CIA and home security okay NSA okay there's dozens dozens of these federal agencies they themselves are their own Army meaning that the FBI and the CIA all have their special forces tanks helicopters Jets bombs missiles okay so these guys can go to war against each other okay then you have the US military the US military is divided into um the Army the Air Force the Marines the Navy okay and then have some something called

a space force okay okay all right to show you how powerful the uh US military is okay let's look at the top five air forces in the world okay the top five institutions or countries with the most powerful Air Force in the world who's number one who's number one do you think US Air Force right who's number two do you guys know the top five air forces in the world number one would be the US Air Force right who's number two do you think guess take a guess who's number two yeah okay russan actually number

three okay the Russian Air Force will be number three who's number two though H the UK the British right nope okay number two is actually the US Navy who's number number three is Russia number four is who can you guys guess the US Army and who's number five can you guys guess it's the US Marines okay so four of the top five Air Force in the world are an arm of the US military okay number one is the US Air Force number two is the US Navy number three is Russia the entire country of Russia

okay number four is the US Army number five is the US Marines that's how powerful America is but then you have special forces um and again we've disced special forces in this class before and we said that special forces are good for um special circumstances like for example hijackings okay or covert operations the problem with special forces is they cannot be controlled okay so for example in Mexico the people who run the drug drug cartels are former Special Forces okay do you understand the people who run the drug cartels in Mexico and who commit the

most violence in the world are former members of their special forces that's why you want to limit your special forces okay so in the year 2000 America had 38,000 Special Forces today it has 70 uh 2,000 or 73,000 I can't remember okay that's a lot of Special Forces these guys are trained in demolition destroying buildings they're they're an army unto themselves okay it would take exactly a thousand of these guys exactly a thousand of these guys to overthrow the US government okay and guess what Delta Force which is the most elite um special force unit

in America has exactly 1,000 members so you you have this guy who runs SLE force and he's like I want to over the I want to over the US government for whatever reason he can do so because they're so powerful okay so I think Special Forces it's just a bomb waiting to explode so the first major issue is this the over over militarization of America where anyone who has access to weapons can choose to start a war okay that's the first problem second problem is the breakdown of narratives okay so a nation is a fiction

a narrative that everyone believes in and there are certain narratives that have keep have kept America United Okay so for example the first narrative is the American dream right the equality of opportunity um so that as long as you work hard and you play by the rules you will succeed in America right that's the American dream guess what guys No One Believes In this anymore okay and the reason why is the inequality in America as well as the cultural Wars so if you're a young person you don't believe that if you work hard you own

a house and you will be wealthy you don't believe that okay you think like the game is stacked against you you believe that Washington is corrupt it only serves the interest of the rich you believe that the wealthy have stole everything they've monopolized wealth and you believe that whatever money you make will be stolen by the rich and by the government okay so there's actually no reason to work hard so this idea that if you work hard you will succeed it's dead okay now the new American dream is how do I stay out of debt

right if you are if you're a college graduate you have tens of thousands of dollars in debt consumers have thousands of dollars in credit card debt you can no longer afford houses if you buy a house you can't pay off the mortgage okay okay so this idea of the American dream it's basically dead for most people then you have the narrative that America is good okay you believe that America represents democracy it represents Liberty it defends Freedom all around the world guess what guys most people in America don't believe this anymore okay so for example

in the on the left people are taught that America is a nation founded on slavery violence and War America is a force of Destruction and evil okay that's what people on the left are taught people on the right believe that America is an imperialist power that goes around and destroys countries for no reason okay so most people don't actually believe that America is a Force for good anymore right uh and then you look at what's happening in Israel right well more young people now believe that America is a force of evil in the world the

other narrative that's really important is that is The Narrative of liberalism and the idea of liberalism is is that even though we have differences there are mechanisms for us to work out our differences for example the right to freedom of speech okay freedom of speech you can say whatever you want okay then you but what's important is to debate the opponent and come to a compromise based on logic evidence and the facts okay so for the longest time liberalism was what brought the left and the right together okay liberalism tried to be in the middle

but now liberalism is dead okay and the reason why is in 2016 Donald Trump became president of the United States and the Liberals America went crazy they could not believe that Donald Trump could be um elected so they came to believe that the problem was democracy itself the problem is that people could not be reasoned with therefore liberalism makes no sense if people are stupid if people cannot be reasoned with why give them freedom of speech why let them debate why let them vote okay so liberalism today is dead so the stories that basically bind

the country together no longer work okay does that make sense then the third problem is breakdown of Authority or institutions okay what kept the country together was the fact that people believed that the Elites in power knew what they were doing and they were um they cared about the well-being of the nation and of the people okay but recent events have shown this isn't true okay so for example the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq right well why did America fight these wars for no reason then you had the 2008 financial crisis where the banks basically

stole from the nation stole from the poor and kept the money and everyone everyone was screwed okay then you had Co right covid where the the government the elite locked down the entire nation kids could not go to school the poor could notot go to work and make a living and there was actually no evidence that Co was actually dangerous okay then um the government made everyone take a experimental vaccine and people were like why are we doing this okay so Elite actions over the past 20 years have made people cynical of power so that

to in today's world there's actually in in today's America there's no more trusted institution okay before you had um government you had media like New York Times Washington Post you had science you had military okay um and the government is like they're just corrupt right screw them Congress is just hated by everyone okay the mil the media is just speaks for the rich they're always lying to us right New York Times Washington Post CNN they're just liars okay so no one trusts the media anymore then you have science and you can't you can't trust science

because of Co right science made everyone take an experimental vaccine for no reason so you can't trust science anymore the military goes fights Wars for no reason look at Ukraine look at Israel okay so in other words there's no institution in America that can bring people together anymore they're not trusted oh and also sorry I forgot about universities before people start universities but not anymore because of the culture wars right so that's the problem in America right now you have three things going on you have the militarization of society where anyone can start a war

for no reason okay second is that you have a breakdown of the stories and narratives that bind the country together so no one knows what it means to be American anymore and number three is there are no more authority figures no more institutions that can bring people together they can only divide people okay okay does does that make sense okay and this is getting worse so um we we've seen the government fall the media fall the science fall military fall universities but there's also the justice system right the courts and this is falling as well

because of Donald Trump remember like last week in New York City Donald Trump was convicted guilty of 34 felonies okay and so people are now no longer trusting the court system the justice system okay so again all these sacred institutions in America they're all falling one by one okay so does does this make sense so if you look at all this okay America's History of Violence the conflicts raging in America the fact that there America no longer believes in institutions and in narratives okay then the most likely outcome is a civil war okay does that

make sense so any questions so far yeah so um s asked a very good question like how powerful is the American president the answer is that he's really a figurehead okay he's not he's not that powerful okay U because because as Seline points out uh Power is diffused in America in institutions and if these in institutions are corrupt there's very little the president can do about it and that's why this year in November 2024 we will see the lowest turnout one of the lowest turnouts of Voters in American history because people just give up okay

right four years ago they came out to kick TR out of office because they believe that Trump was a threat to democracy and with Biden people recognize that no it's all corrupt just burn the system down who cares okay so no one cares who's President anymore and that and that's going to help Trump in November okay any more questions before I move on okay so SEL asked a question what will the Civil War look like okay that's a very good question and the answer is it will look nothing like the first Civil War okay because

in the first Civil War there was clearly a division that the divided the nation okay a proslavery camp and an anti-slavery Camp okay but as we can see from uh this chart in today's America conflicts uh there are many sorts of conflict there are many sorts of factions in America okay and therefore the Civil War will not be one event but it will be a series of violent episodes over 10 20 50 years okay does that make sense so let's go over these events okay the first thing that would probably happen are sort of riots

and unrests okay and we saw that during the first Trump presidency uh because because of the George FL Floyd black lives matter protest okay so we'll see more of that when Trump becomes president where um people are so angry at this election they'll start rioting okay and there'll be a lot of unrest um second is basically civil uh conflict meaning that neighbors take guns against each other so um America is divided between left and right but there actually pockets America where left and right are very closely they live very closely with with each other okay

so it's very it's very likely that take arms against each other but these would be small isolated Affairs where maybe one or two people get killed okay so you have civil conflict then you have state or city secession secession sorry I spelled this wrong secession meaning that you have maybe one City New York City City or one state California and they're so disgusted by the State of Affairs they declare independence okay they succeed and guess what they have their own Army their citizens are armed okay but they'll most likely be attacked by other states or

different groups okay so that would be a more major conflict okay then you have uh what we call insurgencies so basically um a political group who's trying to form a government of some sort okay so it's possible that you have Christian extremists or maybe leftwing extremists who try to overthrow the government of I don't know uh New York or Virginia okay right then you have um kudas where basically arm of the military maybe Special Forces most probably Special Forces tries to overthrow the government okay um so I think in because of the way things are

structured in the next civil war um all these things will happen at once okay and they'll build on top of each other but remember that America it's a very large country so there could be a lot of places where it's very peaceful there's no war okay but there could also be some places like New York City or Los Angeles where um there's just a lot of violence going on okay does that make sense um okay so whether or not the US government is over Throne that's a very specific question I don't know okay the only

thing I can do is like look at the structural forces and conclude that a civil war is very likely and that the Civil War it will be very chaotic but what will actually happen in the Civil War I don't actually know okay okay but I but what I will say is that given the nature of the Civil War I think like once the war ends um the outcome will be that America becomes a Christian isolationist theocracy okay and the reason is very simple Okay the reason is very simple remember that at the founding of America

there were two opposing visions of the country the first was to build a multicultural secular Empire to spread democracy and freedom around the world okay that was the first vision and America has achieved this Vision okay and it's led to all this conflict the second Vision which is also very strong is to believe in America as a white Christian Nation dedicated to the rule of God okay uh and so I think there will be extremists in America who will want to push this agenda and why would they win why would they win why are they

most likely to win this war okay the answer is they're most willing to fight and to die for what they believe in okay and guess what guys um a lot of these people happen to work in law enforcement the military and especially the Special Forces okay all right does that make sense so that's what I think would be the most outcome of the Civil War when it ends but I don't know when it will end okay and I I I don't actually know what happens in between the specifics okay all right so any more questions

before I finish okay the last thing I want to talk about is the specifics of how the Civil War will start okay what will ignite this war okay yeah yeah Peter um okay so Peter asked a great question which is universities in the past few decades have become more political sized okay meaning like they're not actually interested in teaching you how to think they're interested in teaching you how to think a certain way okay which is very uh leftwing okay so for example um the belief that America is a society based on violence and the

and slavery and the exploitation of minorities okay so there's a lot of correctness in universities today um and Peter asked the question okay so what what can we learn in University and the answer is that even though universities have become more politicalized your education in university is up to you okay why because University is very big there are a lot of professors and there are a lot of different classes okay and so it's up to you to structure your own learning and to be clear about what you want to learn and to understand uh the

limitations of the education you're getting okay does that make sense all right any more questions before I move on okay that's a great question okay um so Jack asked a question like who are the ones who don't trust universities and the answer of course error people who are left out of the system right so people who don't actually go to university the people on the right basically okay people on the left uh are composed mainly of college educated individuals who are wealthy okay um but at the same time there are many University who do not

like what's going on so there's a faction within the university professors and students who are dismayed by what's going on okay but they're only a but they're only a small fraction of the total population okay most universities have become extremely extremely leftwing okay uh any more questions before I move on okay all right so so uh so I'll move I'll move on to my next point which will answer your question okay all right now let's talk about how the Civil War will actually start okay and it's will start with the election of Donald Trump the

re-election of Donald Trump and the reason why is that Trump is a unique figure in American politics the reason why is that he embodies the culture wars okay meaning like the people on the left all that they hate in the right manifest themselves in Donald Trump okay he's white he's sexist he's racist he's a pig and he doesn't apologize for any of this he has no manners he's not educated he has no values okay all the left hate in the right manifest themselves in the body of Donald Trump and that's why the right loves Donald

Trump right because their enemies hate them okay so and for many the right Donald Trump is the Messiah okay he's the Jesus and everything that's happened in the past eight nine years for them has confirmed that Donald Trump is Jesus okay and the reason why is Donald Trump ever since he became elected um be elected president pres the left the elite has been trying to persecute him right remember that when he became president um they were spreading the media was spreading stories that Trump was a Russian agent he was a spy of Putin that's just

nonsense there's no evidence of that but people believe that okay then they were trying to say uh then they tried to use the justice system against Donald Trump right they impeached him twice they raided his house okay the trying to send him to prison a judge in Colorado tried to remove Donald Trump from the ballot meaning you couldn't vote for him so everything that the elite has done has been to destroy Donald Trump and therefore people in the right think this guy is our savior he's Jesus he's the Messiah okay does that make sense now

let's F out this if you are the on on the left if you're the elite if you're the rich and you hate Donald Trump there's exactly one way and only one way you can destroy Donald Trump forever how you guys know what would you do if you really wanted to destroy Donald Trump and you were like rich and liberal and Elite you go to Donald Trump you have dinner together and you say three words and you will you will destroy him what are these three words okay what you say to Donald Trump what you do

is you say let's be friends right why would that destroy Donald Trump what's the appeal of Donald Trump why why why why do people on the right love him why does Maga love him because that's right because he is an outsider he's the enemy of the elites because the elites hate him okay so all the elites have to do is become Donald Trump's friend right invite Donald Trump to his parties say all these nice things about him on the media and support Donald Trump and then and then people on the right will be like oh

we were fooled into thinking Donald Trump is an outsider when he's actually Insider okay then you've destroyed Donald Trump why won't Elite do that no it's not it's not because they're too proud it's because what it why why won't they do that like why won't they become friends with Donald Trump and you know it's something that Donald Trump probably wants as well right yeah it's hatred okay you understand it's pure hatred I want to kill this guy okay do you understand so you can see like the hatred between left and right remember that Donald Trump

manifests all the right okay all the cultural values of the right okay and and so people the elite hate this guy so much that they willing to do anything to get rid of this guy But the irony is that because of this anger and hatred they're doing everything to make Donald Trump Invincible okay this is what we call TDS or Trump derangement syndrome the inability to recognize who Donald Trump is and the inability to think properly about how to deal with Donald Trump okay the not only are the Elite trying as hard as they can

to destroy Donald Trump but at the same time they're destroying the institutions and the narratives that hold America together okay ever since Donald Trump became president the mainstream media New York Times CNN Washington Post have relentlessly attacked him therefore destroying their credibility okay therefore destroying liberalism it's the elites themselves who have destroyed the narratives and the institutions that b American together and it's all because of the hatred of Donald Trump okay does that make sense so it's really going to be this hatred of Donald Trump that drives the second American Civil War okay all right

does that make sense all right so let's see how this will play out okay so what will start this Civil War is is in November Trump becomes president okay so Trump becomes president and the first thing that Trump has to figure out when Once to become president is how does he stay in office for the rest of his life Okay the reason why is the moment he leaves office he's going to be sued he's going to be put in jail he's going to be attacked by the elites okay so the first thing he needs to

figure out the only thing that he actually cares about is how do I stay in office for the rest of my life okay now there's a trick he can use to stay in office for the rest of his life okay because the Constitution says that you can only serve two terms as president but there's nothing in the Constitution that says you can't serve as vice president for as long as you want you understand so what Trump can do in 2028 is have his son run for president and he becomes the vice president but everyone will

know that he'll still be the president you understand does that make sense to you guys that's a trick he can use in 2028 okay because I guarantee you the moment he steps in the white house he's like okay how do I stay in here forever because it's either the White House or the jail house for me okay so he's going to think about how to stay in office and the easiest thing he can do is have his son uh da Jr run as president he he he's runs as vice president okay but everyone will know

that he's still a president does that make sense okay so you can imagine that if Trump does this then this will create a constitutional crisis in the country where like the left um the left go insane okay you're talking about like riots on the streets civil conflict maybe New York City and Boston be like we're leaving the union if Trump becomes president again okay um you have these insurgencies all around America to rebel against the Trump regime okay so this is something that Trump can do in 2028 okay another question then is what can he

do to ensure that he wins in 2028 and the E's answer is in his in over the next two three years start a war with Iran okay right start a war with Iran the reason why this is important is that by starting a war with Iran he wins over the Deep state right he wins over the Israel Lobby he wins over the military industrial complex he wins over a lot of the elite on his side okay does that make sense now we discussed that America cannot possibly win a war war against Iran this war can

only drag on right now let me ask you this question why would this be good for Trump if this if this in 2028 okay he he's running for vice president his son is President is running for president and the war in Iran is dragging on or it seems the United States is going to lose this war why would this be good for Trump in 2028 the entire Society the entire left is mobilized to get rid of trump right because they want this war in Iran to stop so why would this war be good for Trump

in 2028 okay I had to say this okay but there's going be a group of people who are doing anything they can to ensure that this war continues and who are they within America there's a group of people who are the most pro-empire of everyone else and they fight a war they want war to they want to win the war and they they'll do anything they can to ensure that this war is won and who are they which which part of the military exactly okay do you understand Special Forces okay these guys are the problem

Special Forces okay in 2028 if there's a war in Iran and Trump is running again to M to maintain the War I guarantee you these guys and other steep State members will come in and commit acts of terrorism acts of political assassination to ensure that Trump wins okay you also have election meddling election interference okay they're going to cheat on behalf of trump you understand but if that's the case okay if 20228 is an extremely contested election then we can imagine at that point the entire Civil War blows up okay New York City declares independence

Boston declares independence California declares independence you have all these Wars breaking out Across America okay meanwhile the United States is still fighting this pointless war in Iran right so I think that's what's going to happen all right any questions or is there anything you're not clear about okay um so the US military so so Jack's question is like who are the US Military Support okay so the US military is very complicated because because you know it's divided into a lot of different departments okay so the military is not one Beast it's like many many different

beasts okay um second problem is how the leadership of the military is actually extremely Democratic but the base the soldiers are extremely Republican okay so you have this ideological mismatch between the leadership the generals and the soldiers okay um so it's most likely that given these differences the military does not intervene in the Civil War okay but there is a group in the military who has the leeway the flexibility and the will to intervene in this war and its Special Forces right because they not controlled by bureaucracy does that make sense so the question then

is who will Special Forces support and the answer is that different special force units will support different factions okay that's why the Civil War can be extremely violent right because Americans will have access to guns but these guys have access to Jets and bombs and tanks okay does that make sense plus like like again each one of these guys can be a general in the war okay Special Forces is extremely powerful okay does that answer your question Jack okay any more questions okay so SEL ask a great question okay and this is actually the most

fundamental question it is really impossible for the left to imagine that Donald Trump will attack Iran because Trump is seen as extremely anti-war okay Donald Trump when he was when he was a first-term president um didn't start any War Wars and so the left is not expecting Donald Trump to clear War because he he he didn't do so and he's declared he won't do so okay but here's what we know first thing we know is that presidents on the campaign Trail do things radically different from when they become president okay every president is the same

way what you say in public before you become president what you do as president are two two very different things okay that's the first thing second thing is that Donald Trump um has recently said publicly that Joe Biden is not doing enough to protect Israel meaning that he will do more to support Israel what does that mean it means that he'll give Israel more weapons and he will defend Israel against its enemies which include Hezbollah and Iran okay that's the second thing the third thing is that there are now a group of billionaires who are

coalescing around Donald Trump okay and these billionaires are uh Miriam adelon who is the most pro- Israel billionaire in all of America and she plans to give Donald Trump $90 million okay that's a lot of money but then you also have someone like stepen schwarzman um and Bill Amman okay all these guys are extremely pro-israel they're Jewish billionaires who are extremely pro-israel now why are they giving Donald Trump a lot of money it's because they want something right and what I'm guessing is what they want is for Donald Trump to make Nikki Hy his vice

president okay and to staff his cabinet his government with pro-israel individuals okay who include uh M Mike Pompeo M Mike Pompeo uh and others okay in other words don don Donald Trump presidency uh the government is going to be extremely anti-iran and proar with Iran okay Niki Hill hilly a couple weeks ago went to Israel she visited Israel and she took a picture of herself and what she did was she signed a bomb okay a bomb that that was being dropped on Gaza and said finish them America loves Israel nickii okay she's calling for Mass

genocide against the Palestinians that's Nicki H guys all right so um given the way things are turning out I imagine that nickii becomes vice president and that's good for Trump because she's a skap in that one right Trump can say hey this war it's all H's fault right okay um also Trump believed that he won in 2020 okay he won in 2020 but why did he did he become but why did he lose the presidency because a deep State W the election and why did deep State wck the election because he refused to fight Wars

so if he want become if he wants to become president then he has no choice but to play along with the Deep State okay which means going to war so a lot of what he will do as president depends on if he picks Nikki Hy to be VP or not we'll know in August if he wants Nikki Hy to be uh his VP okay but if he picks niiki Hy as VP that's a sure sign that um he's going to go to war with Iraq I think okay because she'll be pushing for war with um

Iran okay but then the question is how will Donald Trump's base react okay because his base is actually extremely anti- Niki heli and anti-war right um and the answer is at first what will happen is that the elite the mainstream media will support Trump in this war with Iran okay and you have a lot of uh people who support Trump who feel who felt betrayed okay but then over time what will happen is that Donald Trump will figure out how to manipulate his base so that his base comes back to him do you understand okay

and so there are different ways he can do that first of all what he can do is blame Nikki Haley in the Deep sentence says oh I was fooled I was manipulated I now want out of this war okay after he wins in 2028 he can change directions and say I want I want I now want to end this war and make America into a Christian isolationist theocracy okay do you understand that that's something that he can do all right something something that that he can do is go against Israel okay and just say that

it's Israel that uh plan all this okay it's Israel that conspired to trick America into going to war he can say that and there'll be a lot of people who say that okay it was the Jews who conspired against us all right so there's a lot of things he can say but whatever he does all it's going to do is create more war okay within America he's all he's going to do is inflame the Civil War okay okay no matter what he does there's going to be people who love him and there people who hate

him and they're going to go war with each other and that's why I think Donald Trump as long as he's in office the Civil War is going to break out and it's G be very very uh violent okay because because he's it I mean again I don't know what it is about Donald Trump but he brings out the worst in people okay in 2016 uh before Donald Trump was Pres president America was actually a pretty sane place now it's insane now it's like you can't recognize it anymore okay now I mean I'll be honest with

you okay um I am very much on the left okay I think like a person on the left and I my values are extremely liberal left values okay and in 2016 when Trump became president I was traumatized I believe the world had fallen apart okay I believe the world was destroyed everything that I believed in was destroyed and it took me a long time to step out of the trauma but you know I still have these liberal friends and I gu and like the moment we talk about Trump if I if I say anything nice

about Trump which is like okay you know what Trump is an idiot but but he's representing people who feel marginalized they become so angry with me okay like like like I feel insecure or unsafe I feel as though they're about to punch me okay if I say anything nice about Donald Trump then people will want to punch me okay and like I'm their friend I've known him for like decades and they know that like I hate Donald Trump as much as anyone okay but you're not allow to say anything nice about Donald Trump among liberals

and leftist people Okay so so does that answer your question Seline okay so it's complicated okay um but I think this is what could happen right any more questions um okay so this goes back to the question of Empire okay so again unfortunately there are a lot of Americans who benefit from Empire okay that's what they that's that's why they want war with Iran especi so these people work on Wall Street they work for the military industrial complex and they tend to live in the suburbs okay okay any more questions is is there anything you're

not clear about does this does this argument make sense to you does the logic here make make sense to you guys okay is there anything you don't you want me to clarify okay all right so um next class we'll talk about what happens afterwards okay so what this is telling us that is that America is going to retreat from the world but when America Retreats from the world um it we we will live in a multi-polar world okay so next class we'll discuss what this multipolar world looks like okay