yo what's up guys it's Noah here and in today's video we're going to be talking through some player props that I like over on prize picks for today's NBA slate on Thursday February the 27th uh we do have a smaller slate today it's only a five-game slate so working with a little bit of a titer board but still got some early player props guys that I do like for this slate on Thursday right now we have props up for two of the five games and I did already find two plays that I liked taking a
look at the night before or taking a look at the board the night before so we're going to talk through these plays and we're going to share why I like them now before we do get started make sure you guys hit that like button down below if you do enjoy these priz videos make sure to hit that subscribe Button as well and if you guys are new to the channel if you are new to prize picks be sure to sign up for prize pick and use promo code NOA when you do when you sign up
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a bank roll up with those free lineups so go check out sleeper guys and again download the app use code Noah so that way you do get those $55 worth of free lineups but let's go ahead and break down this slate for Thursday and some props that I'm liking for today uh now I do want to recap our plays from Wednesday guys before we talk through today's plays so we gave out two picks Wednesday unfortunately we hit one but we missed one of our plays uh the play that hit was relatively sweat free Kelly UB
over 23 and a half P UB had a huge game went well over his PR line unfortunately we took Donovan kingan over 19 and a half p and kingan he got in massive foul trouble Wednesday night only wound up playing 17 minutes because he had five fouls in 17 minutes um which is super frustrating cuz he was still he was productive when he was on the floor he had p in 17 minutes you know if he winds up playing the 24 25 minutes I expected him to play probably wouldn't have been able to get uh
you know he probably would have been able to get five more P but foul trouble cut him down only played 17 minutes super frustrating love that spot for klling in but it is what it is that happens sometimes guys get in foul trouble and you know it's part of the game nothing really you can do about it you just take your L and move on to the next slate so we got two picks guys here for Thursday that we're going to break down let's see if we can go 2 and0 on these two props so
the first prop that I like for Tuesday is going to be a p p prop both the props I like for today are going to be P props so the first one that we're going to take is going to be Aaron Gordon for more than 21 a half PR so Aaron Gordon has been playing really well since coming out of All-Star break he's gone over this line in all of their last three games out of the All-Star break 27 p against Charlotte 33 against the Lakers 32 last game against the Pacers yo Gordon he was
being limited when he first return from injury so he got injured on Christmas day he was out for about 3 weeks and then he returned on January 12th and they were bringing him off the bench they were playing him limited minutes like if you look uh when he returned from injury he only played 18 17 22 22 22 17 24 22 and then lately the minutes are starting to get back up to normal for Aaron Gordon 30 32 30 31 and then he had a couple games with 22 minutes 24 minutes but then uh did
have a 32-minute game and then really since the allstar break 32 minutes 35 minutes last game only played 24 minutes but he was limited by foul trouble last game he had four fouls in 24 minutes he was constantly getting subbed out because he kept picking up fouls so I think barring foul trouble we're going to see Aaron Gordon play 30 plus minutes here you know the two previous games before the last game he had played you know 32 and 35 minutes and when Aaron Gordon has played at least 30 minutes this season he's gone over
this PR line in 12 out of 16 games so I think this line definitely feels a bit low on Gordon just given that the minutes limit he was dealing with earlier is pretty much gone now he's going to play full minutes here barring foul trouble or you know a random blowout and this is a guy that can be productive when he gets minutes he can do a little bit of everything when he's on the floor he can score he can grab uh grab rebounds he can also dish out some assists as well I mean last
game he had 24 points five rebounds four assists the game before that 18 points seven rebounds 12 uh two assists the game against the Pelicans he only had seven points but he still went over this P line because he had four rebounds and 12 assists so he's just been doing everything lately on the when he's been on the floor been very productive minutes are back to full now and again you know assuming he doesn't get in foul trouble I feel pretty good about him going over this P line if he does play over 30 minutes
and for what it's worth Gordon has faced the Nuggets uh excuse me not the Nuggets he's plac he's faced the Bucks six times since he joined the nuggets and in those games he has uh in terms of P 30 31 44 17 16 and 23 so he is over this line in four out of six games versus Milwaukee with Denver and it is worth noting the two games he went under where he had 17 and 16 P he only played 25 minutes in both of those games I think you know in order for Gordon to
only play 25 minutes today it would either have to be a blowout or he would have to get in foul trouble because I think barring those things he's going to play over 30 minutes so like that is our first prop for Thursday and then the other prop that I like from the other game that's on the board right now pelicans and Suns uh there is a prop like in this game we're going to take Jose Alvarado for more than 195 P so the the Pelicans are coming into this game a little bit short-handed uh they
are going to be without both Kelly oen and Bruce Brown here so Kelly oen is a new addition that the the Pelicans went out and got and oen replaced um Jose Alvarado in the starting lineup when he you when he made his debut so he made his debut after the All-Star break their last three games and Alvarado moved back to the bench Alvarado was starting before the All-Star Break um right like right before the allstar break ended because without deante Murray he was getting the start at you know at point guard they were playing alvado
a bunch of minutes like he played 32 minutes this game he played 34 minutes this game and then the last three games they did move Alvarado back to the bench they they opted to put Kelly o lenck in the starting lineup but now that Kelly o lenck is out I think we're going to see Alvarado back in the starting lineup I'm not a 100% sure on that they could definitely do something weird and start like um like they have that was his name uh Carlo matovic I don't exactly know how to say his name but
he's a guy that they have shown a willingness to want to play minutes and maybe he gets the start in place of in place of Kelly o lenck maybe they start like it's either going to be him or or Alvarado I think like I would be surprised if they start anyone else so most likely Alvarado moves into the starting lineup I don't think it's a guarantee but either way he should be looking at pretty good minutes here without Kell o linck you know who's a starter and without Bruce Brown as well Bruce Brown is someone
that they will play pretty good minutes off the bench and he's another guy that's kind of seen his minutes increased since acquiring with the Pelicans you he played 21 minutes and then only played 15 but then last game got up to 28 minutes so they've been given Bruce Brown more minutes too you take him out of the equation now and that's another guy that could you know another guy being out that could mean more minutes for for alado I mean Brown is kind of like a he's a mostly a guard I mean he's technically like
a small four but he kind of plays guard so Alvarado should be looking at pretty decent minutes here even coming off the bench the last three games he still played pretty good minutes he played 30 against Dallas he played 30 against San Antonio only played 20 last game only played 20 minutes last game and I think the reason he only played 20 minutes last game was because Bruce Brown played so many minutes so like you can just see there's there's a lot of ways for Alvarado to get more minutes here with brown and oen out
of the equation this season when Alvarado has played at least 25 minutes he is over this PR line and I believe let's see 3 4 5 6 7 8 n nine out of 13 games this season where Alvarado's played at least 25 minutes he's over this line N Out of 13 two of the games he went under was by the hook he had you know 19 PR in two of those games and then as a St of this season Alvarado is over this P line in 5 six7 seven out of 11 games as a starter
even you know you look at the games where he went under the games he went under he only played 18 minutes 23 minutes 29 29 but with 30 plus minutes he's typically been pretty consistently able to get 20 P when he plays 30 plus minutes Alvarado is another one of these guys that can do a little bit of everything when he's on the floor like La lately he's been rebounding the ball really well um which you you typically don't see from Alvarado because he's you know he's a point guard but like he's been rebounding the
ball pretty well against Dallas he had 8.7 rebounds four assists against the Spurs 12 n and8 75 and four even these previous games 185 and 8 18 3 and9 so he's been giving you everything points rebounds and assists lately I like this spot for Alvarado I like the match up against the Suns as well the Suns have been a pretty good match up for point guards this season really just guards in general uh the Suns don't have like a they don't have a great backourt defense with you know Booker and Beal neither one of those
guys are you know Elite Defenders by any means so I think this is a good match up for Alvarado I think minutes are going to be there with them you know missing o lenck missing Bruce Brown so let's take we're going to take him for more then 19 and a half PR R so we got two props guys for this little five game slate on Thursday Aaron Gordon we're going to take for more than 21 A2 p and Jose Alvarado we're going to take for more than 19 A2 P so if you guys are going
to tell me on these two picks let's see if we can go 2 and0 here get a clean sweep on this Thursday slate as always guys appreciate you watching these prospects videos make sure you hit that like button down below if you enjoy these videos hit that subscribe Button as well and if you guys are new to the channel if you're new to prize picks go sign up for prize picks and use that promo code Noah when you do sign up when you play your first $5 lineup on prize picks you'll get $50 and promo
funds instantly added to your account when you use that code Noah signup but that's all that I got for this s guys good luck let's make some money tonight and I will see you guys in the next video peace