but liquidity is the Big Daddy here I got caught out by this in 2017 by about April or May I sold out of my Bitcoin I was up 10x cuz I bought it at 200 it was trading at 2,000 I'm like it's a pretty good trade I took the money off the table it Consolidated for a little bit then it went up another 10x into the end of the year people can't understand this it's like you know if Bitcoin went up 10x from here and we're a million bucks now it I'm not expecting a 10x
but what I'm saying is people did the same thing then and what happens is you sell out positions the market corrects and because liquidity is still the driver everybody gets forced back into their positions and that creates this violent endof year move rul pal founder and CEO of real Vision has long highlighted the strong connection between Global M2 liquidity conditions and the performance of cryptocurrencies according to Pal when the global M2 expands it infuses liquidity into financial markets creating a favorable environment for risk-on assets like Bitcoin and other digital currencies cryptocurrencies being highly sensitive to
changes in liquidity tend to thrive when central banks and governments Implement policies like quantitative easing or fiscal stimulus while Bitcoin often moves in tandem with equities especially tech stocks pal notes that during periods of extreme liquidity injections or financial distress crypto can decouple from traditional markets and significantly outperform as speculative Capital looks for high return opportunities despite strong long-term fundamentals pal acknowledges that the cryptocurrency market has recently underperformed expectations he attributes this underperformance to the current strength of the US dollar which he believes poses risks not only to crypto but to financial markets and the
global economy pal anticipates that major economies May soon be forced to refinance their mounting debts leading to an increase in global liquidity Furthermore with President Donald Trump's preference for a weaker dollar pal expects the Federal Reserve to be under pressure to adjust adust its policy stance in the near future this could lead to liquidity injections through various mechanisms to stabilize markets and stimulate economic growth in an exclusive interview with Mario null pal Dives deeper into his expectations for monetary policy in 2025 the impact on cryptocurrency prices and Trump's broader economic strategy stop you don't have
time don't miss out this 2025 Bull Run educate yourself first ahead of the crowd we have created the ultimate step-by-step crypto Che guide that will guide you this bull run unlock the secrets of crypto and make smarter Investments today now by clicking on the link below to get your exclusive copy just under $10 no it's exactly where I think it is which is we're now in the part of the cycle which tends to be what I call the banana Singularity when things start to get really crazy and we've seen that with the Trump coin and
whatever what we're still missing is the ma massive liquidity injections that should come into the market from central banks and governments we've got the US will be draining what's known as the treasury general account which is their checking account um that will increase liquidity significantly in the US over the next few months until they negotiate the debt ceiling I think there is a broader deal that's going to get done um with the dollar and China and the I think the us is going to is been using the strong dollar as a negotiation point with China
China can't stimulate its broken economy right now until the dollar weakens because if not if they stimulate they'll break the peg against the dollar which they do not want they don't want Capital flight so you need the dollar to come down and then the Chinese can simulate and help the world economy recover the US knows this and it's a tool for everybody if Chinese economy starts to recover they'll buy US Treasury so we're at the really interesting point in the cycle where all the debt has to get refinanced all the games have to get played
the dollar need to weaken rates will come down and everyone will refinance their debts by adding liquidity what does that all mean all of the macro stuff all it means is number go up liquidity is De basement of currency de basement of currency is the driver of crypto prices and all asset prices so it all lies ahead this year what's interesting is the discussion around when the cycle ends so a lot of people have PTSD because of the last cycle and that finished early it peaked in April went down 50% up made a new high
and then kind of just failed right that was driven by the fact that the business cycle the ism survey peaked in March 2021 why because we had that snap Crash from covid and then snap back up and the business cycle peaked as did liquidity so the cycle Peak so as it went down again tried to come up again but kind of failed because there was no follow through cuz the business cycle had peaked this time around the business cycle is actually still below 50 which is the slow growth Zone not recession Zone but slow growth
and all the forward-looking indicators say the the US economy and the global econom is about to get a lot stronger and so we're nowhere near peing in fact we're only just bottoming so the chances are that we might even go through all the way till q1 2026 so I think we've got a longer cycle I think it may it will almost certainly outperform the last cycle and looks more like 2017 to me which guess what was a trump cycle and we entered the Trump cycle last time with tariffs and oh my God this and that
rates were going up and the dollar was going up Trump came into office and immediately said the Dollar's too high the dollar came lower China were also near recession they had to stimulate they spent the rest of the next 2 years stimulating uh and that's what drove the crypto cycle in 2017 so we've got an incredible similar setup to 2017 which you were around for that one it was bullish as hell but liquidity is the Big Daddy here here I got caught out by this in 2017 by about April or May I sold out of
my Bitcoin I was up 10x cuz I bought it at 200 it was trading at 2,000 I'm like it's a pretty good trade I took the money off the table it Consolidated for a little bit then it went up another 10x into the end of the year people can't understand this it's like you know if Bitcoin went up 10x from here and we're a million bucks now it I'm not expecting a 10x but what I'm saying is people did the same thing then and what happens is you sell out positions the market corrects and because
liquidity is still the driver everybody gets forced back into their positions and that creates this violent endof year move that's possible I'm not saying it's definite but you know I think of improbabilities and that's where my head's at so when you put all these factors together what's happening in the SEC and how bullish the current current Administration is towards crypto and when you look at the macro factors as well could we see a super cycle is it a sin if we discuss it this time I'm going to flip it a different way of looking at
it is has Amazon been in a super cycle yeah has Microsoft yeah has Google yeah have they all had massive correction periods during the downside of the fouryear cycle yes every single time so what you don't do is you don't get rid of the cyclicality it's the compounding of returns over time now the only change that I could say is possible and I think is likely is that the downside in Bitcoin is not as big as people expect right the Free Money Trade is you try and sell out somewhere near the top or even if
you don't sell out you're waiting for the dip to buy more the answer is usually wait till it's down 70% 75% start buying and you make a 20 30X on that trade every time I my guess is it probably ends up down 40 and not down 75 and that will create a lot of complications for people who are waiting for the big leg lower and there's people are going to get caught out think in this cycle now that doesn't mean all of the longtail stuff doesn't go down 90% of course it will but I'm thinking
about Bitcoin itself as the anchor price to this whole thing I kind of am the impression of what changes is the downside is reduced in Bitcoin while Raul pal is extremely bullish on bitcoin cryptocurrencies and digital assets like nfts he is even more optimistic about the coming AI Revolution pal believes the world is headed toward an economic Singularity a transfer that will completely reshape our understanding of business models Market strategies and the global economy while this AI driven shift will be highly disruptive for financial markets pal sees it as a necessary and permanent solution to
the world's massive debt and productivity problems pal argues that the global economy hit a turning point in 2008 an event that should have led to a financial collapse however central banks stepped in with aggressive monetary policies preventing the system from unraveling he believes that this intervent vention permanently tied economic stability to Central bank's ability to print money meaning the financial system remains viable only as long as liquidity injections continue at least until a more sustainable solution is found pal attributes current economic instability to long-term demographic shifts and declining productivity which central banks have struggled to
address looking ahead pal suggests that advancements in robotics and artificial intelligence could provide the Breakthrough needed to reverse these Trends by 2030 he envisions a world where Ai and automation significantly boost productivity allowing economies to manage their growing debt more effectively this technological Revolution according to Pal could be the key to restructuring global economic Dynamics and ensuring long-term Financial stability I've argued about this this space doesn't understand what agents are what people are building right now is basically macros or like trading models that you can do on trading view that's what they're doing and they're
getting it to be able to execute it's kind of if then do that do this right yeah what is about to come is agents that process information themselves and make decisions themselves the autonomous agent thing is much bigger so you would then say to an autonomous agent I'm looking for 50% return over the next 3 months find me the best strategy and then implement it and it will go and do that knowing what your risk tolerance is for example so it figures out all of the steps and there is no prompting there is no code
writing of you do this you have to this is how you do the metamask none of it all of it will happen itself and that I don't know whether we're going to get that or the AI companies somewhere within this I just don't know that we're going to have an opportunity to make any money yeah because when we do get there and if it is one of the larger players that gets there the markets become extremely efficient so I get very difficult for you to get those returns in the first place that's right and this
is what I'm trying to get you know I talk about this thing about after 2030 we get to the economic Singularity and one of these is this point is the closer we get to artificial super intelligence the least the less that is for money corporations anything or financial markets you can't out compete ASI there's no trading to be done because it knows pretty much everything the other thing is well corporations will become agents anyway so how do you build a business you you build a Beautiful Exchange I just say hey agent copy his and I
want it in Hindi because I think it's a bigger Market no it comes to me and goes you should do it in Hindi we can capture a faster market share so where's the role for us lot now that's not today it's not in two years time but it's almost certainly in five so this concept of an economic Singularity is where we're headed we don't know how the economy works we don't know what jobs are we don't know what markets are you're going to replace those with infinite people infinite human knowledge and infinite physical beings so
that is the end of that's the end of what humans do for a living fine we'll deal with that more importantly if we can go from the population of the of the western economies let's say and including China let's say it's two billion people and suddenly within 3 years we can have 4 billion people we're going to double the population of the world that doubles GDP growth now ai can go much faster than that cuz it's infinitely scalable unlike the robot which takes time so we're talking about we could have billions of New Economic participants
in the economy so economic growth is going to go through the roof and then at the same time in productivity because we've got all of the AI and all of the knowledge and everybody's working on lowering the cost of energy for compute we will lower the cost of energy over time and that becomes another multiplier so what we've got is an economy that could grow 30% in a year that doesn't generate jobs and doesn't generate Financial Market opportunities for us so what the and we we don't even know there's such a thing as an IPO
Market at that point because the velocity of capital from Agents build building things and using tokenization as the way forward what we're seeing in meme coins you know the instant creative destruction cycle I mean it's La La Land so it's a really simple thing invest in your own demise just buy crypto and tech make as much money as possible and I'm here in Little Cayman a small island of 140 people robots aren't coming here there's nothing going to the tide comes in the tide goes out the sun goes up sun goes down nothing matters so
nature is going to be the single most important thing you're going to have to have to focus on because it'll be your way out one of R Pal's core recommendations for preparing for the coming AI Revolution is to focus on wealth accumulation within the next 5 years he believes there will be an unprecedented shift in how economies function afterward and that traditional means of wealth generation will diminish as Aid driven automation replaces many human roles across various Industries pal encourages individuals to take advantage of the current Financial system and make investments likely to appreciate before
AI reshapes Market Dynamic a key element of Pal's strategy involves cryptocurrencies which he views as a fundamental pillar of the future economy he argues that AI agents which will play a significant role in economic transactions cannot use traditional banking infrastructure as AI cannot open a bank account or interact with financial institutions the way humans do as a result decentralized digital assets like Bitcoin and ethereum will likely become the primary me medium of exchange pal predicts that those who position themselves early in the crypto space particularly with assets like Bitcoin and ethereum will have a significant
Advantage as this transition unfolds Pal's vision of an economic Singularity raises important questions about the future of Finance labor markets and wealth distribution He suggests that rather than succumbing to economic stagnation due to Rising debt and demographic challenges the global economy will experience a transformative leap in efficiency driven by Automation and AI High productivity gains if his predictions materialize the implications could be profound with AI and Robotics replacing many jobs asset prices potentially surging and governments needing to rethink policies around Taxation and social safety net while the future is uncertain and the transition may be
turbulent technological shifts in the past like the Industrial Revolution and the rise of the internet show that new opportunities often emerge from such disruptions how are you preparing for this potential disruption are you positioning yourself in emerging Industries or digital assets that may benefit from an aid driven economy let us know your thoughts in the comments below for more daily dose crypto news check out these two awesome videos on your screen click now and we will see you on the next video
