After seeing the way Kolinsky was talking about Lebanon and Hezbollah and after the amount of times I see Nissan talk about Lebanon, bro, like it's even worse than like the amount because it's different in the sense that at least if you're part of like the Western like far-left free Palestine movement, at least you do have a wealth of like [ __ ] pamphlets and bullet point and you know out of context bad history and all that [ __ ] At least you have something, right? Like if if you believe like Einstein was uh the same
kind of like anti-ionist that someone like [ __ ] Hassan is, if you believe that, then like that's [ __ ] but it's based on something. Like Einstein was critical of um parts of the Zionist movement, particularly the Urggon and Lehey, which consisted of a grand total of about less than 500 fighters or well Ley was 300. Urggon was maybe closer to I think there were a thousand members. Not all of them were fires though. But yeah, we'll say 1300 like but at least that that kind of lie is like it's based on something. It's
based on something. But the [ __ ] with Lebanon just sounds like it just sounds like they're making stuff up. It's so [ __ ] weird. Um I'm going to go get a drink of water though because I'm going to need it for this for the [ __ ] One minute. grown adult takes criticism on the internet. What does he resort to? Slap a community note on him. I don't watch Doctor Who, but I know that Whizz's takes her [ __ ] Who the [ __ ] Look who look at the kind of [ __
] who respond to me. Oh, these critiques are pretty good. [ __ ] you. What can I do with this? All right. Are you ready for it? It'll be as follows. Let's make some predictions. Today, I'm going to show you how Hizbala turned this Burger King into a terror Burger King. Come inside. Look at this. You think this is a deep fryer? Look in here. These are Kalashnikovs. These are RPGs. These are Kushia rockets, long range missiles, anti-tank missiles, grenades. Look at this other deep fight. Okay. Okay. Vous. Good friend of the show. A few
of you wanted me to watch this one. It wasn't This is not just a Chase James. This isn't just a Chase link. This is There were quite a few people who wanted me to watch this. Um, let's see. What is this Reddit post to begin with? Would we really have attacked Iran if Kamla was president? Um, there's a chance they might have done the 12-day war. Maybe. Maybe. That's that is a maybe though. this current operate? Absolutely [ __ ] not. You are completely like suffering from severe [ __ ] brain leprosy if you believe.
There's no way. There's no [ __ ] way. But otherwise, we understand that everything happening right now would be happening if Kamla Harris won. Not exactly the same, but fundamentally the same. And if you can't see the difference between those two things, I genuinely don't think you're mature enough to understand the content that I produce in this channel. Cuz I keep having arguments about this where people are like, "Well, well, I love the way he talks, right? I genuinely do not believe that you have the intellectual maturity with which to understand the words that I'm
saying. Dude, what if if Kamla Harris was a president that this little thing would have been a different Yeah. But the nation of the United States has been on a long terminal decline for decades and it's not been up to the whims of the president Trump. Okay. It has been a product of a bipartisan consensus and certain policy decisions, one of which being our deference to Israel. Remember how people gave me a bunch of [ __ ] for saying that the Biden/la Harris administration as if there's a difference would have attacked Iran too. Have you
seen this former Biden administ attacked Iran? I think Hillary said that she supported the attacks on the 12-day war like on the nuclear sites because those are fairly those are legitimate targets I would say when a country is literally just holding up a curtain and being like oh are we going to produce nuclear weapon behind this curtain? Like, yeah, don't do that. You should get bombed for doing that, you [ __ ] idiot. Like, you deserve to get bombed if you're going to behave like that, you [ __ ] prick. Like, don't don't do that.
Don't say, "Oh, yeah, death to like these this country and that country and maybe sometimes that country." You know, I can they sometimes say death to UK or whatever. Uh, oh yeah, we're also building missiles that can carry nuclear payloads. Oh, yeah. They're really good now. They can reach almost as far as the They can reach as far as at least one of the countries we want to destroy. Oh, yeah. But, oh, what are we doing with this enriched uranium, guys? Like, yeah. Okay, you're gonna get bombed. But even Hillary uh who supported that decision
in the 12- day war would is would never have gone behind this [ __ ] undefined is it regime change? Is it just a change in government? Uh bomb [ __ ] everything. Relax the rules of engagement to the point that a [ __ ] School gets hit in the first wave of strikes which is supposed to be your most reliable intel for targeting. No way. No hecking way, bro. You are, you lack the intellectual maturity and the IQ points and the sexiness with which to project such a terrible claim upon my ear holes. All
right. Senior adviser Amos Hawkstein said he supported last summer's Operation Midnight Hammer. In July 2024, Secretary Blinken claimed Iran was one or two weeks away from having enough um file material breakout capacity to eventually make a weapon if Iran had decided to do so. There were indirect negotiations that the Biden administration did, but it it went nowhere. So, when President Trump argues that he did when no other president would, is it just simply that the bill was coming due and it fell on his watch? I do think there's a certain element to that. Um, and
that's why I I lit You guys [ __ ] flamed me. There were posts in the subreddit. There were YouTube chat was mad at me when I said this. I said that the attack on What are we saying here? Do we think that the 12-day war, the the B2 bombing strikes on nuclear sites that are far outside of any um urban centers? Do we think that these strikes are the same as what America's doing now in Iran? Are are we are we missing that? That these are two these are two very different operation. What the
[ __ ] was almost inevitable because Israel was pushing it and Kla Harris and Biden were completely subservient to Israel and that the Democratic establishment was happy that Trump did it in his term because they wouldn't have to take the flack for it. Was uh supportive of President Trump joining in in June uh to take the strikes that we had thought internally in the Biden administration we may have to take if there was a second term. We thought that the spring summer of 2025 was probably we may have to be there in the same place.
And we did we did war games. We did uh some practice runs on what it would look like to look into it and because that may have had to happen under our watch as well, but we he said we may have had to happen like they're not even treating it like a political decision or anything that the um uh anything like that the voters get to have an opinion on, you know, like oh you don't run it just happens. Yeah. Like it would have happened. War with Iran. Yeah. You know, like it was going to
happen no matter what. Just in inevitability, you know, the product of inertia. We were h hurtling towards conflict with Iran no matter it. Doesn't matter what the voters want. He obliterated their nuclear program. The question then is not about what he did in June. This war we were in now did not attack the nuclear facilities again. Okay, we're going to Yeah. Okay. This guy's uh this guy's pointing out the substantial difference between these two operations. One of many substantial differences. Is it going to get picked up on? Bro, this was not about the nuclear. So,
the question now becomes, can you do a deal uh with the Iranians? And the maximalist positions that both sides have are right now very far apart despite all the rhetoric that we're we're almost there or we are there but if we're not there we'll bomb the hell out of them. This guy was literally born in Jerusalem. Yep. He identifies as a moderate Orthodox Jew. Also he worked as a lobbyist. So you know whoever whoever The you know classic Biden administration staff. In March 2017, he joined Talluran, a private Houstonbased liquid natural gas company where he
saved served as senior vice president of marketing until his departure in September. Classic Biden administration staffer born in Jerusalem. Oh god. 2020. On August 10th, 2021, Anthony Blinkin announced he'd be appointing Hawkstein as the senior adviser for energy security. I love the deep state. I love the deep state. I'm going to keep beating you all with this bat until we accept it so I don't have to deal with the [ __ ] blowback that I'm going to get in 2027 and 2028 where I correctly point out the Demsson Republicans are fielding the same candidate. Okay.
He served in the IDF. Well, he he was born in Jerusalem. So, yeah, I would assume so. The everyone serves the IDF. Unfortunately, I have to agree with you. You were right. I didn't want you to be. Yes. Got another one. Yes. It's great. It's very depressing. You know, it's very depressing. For more on that and we're joined now by Thomas Hawkstein. He was a former Biden White House senior energy adviser and Middle East negotiator and he's now managing partner at the investment firm TWWG Global. Good to have you back here. It's great to be
here. So, President Trump said uh current gas prices are not very high, but regular gas costs are average like $45 a gallon. Last time we saw that was under the Biden administration uh when Russia invaded Ukraine. So if you were advising President Trump today, how do you make Sure this spike isn't Kla Harris also said she would not have gotten in this war? Yeah. So who do you believe? Kla Harris who says uh who who while campaigning said she was going to be harder on Iran than Trump. But now the most lethal military the Iran
war has actually you know begun said uh that she would not have gotten us into this war or uh the Biden energy adviser who says that Biden in his second term probably would have had to do this anyway. You know who do you believe? Why? When they say that we're talking about the 12- day war, not this one. These are two different wars. Why are we Why are we treating them like they're both the same war? That's crazy. Is this what happens when every war is a genocide now? Like you just you confuse two completely
separate, massively distinct military operations. Okay. Longlasting. Well, we're over $4 now because we have a real disruption. uh in the Russia invasion of Ukraine, we had a concern of a dis disruption that never actually happened and it went all the way up to five for the president right now any continued duration of closure of the straits of See someone in chat saying it this bully shill person is saying quote this isn't this full-scale war yeah so some people are they're only referring to one strike so this person this poor Democrat this poor third-way liberal neo
free trade thatcheroid whatever the [ __ ] This person is going to get accused of being by someone is uh aware but is anyone else noticing will have to have a spike in prices we're at a when you have an energy crisis like the straight of moose it's very slow moving and then it's like falling off a cliff because when you close the straits the world still has all the tankers that were on the water before that take could take 25 30 all these economies get hit. I mean in Europe they're saying the administration's been
saying we have plenty in the US. Great been saying managing partner TWWG Global born in Jerusalem uh works for a Houstonbased liquid natural gas company briefly gets to be energy adviser to Biden then goes back to working. God I man oh man I'm getting real sick of it man. By the way it wasn't just the Biden administration. He worked for Hillary Clinton and uh Kerry under as Secretary of State. Like he's been um he's been he's been involved for a long time. Was probably born in Israel. Wait, didn't Hillary Clinton literally say, "Yeah, the 12-day
war strikes on the nuclear uh facilities that was justified. But this one, whatever the [ __ ] Trump is trying to do here, is absolutely not justified." Has anyone covered that or? Long time. A long time. He's tapped in. Yeah, we have plenty in the US. Great. But if you leave the US and there's no jet fuel on the other side, so what happens is the fuel search charges that Americans Are going to see that are already starting to see and ahead of Memorial Day in the summer, tickets are going to be very expensive. When
jet fuel is expensive in the rest of the world, it is also expensive here. And and we saw Spirit Airlines really struggling under that with the bankruptcy issue. Let me ask you about your M East uh experience here. Um, in July 2024, Secretary Blinken claimed Iran was one or two weeks away from having enough um, file material, breakout capacity to eventually make a weapon if Iran had decided to do so. There were indirect negotiations that the Biden administration did. I genuinely don't think the Dems would have been unhinged enough to start this, but he's he's
literally saying that they were in talks that in Biden's first term, they were talking about how they might have to do this in his second. Like, he's literally he's directly saying it. I don't know what other evidence you need to. Okay. Sorry. I didn't realize that was all the evidence you need. Oh, dude. [ __ ] It It went nowhere. So, when President Trump argues that he did when no other president would. Is it just simply that the bill was coming due and it fell on his watch? I do think there's a certain element to
that. Um, and that's why I was He's only referring to the strike Trump did last year. Yeah. Oh, he's responding. He's responding. The person said strike that Trump it's the guy it's the it's the bully shill person and that's why I was he's only referring to the strike Trump did last year. Yeah. The strike that Trump did last year was us declaring war in Iran. Like that in that that's how that works. We like carpet bombed their research facilities. That's war. No. How do you That's how does that you can't say like they carpet bombed
and then follow up with describing a precise target. Like that's not how that works. You carpet bomb like a city or a town or maybe a neighborhood. You don't carpet bomb like they carpet bombed the It's like, bro, Iran carpet bombed the Kyria building in is in Israel. Like what? No, they carpet bombed the Pentagon. They carpet bombed the twin the Twin Towers. No, that's that's a one target, bro. What the [ __ ] Well, because they declared war with Iran in the summer of last year for 12 that lasted 12 days. Well, that then
that was America on a trajectory to ultimately do this. There was no setting back because the war's already been decided. What happened between the 12-day war and now? Like, was there was there still a big was there still a war? Like, what the [ __ ] What? It's not. Yes, it is. What is this argument? I was He's only referring to the strike Trump did last year. Yeah. The strike that Trump did last year was us declaring war in Iran. Like that and that that's how that works. You got me, bro. We like bombs their
research facilities. That's war. No, it's not. Yes, it is. If Iran sent a bunch of missiles and bombers over to America and bombed us and killed a bunch of our civilians, I think it would very unambiguously be interpreted as an act of war. Only in the American Okay. Well, because what happened in the 12- day war with those strikes and the nuclear sites was a war. Well, you got him. That's the real point of contention here. Can this be interpreted as like a Oh, no. They're naming him the poor bully shield. Oh, no. Bully shield.
You know how war works. Thinking Yemen or some other failed state or whatever. Like Iran is a cohesive organized military. It's not war. Actually, it's not. No. You know what? Because if you cross the several borders into the into the Middle East, into the Levant over there, it's harb. It's not war at all. It's a harb idiot. That was just the trial run. It was the first escalation. Bro, I don't know what the state, you know, we did it. It was an act of war. You know, whether or not whether or not Congress authorized it
is not really relevant. Congress doesn't authorize [ __ ] Uh supportive of President Trump joining in in June. What we're doing now is totally different. Okay. This person's standing his ground. I love the chat interaction. To take the strikes that we had thought internally in the Biden administration, we may have to take if there was a second term, we thought that the spring summer of 2025 was probably we may have to be there in the same place. And we did we did war games. We did uh some practice runs on what it would look like
to look into it and because that may have had to happen under our watch as well, but we he said we talking about it was what every admin does. We probably have a military plan to invade Antarctica. Yeah, we have a military plan for everything, but he's saying that he might have had to do it. He's they're talking about strikes in a nuclear facility. He was an adviser to the Department of Energy. Like this was his department. Why are you Why are you not taking him at his word? This is like a Biden admin deep
state guy who's worked with the Democrats for 20 years saying like even this guy has said that he's referring to the 12-day war, not to this one. Even this guy has said it. What do you mean take him at his word? You're literally not taking at his word very straightforwardly. We probably would have had to do this to I don't know like what why not take him at his word here? You know, if you think he's an archionist who's incentivized to lie, then okay, why the [ __ ] did Biden hire him? Why did Democrats
hire him for like 20 years? You know, Obliterated their nuclear program. The question then is not about what he did in June. This war we were they're completely disconnected. In fact, that strike undermines the justification for this war. That's true. Yeah. If you undermine their nuclear capabilities, then the big reason for going to war with Iran is kind of at the very least hindered for a while. What I man this person this person is fighting for his life. We're in now [ __ ] did not attack the nuclear facilities again. This was not about the
nuclear. So the question now becomes he's a Zionist. It's hard to take them at their word unless their word is them saying they want to attack Iran. In which case I think that it's okay to take them at their word. A deal uh with the Iranians. And the maximist positions that both sides have are right now very far apart despite all the rhetoric that we're we're almost there or we are there but if we're not there, we'll bomb the hell out of them, right? or who knows who's going to show up or not show up
from the Iranian side to to negotiate with. I thought that was interesting that the ambassador acknowledged that. Well, look, Margaret, when you have a negotiation that's being done loosely, right, phone calls and and no real paper, you get to a point where Iran says Lebanon was included. The US says no, it wasn't. Uh the Oh, they're doing it. Conflating a single strike on a research facility to carpet bombing their capital is insane. Okay. Okay. onions say we're opening the straits because inflating a single strike on a research facility to carpet bombing their capital is insane.
It wasn't a single strike. It Was a carpet bombing in their research facilities. Also, I'm not Dude, you can literally see the [ __ ] holes where they struck the USA bombing aerial Iran nuclear sites. It wasn't true. It wasn't a single strike. It was like three holes. What? This is a carpet bombing. This is like in the middle of the [ __ ] desert, bro. Where are the three Where are the holes? The B2 bomber. [ __ ] What just happened? Why did that close my All right. Oh, yeah. Uh, what was it? The
um It was the mops. Massive ordinance penetrators. Oh, it's here, isn't it? True. It wasn't just one. It was It was like I think the American this bombing run took a day, didn't it? They were they were back home within like less than 48 hours. Where where are the little holes required to pull this? You cannot get more precise of a strike. I don't understand. Oh my god. B2s. Wow. That's neat. Invisible. General Robert, where's the [ __ ] picture, bro? uh you know the training but over 10 years of work. Look, Vos has got
him though. It wasn't This is a carpet bombing. What the [ __ ] man? Uh, carpet has no chance. Blading them. I'm saying that they're admitting they would have engaged in military action against Iran under a second Biden term. Why the [ __ ] are you defending this? I'm not saying you defend you liberals. I love the this. Oh, liberal. Oh, [ __ ] He's going to pop off that guy. That guy's [ __ ] man. That brave chatter. He's going to get absolutely Oh, no. All right, load him in, guys. Load the epic vos.
This guy is going to get completely [ __ ] obliterated. He's going to get carpet bombed. Conflating them. I'm saying that they're admitting they would have engaged in military action against Iran under a second Biden term. Why the [ __ ] are you defending this? I'm not saying that B you you liberals, you always defer back this war or the 12-day war. M and Bailey position where I point out the underlying policy position of both adins would have been the same and you're your he's doing M and Bailey, dude. Vosch, you're doing M Bailey. Your
M is the Democrat um I can't remember the [ __ ] way around, but one side you're saying that um because a Biden admin person said that they would have done this That the Republicans have done. They're referring to the strikes on the nuclear facilities, which was not a carpet bombing. You can literally see the individual holes for where each bomb landed. That's how much an opposite of a carpet bombing it was on nuclear facilities that lasted like one day and you're comparing that with with a much less easy to vent which is that you
think Democrats would have done this war right now. These are two different wars and most people who have heard talk about this who are Democrats including this guy are distinguishing between the two. So no, how could they have the same policy position if literally there are two military operations which are drastically different and the Democrat side are saying they some of them support one of them, not both. [ __ ] It's like, well, they wouldn't have done exactly the same thing. I'm not saying they would have done exactly the same thing. I'm saying that both
admirins would have would have been differential to Israel's interests and would have attacked Iran which would have led to similar dis destabilizing consequences in the region. Like an admin that was willing to bomb their nuclear facilities. So Oh, also an admin that would be willing to engage in follow-up action that would lead to the closure of the straight. We [ __ ] up. We shouldn't have bombed. Are you serious? How does that how the [ __ ] does that add up? How does that add up? Fatman supports both. Got them. There's your M Bailey again.
That this is why the Democrat policy platform is the same as the Republicans. They're not they're not even [ __ ] similar, man. How many people died in those bombings on the nuclear sites compared to the amount of people who died in the first day of strikes? Remember the Trump when Trump was doing his military buildup in Iran? First of all, it was way too big for a 12-day war, but not big enough for uh like a full-blown like month or two month campaign. Then it exceeded the amount of military buildup that there was in
that area that uh they came from the Iraq war. Of course, they were different. They were so different nuclear facilities either. Like what? You're just rolling the dice every time on whether or not they close the straight. Does that sound like a good foreign policy to you? The result of the attack on the facility was not the death of tens of thousands and destroying the world economy and strengthening Russia. Are you simple? It led to that. What are you talking about? That's like how did it lead to that? These were both American decisions. How did
it lead to that? The I I need to I What's the through line? bombing the nuclear sites in June 2025 compels you to stop for like eight months to talk about negotiating and then to launch a [ __ ] nearly two month protracted campaign all over the [ __ ] country. Why? A led to B. The attacks on the nuclear facility were a difference to Israel's foreign policy interests by continuing to maintain aggression against Iran, Which led to the follow-up. The Trump administration also didn't say that they would bomb Thran and kill the Ayatollah. Do
you not see the underlying pattern of difference, the similar wavelength? You're you're argue you're arguing like a counterfactual that can't be proven or disproven. Well, just because this guy admits that he would Can it be proven or Okay, I I don't even know. I even know what we're doing here. That's kind of like saying the Democrats would have definitely done both of these things as well. They would have done the 12-day war and this one would have gone 50% as far as Trump. Doesn't mean he would have gone 100%. It didn't lead to it even
though they're related. You're actually [ __ ] [ __ ] I'm sorry. This is an insane level of Democrat dick sucking. That's that's [ __ ] crazy to me. We're literally looking at an adviser being the bombings empowered Israel to attack Iran. Oh, so I guess this tire here, whoever said that Democrat dick sucking, that's you. Do you realize that in the 12- day war, Israel bombed first, right? Israel bombed first and then America joined in like a week into the war and then hit the nuclear sites. Like Israel was Oh no, bully shell has
been muted. Get [ __ ] Liberal probably born in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv at the same time. [ __ ] and probably a settler as well. That's [ __ ] crazy to me. We're literally looking at an adviser being like, "We would have done much the same." And you're like, "Well, he didn't say they do all the same things." What are you? It's crazy. What are you talking about? There's no way. By the way, the Biden admin defended the Msad Pager attack and the bombing of They defended everything Israel did, man. They defended everything Israel
did. They didn't, though. They had a huge [ __ ] rift over the aid situation in Gaza. They had a rift over uh UNRA. They had a rift over [ __ ] They they had a rift over Rafa that entire operation even uh the situation in Lebanon right now with this like is are the Democrats supporting Israel's moves on Lebanon right now occupying up to the Latani? I know the page the problem with the pager attack is that these guys literally think that they just [ __ ] like these were just the same pages that
were being used in like hospitals. It's like [ __ ] Dr. house and his team all getting [ __ ] merked and not pages that were specifically ordered by Hezbollah to as a way to activate their soldiers without them getting intercepted by Israeli uh spies. Ironically, I don't know if it means much, but didn't comma put up a big statement fully condemning military action Iran. Yeah, when she's not the one leading it. Yeah, no [ __ ] That's the point. The Democrats are happy that Trump is taking the flack. But the Biden administration and the
Democrats now both, they don't argue against the underlying logic of the Trump administration. They also think that all means are on the table when it comes to keeping Iran from Developing a nuclear program, which means they're also in favor of strikes against Iran. If the Democrats believe that you should be able to do anything to prevent Iran from getting a nuke, they also agree with Trump that you should bomb Iran. Like that's it's a onetoone. If How does Have they has America targeted nuclear sites in this war? That's a because I haven't seen that. Maybe
they have. Wait, has House of Commons. That's a reasonable source. This is from February. This is early on. This like the first couple of days. I think maybe in the first couple of days there was something um target the nuclear yeah the nuclear program but I'm talking about the sites I know they targeted um oh there there was like some wasn't that like an educational facility that was uh involved in nuclear research like weapon research uh undermine defenses and nuclear program this is um the 12-day I they haven't been like a prominent feature for one.
I know they're talking about that enriched uranium and finding that, but they haven't tried to strike that wherever it is underground. Um, yeah, they haven't really been a prominent feature of this war despite the fact that there are a lot of nuclear fac There are some nuclear facilities I think in Iran that haven't been bombed at all. Everything is on the table. That is what it will lead to. Chuck Schumer literally said Trump was tacoing out by not continuing. Yeah. No, they they're so [ __ ] bloodthirsty, man. It's completely open. And the Americans say,
"No, the blockade is staying. There's no if there's no paper, no serious negotiation on this and we're trying to do it really quickly to assuage market. Iran and foreign Pakistan, they're not going to negotiations." That's not what I saw. Um although this was 19 minutes ago. Has something changed? This is um Iran was yet to decide as of 19 minutes ago. Has this changed? Have they just said now that they're not going? Uh-oh. Maybe we might be going back to it. [ __ ] Mhm. Then you get to these misunderstandings and now we're in a
worse position. This probably would have done the 2025 strikes. No way in hell they would have done the 2026 strikes to get the Do you people Okay. Genuinely, do you not understand cause and effect? The reason the 2026 strikes happened was because Israel wanted to maintain pressure against Iran. The original strikes in 2025, Operation Midnight Hammer, were a deference to Israel's foreign policy interest. It was actually because Iran said that they had enriched the uranium up to 60% Which is something that no nation has ever done without um that particular cause also bringing out the
effect of them getting nuclear weapons. Like no country has ever enriched to 60% and not gone on to get a nuclear weapon. Not that I'm aware of. Even countries that had nuclear weapons programs, I think, didn't like Switzerland or one of these European countries have a program that they admitted to later, but then even they didn't enrich to 60%. That's a it's a crazy [ __ ] move because you are so close from 60% to 90. Like if once you've done 60% enrichment, you are basically you've done 99% of the work to enrich to 90
which is weapons grade. Um, that's why Iran got struck because they did the most [ __ ] [ __ ] move that you could ever do to try and basically say, "Yeah, I kind of want to put you guys in a position where you feel like you have to bomb me." Tanim. Oh, the Iranian agency homepage. Do you think 60% justifies US strikes? Yes. Yes. That is such a [ __ ] mental thing to do if you are like if you put it alongside all of Iran's other actions with regards to nuclear and ballistic missiles
and their general behavior in the region. Also, it's not just difference to Israel. The badly kept secret about that is that the entire [ __ ] region does not want Iran to have nuclear weapons. Do you think the Gulf states are going to sit there and watch Iran get enriched in 90% or even get a weapon and and not feel like they need to do something about it themselves? Like It's quite well understood that the entire region would become less stable and more unpredictable if Iran had a nuclear weapon because it would embolden them to
pursue even more aggressive military action through their proxies. And it would also scare the living [ __ ] out of all of the Gulf States who would probably feel like they need to get nuclear weapons as well. There's so much [ __ ] that you have to consider if you're going to would you appeal to the Security Council. That's a really difficult one because one of the members of the Security Council is Russia which is an ally of Iran. So when Iran was being taken to task by the human rights council over their massacring of
peaceful protesters against the regime, um Iran uh Russia and China had representatives at the human rights council saying that this is just [ __ ] nonsense. Like this is just like that this is um this is propaganda. This is like Israeli MSAD [ __ ] They were literally doing this at the Human Rights Council, [ __ ] on the saying that this notion shouldn't even be brought up, that they shouldn't even participate in a discussion about Iran murdering their own protesters. Like, so yeah, that's quite difficult. I don't know. What do you do when a
country is literally just playing with fire? Like the worst kind of fire, nuclear fire. You get what the metaphor I'm saying there? Uh and then for one of the countries in the security council that can decide legally whether or not they can be struck is um is is an ally of is Russia. That's a really difficult situation to be in. 2026 was a what could justify this wider war though loner? Like literally nothing. Not not very little. I don't know. Um, Like if there was any good reason to believe that it would actually help the
protesters after they just had like one of the worst protest like civil domestic protester massacres happen against them ever. Um, like in the last 100 years or so. Like if if there was any chance that that could actually help them achieve their goals relatively smoothly like that then maybe. But otherwise that no. That's a catch 22 because there isn't really any kind of uh air operation that could achieve that thing. Just the pipe dream followthrough from 2025. The only reason 2026 happened was because in 2025 we already indicated that we were willing to strike Iran
in order to prevent them from developing nukes. The original pretext for striking in 2026 was to uh uh again prevent them from getting nuclear weapons. If you have already acknowledged that you see to the logic of we can strike Iran to prevent them from getting nukes, that is where it leads to. That is where the logic leads to. Democrats already defended um Israel's aggression against Syria and Lebanon. Like the idea that Democrats would have put a hard line down here, I I just I don't I don't know. Would they have done things slightly differently? Sure,
maybe. But like the underlying problem, which is waring in the Middle East, would have continued. Do you not see that the reason they did these things is preserved? It's the same idea. Very serious issue and I think it shouldn't take just 3 days to do a nuclear deal. It's really really critical, right? But if the straits are not opened soon, Dems didn't even care when Israel bombed Qar. Yeah. I don't know if you guys remember what it was like in the Biden admin post October 7th, but every day you'd wake up to a headline of
Israel Illegally bombing like one of eight neighboring countries like Gulf States, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, it didn't matter, man. They were doing all of it. Which uh which Gulf state was Israel bombing? They hit Lebanon after Hezbollah fired at them Gaza. They didn't hit Jordan. Oh, Qatar. That was under Was it Qatar was under Trump though? Qatar was under Trump. Am I wrong? It was under Trump. It wasn't It wasn't Democrats. And also, no one supported that. Even Trump didn't support Even Trump didn't support that. Um, is Yemen a Gulf state? I mean, it's usually not
referred to as a Gulf state because when people think Gulf states, they think of uh, you know, the wealthy countries. Um, but I I thought even Vos was in favor of stopping the Houthies because Vos at that time was all, you know, international trade. Like that was what he was saying. I don't know. And every day you get the [ __ ] Department of State briefing where they would pretend to not know anything and then defend. It's not that they don't know what the hell they're doing. Well, it was actually they don't know what the
[ __ ] they're doing. But that was actually Trump Talking about Iran and uh Israel ended anyway. Like it was every day, man. Every day. It never stopped. The leverage that they have and my concern is no matter how the war ends, the Iranians now have a card they never had before in practice. In theory, we knew they can close the straits, but they never did. And now for the foreseeable future, they have this card against us and against their neighbors. Why do you think President Trump isn't deploying his top diplomat, his national security adviser?
Why aren't we seeing Secretary of State Rubio leading on this? I mean, that's a mystery that I think many in the region and around the United States are asking. Why is this not being run by the Secretary of State, who's also his national security adviser? Uh maybe the Secretary of State doesn't believe that this is the right approach. I I I don't know. You have you have to ask him if you can get him to answer that question. Uh but we would love for him to join. What's the point of him doing this interview? I
don't know. probably setting up his next like lobbyist position. I'm sure you would. Um, but that's that's a real mystery. Look, the vice president of the United States is But does it does it show, you know, when you're going to the negotiating table, the vice president going is important because the last two times Wickoff and Kushner showed up with the Iranian delegation, the talks fell apart. In Fact, they ended in bombing. So, you need someone who wasn't there the last two times it failed. Right. And you need someone who is senior enough that the Iranians
believe speaks for the president. Uh, so I think that it's important that the vice president or someone go. I think it would have been great if we can. Not to mention nothing outside of nuclear weapons could destroy all the Iranian enriched uranium in the mountain tunnels. Yeah. Like that if the Democrats agree that is not true. That's kind of why Israel people like Benny Morris would always say that America needs to do that because of the massive ordinance penetrators that could do that. I don't know why you would say that only nuclear weapons could. Tactical
nukes are probably the only thing that Israel can use to do it. But America has very large bombs. That you should be able to attack Iran in order to prevent them from getting nukes. Does that not lead to continued attacks on Iran anyway? It it leads to continuous attacks on the nuclear sites, Vosch. Not on every [ __ ] Tom, Dick, and Harry in Tehran and across the entire country. No. Like, doesn't that make all this inevitable? Because we know Israel wants to attack Iran. If the Democrats also believe it's okay to attack Iran to
prevent them from getting nukes, doesn't that give them like infinite justification into the future? So, Operation Midnight Hammer buried their enriched uranium. Okay. Well, the the excuse for the 2026 attacks was that they were also close to getting a nuclear weapon because they still had the enriched uranium. Like, wouldn't it just keep it would just keep going? It's got to keep going until a Democrat acknowledges that whether or not Iran gets nuclear weapons isn't our [ __ ] Business to a point we have preparatory talks and you send the vice president at the end of
the process in order to break the logic. Uh stay with us if you would. I do have to take a break. Um but I have more to finish on this. Internationalism baby. Oh yeah. It's not who gives a [ __ ] if any country wants a nuclear weapon. International sovereignty, dude. Okay, that's a take. On Friday this past week, we saw the president announce 10 days of pause um to halt the fighting between basically we the liberals in chat aren't saying Democrats aren't subservient to Israel. We are saying they're less stupid than Trump. Probably sufficiently
unsuperri happening in the first place. The strikes were just too dumb. Okay, but this is like genuinely this is the lowest bar imaginable. And also you're basically saying like well the Democrats would have raped us more like kindly, I guess. Like the Democrats would also enable a non-stop state of war in the Middle East where Israel gets to attack their neighboring countries and Democrats lie to defend them non-stop. But at least they would have been like slightly more intelligent in their defense. If that's the best argument you have, I genuinely, and I'm not kidding, prefer
the Republicans cuz at least they're [ __ ] enough to make a spectacle out of it. I would rather Republicans like do do the same thing but stupider so at least everyone can pay attention to how bad it is rather than the Democrats like ineptly feebly going through the same you know rigomearroll but doing it with a modicum of competence so we get to maintain the empire for another 20 years like what we're doing is bad that Trump is doing it stupidly is I guess like a Multiplicative factor but the underlying equation like you can
multiply it times 1.5 all you want if the starting number is bad the end number is going to be bad. It's it you you we need to fix the underlying problem here, man. Like, isn't it bad that the Liberal Party, the Democrats, is in favor of unpopular permanent war in the Middle East to be differential to the political and military interests of Israel? Like, isn't that bad? Is that not a concern? Isn't that illiberal? Like, at least the Republicans are doing an illiberal thing, right? Like, that's on brand for them. They're not liberals, so they're
doing something illiberal. But the Democrats are also doing something illiberal, but they're supposed to be the liberals. I don't under like Isn't that a problem for you? I don't I see I like I don't know. I feel like the Democrats should be proposing some kind of meaningful alternative a little bit. Hezbollah and Israel, which is basically linked to the the big deal he really wants to get to with Iran. What do you make of this truth? So, a few things. One, I'm glad. It'd be it'd be like SPD fans in the 1930s being like, "Well,
we were going to do the Holocaust, too, but we were going to do it nonviolently or whatever. We were just going to deport them, not kill them." Like, bro, what in the actual [ __ ] man? What are we do? Ah, it's the [ __ ] SPD [ __ ] Why does no one reads anything, man? What the [ __ ] No one reads anything really. Are we going to say that the Soviets and the which again the Communist Party in Germany were pro-s Soviet. They were Soviet back. They were Soviet funded. They got their
[ __ ] marching orders from the Soviets. We're going to say the Soviets were um less anti-Semitic than the SPD and [ __ ] What the [ __ ] man? Oh, God. It's [ __ ] It's crazy. It's out. It's outrageous. Where's the quote? SPD bad was the original Dems's bad, dude. It's never It's never escaped us. Vos loves talking about the Vimmer Republic. Yeah, well, you can love talking about something. Doesn't necessarily imply anything's going to follow. Where is this thing not working? Are you [ __ ] mad, dude? What's wrong with you? Hey,
what do you want from me? Let's try this. H might have destroyed my USB drive. Nice one. Let's go. Okay, let me see. Oh, it's there. There's a problem with this drive. No, there's not. There's never a problem. Scanning and repairing. Oh [ __ ] It's not even the one that has my [ __ ] books on it. Oh god. Where is my uh Let me see. Let me see. Uh oh, I can get it online. This is a one that you can just see on a PDF. Great job, man. I'm trying. It's just It's
okay. The editor can work with it. Uh yo, will you let me word search, please? The SPD gets all this [ __ ] flak. Meanwhile, while they're still getting [ __ ] jailed and arrested for fighting against the Nazis, you got these [ __ ] despite this is the executive committee of the commenter and this is the German Communist Party who fought against the SPD called them the biggest enemies despite the fascist terror. This is after the enabling act. So the Nazis are full on running the show now. Despite the fascist terror, the revolutionary upturn
in Germany will inexraably grow. The masses defense against fascism will also ine inexraably grow. The establishment of an openly fascist dictatorship which has shattered every democratic appropriate illusion in the masses and is liberating the masses from the influence of the social democrats is accelerating the tempo of Germany's Development towards a proletarian revolution. They held by this for at least two years, at least until like 1935. They held by this position, ratified it, and then people in the in the subreddit and chat are like, "Well, it would have been better than what the Nazis did." And
like, "Yeah, I I guess. I don't know if that's a good position to start from." That the fire is halted, even if it's a pause. The worrisome part is that it was seen as a ceasefire that was brokered by Iran uh by insisting on a Lebanese ceasefire before they would show up to talks in Pakistan. That's a disaster because the one thing we have always been emphasizing Iran does not control Lebanon. It is none of their business what happens in Lebanon. KZBA has been unmasked in this conflict over the last couple years as not really
a Lebanese fighting organization or terrorist organization as they claim, but rather they said we are doing this at the behest of the Iranians. And this is just a lie. But it's good to hear the Democrats repeating the same lies that Israel and the Republicans do. Hezbollah is the deacto military of Lebanon. That's a way to put it. They're the de facto military of Lebanon. That is such a that's a take. That's like saying Israel is the [ __ ] de facto military Of the West Bank. Like what? That doesn't make any What the [ __
] man? Israel is the de facto military of Palestine. What? Excuse me. And the Republic just a lie. But it's good to hear the Democrats repeating the same lies that Israel and the Republicans do. Hezbollah is the de facto military of Lebanon formed because the Lebanese government is inept and weak and also because Israel keeps [ __ ] invading Lebanon. Like so for him to repeat that like again the underlying logic remains the same, doesn't it? Whether it's Republican or Democrat, the logic here is well attacking Hezbollah isn't really attacking Lebanon, you know. Yeah, it
might be an army hundreds of thousands of people strong that defends and represents the interests of the majority of Lebanon. And bro, it's Kyle did this as well. Why Why are people allowed to get away with this [ __ ] [ __ ] Why are people Why are people so [ __ ] like brazen with this [ __ ] The majority of the people in Lebanon, how is that? What do you know about Lebanon, mate? What the [ __ ] the majority of the bro the majority of Shiites like the who make up a third
of Lebanon like and not even all of them anymore like what the [ __ ] my oh god you can look at like you can find polls on this like from not even that long ago Lebanon pole Hezbollah weapons why you know Lebanon's like a democracy Right like as in at least more so than its neighbors uh how are they able to have a president and a prime minister both who agree that Hezbollah's milit should be illegal. Like, how does that happen if Hezbollah represents the majority of the people in Lebanon or their interests? No,
it [ __ ] doesn't. You can ask Lebanese people if you ever give a [ __ ] if you ever care about them. Lebanon wants state control of weapons. Do you believe the Lebanese army should be the only group allowed to maintain weapons in Lebanon or not? 79% yes. 19. No. This is uh summer last year. This is after the Pedro operation. This is after Israel's incursion into Lebanon in the south. This is after they raised full [ __ ] villages to the ground. Lebanon does not want Hezbollah because people understand. People in Lebanon for
the most part are quite aware that the reason Israel keeps coming into [ __ ] Lebanon is because Hezbollah keeps firing at Israel. Dude, only Lebanese Shia oppose disarming non-state actors. Do you believe that the Lebanese army should be the only group allowed to maintain weapons in Lebanon or not? 79% yes. 92% Christians, 89 Drews, 87 Sunni, and 827 Shia. Even the Shiites, man, like this used to be like 85 90 Shia approval of even Shia approval of Hezbollah is declining. Even though Hezbollah are literally like to some Shiites the only [ __ ] lifeline
that they've ever had in terms of domestic policy like welfare and things like that, man. Holy [ __ ] What are we doing? In case V vow ever comes across, I have no idea if you would ever watch my content, but in case people are wondering like why why Sunnis why Sunni Muslims are basically almost the same level of disapproval for Hezbollah as Christians are. Uh that's because Hzbollah helped Assad murder like hundreds of thousands of Sunnis in Syria. Like Hezbollah have a huge [ __ ] rift with like and a huge lasting lingering fear
of Sunni extremism and obviously that results in them being quite harsh to Syrians, Syrian refugees. Sunnis who opposed them. They literally [ __ ] assassinated a Sunni prime minister in 2005 for opposing them and for opposing Syrian occupation. Why do people do this, man? It's so [ __ ] stupid. Why Why are people allowed to get away with this idea that Hezbollah like literally might makes right? Oh, they're the strongest fighting force in Lebanon. That means that they're we must assume that they represent the interests of the majority of Lebanese. Holy [ __ ] dude.
Pew or someone else just released a new poll or someone uh that confirmed the same thing. It it's it's been this case. It's been this way for so long. I think it's maybe just after October 7th you had like some Sunnis and Christians in larger numbers kind of be like, "Hey, there's, you know, supporting the Palestinians." That was it though that it was immediately [ __ ] downhill after that because again he he was saying that like Hezbollah exists Because Israel can't stop invading Lebanon. Okay. Follow that logic. Then why did Hezbollah continue attacking after
Israel left Lebanon? Why? The UN drew a blue line and they said, "This is Lebanon. This is Israel." And then the IDF went all the way past the blue line. They even had to [ __ ] take down a fence of one of their um northern communities and just move it a few meters to the south just to make sure everything was across the blue line. And Isba still kept firing. They still kept firing. assuming the military represents the people is pretty flashy, not going to lie. Well, ironically, the Lebanese army is actually one of
the most popular institutions in Lebanon because it's one of the few things that the Lebanese government actually has sovereignty over like completely gets authentically Lebanese like the Lebanese army. It's actually also over represents Shiites as well. Shiites are in the army as well, like in larger numbers than they are representing the entire population. Um, but again, no one gives a no one gives a [ __ ] there. And the only reason, by the way, that Hezbollah were the only group that was excluded from the TIFF agreement in '89, the group that disarmed all the other
non-state factions and militias, it was because they they couldn't be disarmed because they were too strong and because Iran made them strong enough to do that. The official Lebanese government is too weak to do anything about it. And you know, in large part power, the Lebanese government, Israel doesn't want to fight the Lebanese government, though. That's why they're talking right now. So that's why they signed a ceasefire deal that was probably one of the most generous ceasefire deals in Favor of the attacker or the I guess like the uh occupier or whatever that you'll ever
there's no like look at this is this was the uh result of the talks between the government and Israel in Lebanon following productive direct talks on April 14th between the governments of the Republic of Lebanon here and after Lebanon and the state of Israel Israel brokered by the United States of America Lebanon and Israel have reached an understanding in which both nations will work to create conditions conducive to lasting peace between the two countries, full recognition of each other's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and establishing genuine security along their shared border while preserving Israel's inherent right
to self-defense. Now, this is a uh that sentence is very, very strategically placed, as we're about to find out. Both countries recognize the significant challenges faced by the Lebanese state from non-state armed groups which undermine Lebanon sovereignty and threaten regional stability. Both countries understand that those groups activities must be curtailed such that the only forces authorized to bear arms in Lebanon will be the Lebanese armed forces, internal security forces, directorate of general security, director general director of state security, Lebanese customs and municipal police here and after Lebanon security forces. Israel and Lebanon affirm that the
two countries are not at war and commit to engaging in good faith direct negotiations facilitated by the United States with the objective of achieving a Comprehensive agreement that ensures lasting security, stability and peace. But I know why I know why the reason people like Vos or Kyle can probably get around this is I would imagine um if it's all it's all heristics with these people that's why they they say these things that are literally based on [ __ ] nothing, right? I think it's Do you think there are people who just believe that the Lebanese
government are like like dictators? Like they're just they're disappointed by the United States like like the same way LCC is in Egypt or like just some military-industrial complex backed like Ha leader. Do you think that's why they believe that? Like do they just not know? Do they just not know that Lebanon's prime minister and uh president are they're the product of a democratic process? So how could Leban how could if Hezbollah actually represented the desires of most Lebanese people then you would never why would you have a president and prime minister both of whom agree
Hzbollah should be disarmed. Why? How Israel and Lebanon affirm that the two countries are not at war. Okay. Okay. To that end the United States understands the following. Israel and Lebanon will implement a sessation of facilities beginning on April 16th, 2026 for an initial period of 10 days as a gesture of goodwill by the government of Israel intended to enable good faith Negotiations toward a permanent security and peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon. This initial period may be extended by mutual agreement between Lebanon and Israel if progress is demonstrated in the negotiations and as Lebanon
effectively demonstrates its ability to assert its sovereignty. Israel shall preserve its right to take all necessary This is the this is the bit that you will never see in a ceasefire agreement like for another hundred years, right? Israel shall preserve its right to take all necessary measures in self-defense at any time against planned, imminent or ongoing attacks. This shall not be impeded by the sessation of hostilities. This is a ceasefire deal negotiated between the Israeli and Lebanese governments brokered by the United States that is saying that Israel reserves the right to strike if they believe
an attack is being planned. Not imminent. Okay. Not necessarily just planned. Like if some [ __ ] Hezbollah dudes get around a round table in [ __ ] I don't even know like in binge bail or whatever and they say, "Yeah, let's get some rockets. Let's uh what do you think? Get for some rockets. Yeah, right. Maybe, maybe not. Yeah, good idea. Adra can bomb them in the middle of a ceasefire per the terms. This is how [ __ ] Hezbollah are. This is how much no one [ __ ] No one likes them in
the region. Like, no one wants them. The Lebanese government doesn't want them. The Americans don't like them. The Israelis don't like them. The [ __ ] Syrians absolutely don't like them. Bro, Besides this, it will not carry out any offensive military operations against Lebanese targets, including civilian military and other state targets in the territory of Lebanon by land, air, and sea. Is loner box Arab just the good half? On April 16th from 2026, forward with international support, the government of Lebanon will take meaningful steps to prevent Hezbollah and all other rogue non-state armed groups in
the territory of Lebanon from carrying out any attacks, operations, or hostile activities against Israeli targets. All parties recognize Lebanon's security forces as having exclusive responsibility for Lebanon's sovereignty and national defense. No other country or group has claimed to be the guarantor of Lebanon's sovereignty. Israel and Lebanon request that the United States facilitate further direct negotiations between the two countries with the objective of resolving all remaining issues, including demarcation of the international land boundary with a view to concluding a comprehensive agreement that ensures lasting security, stability, and peace between the two countries. The United States understands
that the above commitments will be accepted by Israel and Lebanon concurrently with this announcement. These commitments are designed to create the conditions necessary for good faith negotiations towards enduring peace and security. The United States further intends to lead international efforts to support Lebanon as a component of its broader effort to advance stability and prosperity in the region. Dude, what the [ __ ] What are we doing, man? What is this? What is this madness? Hezbollah is literally the Azov Battalion. The Lebanese government doesn't like them because they're showing how inept they are at defending their
country. It's so [ __ ] [ __ ] Matt. How is How the [ __ ] is Hezbollah defending Lebanon? How? Rest assured, if you're in Beirut and there's a [ __ ] bomb going off next to you, rest assured that Hezbollah will fire some rockets back from the south, most of which will miss. And then their top generals will just run round and [ __ ] hide in other communities, uh, taking Israeli intelligence and [ __ ] drones with them. Like, come on, man. Holy [ __ ] legitimacy in governments derives from a monopoly
on the ability to commit violence. But you know, forget all of that. They're fake. It's like a fake group. Just a few hundred thousand people and a bunch of weapons. Why 100,000 people? Dude, I think upper estimates don't put them above like 50,000 fighters. I don't know why hundreds of thousands, but okay. Maybe he's talking about the Shia population in general, but rockets and missiles and stuff. Don't worry about it. You know, allowing the Iranians to dictate terms is not a good thing. However, direct talks between Israel, even at the lower level, at the ambassador
level, is a good development. Which congressman is this guy? Uh, moderate Orthodox, born in Jerusalem, uh, worked as a lobbyist and consultant for a Houstonbased uh, fossil fuel company, been in and out of Democrat administrations for 20 years, advised The Biden administration for the Department of Energy. Um, close competent of Biden throughout his presidency, now works as a I really, this [ __ ] slay of hand is so stupid as well. this idea that like Hezbollah only exists because of Israeli occupation. Um, Medi Assan does this as well and he knows he's doing it because
he's just a very [ __ ] talented slime [ __ ] Like this idea that if there's Oh, well, why did Israel go into Lebanon in 78 when there was no his bullet? Oh, yeah. Well, that's because the PLO were attacking Israel. Like, they literally sent [ __ ] dudes in. Fata actually sent people in and massacred a bunch of [ __ ] civilians on a bus just north of Tel Aviv. That's why Israel went into Lebanon the first time. Like the common denominator there is there are people there are groups in Lebanon either Hezbollah
or the PLO at what point or the other that is launching attacks from Lebanon into Israel. Without that there, Israel doesn't go into Lebanon. Why would they? A senior manager at some hedge fund. Yeah. least the least corrupt Democrat consultant. It's it's that [ __ ] innate Jewish desire. That's what it is. It's that it's that pressing Jewish desire to to govern the city of Sidon to govern [ __ ] Bale to govern Marun Alas. Yeah, that's what that's what every uh every Israeli in the north yearns for Marun Ros yet found. We found the
most ethical, least compromised democratic consultant. Most of the Lebanese people want to see a lasting ceasefire. Even if they don't want to see a peace agreement, they want to see end of conflict. But we have to have a serious effort here. There's such a great moment of opportunity. It will not be a moment of opportunity if Israel is occupying a significant part of Lebanon uh to reestablish a buffer zone. I mean, without Iran's weapons, what would Hezbollah be? A army of hundreds of thousands of people with lots of weapons. Why? What the [ __ ]
man? Oh god. Sure. What you mean? Like Iran does back Hezbollah, but the idea that Hezbollah exists only because of Iran is just just factually incorrect. They exist because Israel invaded Lebanon. Like they were they formed because Israel invaded Lebanon and were forced to leave. I mean the only reason Hezbollah were able to survive the Ty agreement was probably because of Iran. No, you think how how else would they have managed to get a hold of so much weaponry and training? Like they were literally formed in Lebanon by like IRGC men. like there were IGC
men in who went to Lebanon to help the likes of NASA and the other founding figures of Hezbollah to actually get started and give them training. And you can tell because the Amal movement that came before Hezbollah were nothing like that. Like they were just whatever. [ __ ] I think even compared to the Houthies like the Hezbollah like Hezbollah literally like pledges allegiance to Iran like dude leave. Thank you Reagan. That won't work because ultimately that will help reestablish its political footing and their narrative. So we have to get to the table create a
make sure Israel withdraws from Lebanon, stop the fighting uh and give the actual help to Lebanon. Right. Right. I'm curious what what why Vosch would have this position though because I remember I seem to remember Vosch being very anti-Assad and also anti-Russia. Does he not know that Hezbollah literally joined in the Syrian civil war to help Assad stay in power that they took a pretty disconnected and pretty [ __ ] stretched thin poorly trained Syrian army and gave them training, filled in logistical gaps, helped lead operations, helped them with [ __ ] sieges, actually helped
them in a few crucial battles that might have uh cost Assad if not the entire war. definitely like a large piece of territory and a large piece of u like military contiguity. They might have even lost part of Damascus if Hezbollah hadn't been there um in the early years of the war. And that obviously Russia joined in as well on that side too. Yeah, I really I really do wonder what about the demolitions in the area. Does this speak to a desire to remain and rebuild? I don't think so. know I think it speaks to
a desire to basically to say that like they this current Israeli government basically thinks that you cannot have security in uh Israel without just whilst Shiites still live like near the [ __ ] border. Like that's it. Um that's probably how they see it. What have we Yeah. Breaking ceasefire news statement of Donald J. Trump, sorry, President, excuse me, based on the fact that the government of Iran is seriously fractured, not unexpectedly so, and upon the request of Field Marshall Assim Munir and Prime Minister Shabbaz Sharif of Pakistan, we have been asked to hold our
attack on the country of Iran until such time as their leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal. I have therefore directed our military to continue the blockade in all other respects, remain ready and able and will therefore extend the ceasefire until such time as their proposal is submitted and discussions are concluded one way or the other. President Donald J. Trump, look at him go. Nothing ever happens. Nothing ever happens where they're keeping up the blockade, kicking the can down the road, shall we say. sheet to disarm Kuzbal. They cannot do it on
their own. Ambassador Waltz um on that. Can they do that? And and to be clear, the Israelis have said not only that they they're going to stay in southern Lebanon. They're also very much an Iranian proxy. Both labels are true. I feel like calling Hezbollah an Iranian proxy is like calling Ukraine an American proxy. Like they receive our weapons and training and you know, not as much as I'd like, but they do receive our weapons and training. And also there's like a shared geopolitical interest, but the and the Ukraine typically swears allegiance to the United
States and to the president and quotes him every time He's got No, that's not the same. And also Ukraine's a sovereign nation with a sovereign military. Like they've got their own army and [ __ ] Hezbollah are a proxy. They're they're not the Lebanese state. They're not the Lebanese government. They're not the Lebanese army. They're not They're not that. They're a different [ __ ] They're a militia. They're a very very [ __ ] large militia. That's it. And they're only allow able to be a militia of that size. They're only allowed to have an
army of that size because of Iranian support. Lebanon won't be allowed an army, will it? Vos, dude. These people can these people, man. [ __ ] me. The impetus from the Ukrainians to defend themselves would exist whether or not America had anything to do with it. Likewise with ally, not a proxy. Why? Why? Why did Well, yeah. someone, hey, dream canoe, let's go. Hezbollah had literal IRGC officers in their structures. They were their their founding involved IRGC people like going to Lebanon to to train the people and to help them set up the movement. Hezbollah
Hezbollah has literal IRGC officers in the structures. Yeah. And Ukraine is Yeah. And there there CIA guys going around. It's not the Oh god. It's not the same. It's not even [ __ ] slightly the same, man. Direct training from NATO officers. I'm just saying that the impetus from Hezbollah and the Lebanese people to defend themselves against Israel exists whether or not Iran supplies them with arms or people like it's that's just it's just a fact you know but also takes some of the territory that they had seized after Assad fell in Syria. So it's
this is that's a serious negotiation that has this is a tactical victory for Israel that it's interesting because when uh Hezbollah were formed in their early year what Hezbollah haven't changed all that much ideologically apart from when it comes to Lebanese nationalism. One area where they did change was that Hezbollah initially basically followed the Iranian line which was that the uh Iranian revolution was going to be exported as in they were going to spread the revolution across what they call the um like the the Muslim nation. uh Hezbollah initially were talking about an Islamic Lebanon.
So when you went uh when you walked around the streets in like southern Lebanon and in the Bea and even in southern Beiru when you did that like in the 80s these areas looked almost exactly like the places in Iran as in like pictures of the Ayatollah everywhere. Um they had their own they had a their own equivalent of the morality police. Uh they were talking about an Islamic state of Lebanon that would be a proxy and an ally of Iran like the whole country. But then and they had chance like they would literally that's
why also a lot of their lefty [ __ ] uh potential allies were murdered by Hezbollah. Um a lot of their first victims when it came to political uh internal violence were yeah they were they were leftwingers. Uh because one of their big slogans was like neither America nor Communism like as in Arabic it was more catchy. Um but that's one thing that they they deviated from later on because they started to accept that especially after the civil war ended uh and after the ty agreement that Hezbollah did not have the strength to take over
all of Lebanon and turn it into an Islamic state. So they they they appealed more to nationalism and they because Israel was occupying the country they appealed to national sentiment and said we are defending the nation of Lebanon against uh foreign aggression against Zionist aggression. And then that was when Hezbollah started to become more moderate on issues like uh the national pact in Lebanon. They used to oppose it completely. And then by the 2000s, NRA is giving interviews saying he's actually don't really have any big plans for uh they don't have any big plans for
going against the the national pack. They were okay with it. They were going to at least live with it. Um but no, not in the beginning. In the beginning, they were trying to export the Iranian revolution across all of Lebanon. They wanted Lebanon to be like Iran. lead once again an overreach that will lead them to to lose more ground. I want to ask you um as a Democrat, uh there was this extraordinary vote this past week and 40 Senate Democrats tried to block a US weapons sale to Israel. Um and that adds to this
growing rift we have seen between your party and Benjamin Netanyahu. Do you think Democrats are going to come to regret this break in the alliance? So I hope that it's not a break in the alliance. I think this what it really demonstrates is for the last several years, Prime Minister Netanyahu has Sacrificed Israel's interest in the United States. The most important asset the Israel has is not its military or its intelligence. The framing Yeah, the the framing there was crazy. Do you think Americans will come to regret not supporting Israel? What the [ __ ]
do you mean by that? Hey, what the [ __ ] do you mean? Excuse me. Who's the [ __ ] superpower here? I'm sorry. Do you think Democrats will come to regret no longer defying the wishes of their uh constituency by supporting a tiny ethnostate in the Middle East that has like 120th the population of the United States and is totally dependent on uh on American aid and political support? You think will regret that? It's the relationship special relationship with the United States that has been bipartisan for so many decades. He has destroyed that because
he has decided to become not just part of the Republican party, but he's decided to become just an an appendage of Donald Trump. And so every Oh yeah, that's the problem with uh with Israel that Netanyahu's gone Republican. Hey, I wonder why uh Biden was so differential to him then. You know, this is they literally fought all the [ __ ] time. the um the initial Israeli idea on October 7th to respond uh was to was to do what they're doing now in Lebanon was to go for a full-scale war against Hezbollah as well as
Hamas like to quote unquote deter them. Uh and it was actually Blinken that's that in large part I think mostly was the one who talked them out of doing it. This is the baby loves Donald Trump. Oh my god, those guys those guys are [ __ ] besties. naked cowardice of a person whose only job is to make sure the Democrats remain complicit as well. It's it's totally like get us someone other than Netanyahu who will do a better job of respecting the bipartisan consensus of American deference to Israel. You know, Democrat now sees if
you want to be Trump, great. If we're anti-Trump, then by de facto, we are against you. I think this is a lot to do with BB Netanyahu and his extremist right-wing government and not to do with Israel. Look, you have half of Israel is voting. Of course, he's saying that even though the entire government is far right against BB. Yeah. So, I I think this Democrats should be aligning. Why do you torture yourself watching this? Cuz I'm not I'm not going to be satisfied until everyone who watches me understand that everything happening right now would
be happening if Kla Harris won. All of the underlying everything. Not exactly the same, but fundamentally the same. And if you can't see the difference between those two things, I genuinely don't think you're mature enough to understand the content that I produce on this channel. Cuz I keep having arguments about Oh, [ __ ] I was inclined to disagree with that with that particular take that it would all be the same when the Democrats, but oh [ __ ] now that you say that I lack the maturity. Oh no, I don't want to be perceived
that way. What if I want the maturity? Oh no, I guess I guess if you put it that way, I tend to want to agree with you. [ __ ] Got him this minimum. Thanks for the dono. How optimistic are you in regards to the Israeli Lebanese peace talks? Is my government stupid enough to screw up striking a deal with maybe the most peace forward Lebanese government ever? Yes, they are. Also, the majority of Lebanese people want to disarm Hezbollah. That's true. Despite what our Middle East connoisseur Ian Voinsky is saying, but the majority of
Lebanese people also oppose normalization with Israel. They don't want that. It's like less than a fifth of them support that. Um, I think there's a problem where like the Israeli right-wingers just get so [ __ ] deranged and tunnel visioned about this idea that they can like force is like the only answer to [ __ ] everything. And if they just put like, oh, security zone in the south, that's the only priority they come up with. Um, they're not going to be able to reconcile that desire with the stability of the Lebanese government. and tying
this idea of like Israeli buffer zones taking up 5 to 10% of the country or Israeli normalization being tied to disarming Hezbollah. Uh this is only going to hurt the Lebanese government and eventually get them kicked out. Uh you don't need like Lebanese people don't need to like Hezbollah to hate Israel. Like they don't need that. They tend to hate Israel and they hate his majority Lebanese opinion. Um, so Yeah, I think it's probably more likely than not that the Israeli government will probably kill that goodwill and the next Lebanese government will just be they
might not be Hezbollah friendly, but they will definitely be less Israel friendly. Like the last time you had a Lebanese government like this was probably Hariri and he got killed by Syria, Hezbollah, Iran, whatever the [ __ ] I think they were kind of all in on it. ZJM, thanks for the dono. $5. Really appreciate that. Let me find some more. Mina for the tier four sub. Hello. Hello. Barbass, thanks for $5. Learn box is going to suffer from an utterly apocalyptic cortisol spike at this rate. I'm having fun. What? Blackpilled Kiwi, thanks for the
five New Zealand. Thanks to 10 New Zealand. I'm not crazy enough to follow Vosch into his analysis, but trying to argue that the 12-day strikes aren't relevant to this current crisis is dumb. Trump got away with hitting the material and thought he could go further than that. When convinced by Netanyahu, no damn would believe that [ __ ] I'm sorry. Like, if you want to change the entire argument that was being made, obviously I'd be it would be different. But Vos was saying that because some Democrats, not even all of them, some Democrats support the
12-day war, that means they would also support this one. That's the argument the VA is making. Like they're not saying that the two things are completely irrelevant. Of course they're relevant to another. They're the same country bombing the same country. [ __ ] Stop doing this. Stop serving this M Bailey [ __ ] Bar $95. Which way? Western man. Believing Camela Harris or believing Vosch's majestic well-commed beard and mustache. It is very well combed. I don't know how he does that because I do try to use a comb on mine when it's growing out, but
it just never whatever he's doing. I don't know what it is. Henrik, Botman, Toby, Zjam, and Bunnies, all thank you so much for the various subs. Wow. Tier four, tier two, tier one, tier two, tier one. Wow. The goal is four off, you guys. Four off. Get it. People are like, well, well, if Kamla Harris was a president, then this little thing would have been a different Yeah, but the nation of the United States has been on a long terminal decline for decades, and it's not been up to the whims of the president Trump. Okay?
It has been a product of a bipartisan consensus and certain policy decisions, one of which being our deference to Israel. With Israel, not with BB. But I think this is a very big wakeup call this week. That vote significant vote. Disgusting. Well, anyway, I [ __ ] told you. He did tell us. He told us so many things. [ __ ] me, man. You can't say he didn't tell you. That's That is true. Man, it's funny when people are talking about Hezbollah and Yeah, I bookmarked a few of these as well, like all the videos
of Hezbollah parading their dead around the country. Um, polls from 2025 show 79% of Lebanese support disarming Hzbollah. Only 17% support normalization with Israel. Yeah, that's what I said. Lebanon's a flawed democracy. Public opinion there matters if the US focuses on steps to disarm Hezbollah. These steps would enjoy popular support and political backing. Steps such as removing from the judiciary, military, security services, poor authority, border crossings, etc. officials who serve Hezbollah and disobey the state. Bolstering LAF capabilities. This Lebanese armed forces deploy across the country. Financial and legal reforms to help dry Hezbollah's illicit economy.
Oh yeah, they sell drugs a lot as well as uh there's like there's at least some Hezbollah top officials who have been caught uh human trafficking particularly in Syrian refugee women. Um pushing for demarcation of the Syria Lebanon border, specifically the Sheba farms area. Oh yeah. Battling corruption to ensure no reconstruction funds are siphoned off by political parties, including Hezbollah, Once those are granted. Garnering vows of Gulf countries to reconstruct Lebanon once Hezbollah is disarmed. This was a condition they already placed in 2024, but should be made publicly with numbers attached to pledges. The US
should focus on a new security agreement between Israel and Lebanon, which would include border demarcation to end Hezbollah's silly claims about occupied lands. By the way, anyone who ever brings up Sheba farms as an excuse for Hezbollah to do what they're doing is completely [ __ ] [ __ ] and you should just ignore everything they have to say about Lebanon. Okay, heads up. What does demarcation mean? Demarcation, I'll show you what demarcation means. Sometimes there are countries that don't like each other, okay? and they're kind of like like say this is one country and
here's another country but this country is like I like this little bit and they're like oh let's fight here and then this one is occupying like this whole bit here and they're they're sometimes another party or the countries involved or the UN or whatever will eventually need to be like guys okay Listen, let's go back. Let's look at the French colonial maps or the British colonial maps or the imperial maps of the Ottomans or the [ __ ] British or whatever else. Or let's look at the ethnography. Let's look at the mapographers, the ctographers, that's
what they're called. And uh Okay. Right. So, we can conclude that about here we're going to put a little blue line. This is the UN doing their because they like blue lines. This is This is the border, okay? You get that. You get that here. [ __ ] do that. I don't know how this happened, but it's real. Okay. The world approves. And they're like, "There's your new borders." Okay. Get [ __ ] The problem with Lebanon is the following. Yes. Yes. Demarcation is when mapmen draw lines. Yes. And then people respect the [ __
] out of those lines. Otherwise, there will be an assembly resolution against them. They'll get strongly worded letters. The problem with Lebanon and Hezbollah and demarcation and all that [ __ ] is the following. First of all, Lebanon and uh Israel never really had a very great border to begin with because the French were just not as good at drawing lines on maps as the British were. So since the 48 war actually there were quite a few villages here that Lebanon uh or Palestinians or Israelis or whatever like would argue about who belong what belonged
to whom. Okay, but that's that's basically been resolved. Uh in ' 67 when Syria uh Jordan and Egypt had fought with Israel, um Israel occupied the Golan Heights. And the Golan Heights entails this little bit here, which is a formerly Syrian bit of land called the Sheba Farms. Now, to call them farms anymore is kind of generous. It's just like a bit it's like A very small kind of like baron bit of land. Sheba is also like a little town in Lebanon like somewhere around here can't remember but there are people from this place when
Syria so pre67 when Syria had sovereignty over this area the people who lived around this border community would sometimes come to the sheba farms and the people who lived in the sheba farms very few of them had more of them had Lebanese uh passports than Syrian so it was always a bit of a weird one because There's never been any decisive like French map that demarcated Lebanon from Syria. So many years go by. Israel still holds the Golan Heights including the Sheba farms. Hezbollah are on the scene but uh also from the 80s onwards from
the 80s onwards uh Israel is occupying like this little bit here of Lebanon as well. It's not actually that little. It's quite big. They're occupying this. And then in 2000 under Ahud Barak they decide to completely withdraw. They completely withdraw from Lebanon. But where is Lebanon? Where is the line? We don't actually have a there's no final decision on where the line is. So the UN gets together. They consult all their little [ __ ] maps. I think they looked at like 20 25 French Syrian uh British maps and they decide that this line here
is going to be the border between Israel and Lebanon. This blue line here. And this blue line is Respected so [ __ ] hard that Israel has like a few towns around here particularly. One of them had a fence that was like a few meters across the line and they literally had to pull down the fence and move it a little bit to the east and to the south to just keep within this blue line. So they're at the blue line, but the problem is is that this blue line puts the Sheba farms, as did
most of these maps, puts the Sheba farms in Syrian territory. And the Lebanese government, a few Lebanese politicians and especially Hezbollah said, "Well, sorry, but the UN, you haven't resolved the shepherds. That's Lebanese land." And at one point, the Syrian foreign minister also said that this is Lebanese land. But Assad said it's not. So you have mixed messages coming from the Syrian government on where this actually goes. the people who are tied to the shepherd farms, I guess, like historically, are easily more likely Lebanese than uh Syrian. Like this place should have gone to Syria
at some point. But now that it's Israeli occupied and it's Syria sovereign territory according to the UN, the only way that this goes back to anyone is if one, Israel gets a peace deal with Syria and they give it up and then Syria formally, not just a [ __ ] foreign minister in a press interview, hands it over officially to Lebanon. That's how that would have to get resolved. So that's the Sheba farms. That's what demarcation is very important in these territories. And that's why, and Hezbollah uses this as their excuse, by The way. Hezbollah
says that the Shabba farms is uh why Israel still occupies Lebanon and that we're still okay to fight them. Even though most Hezbollah rockets don't go here, they go they go around here. But on October 8th, interestingly, the first place that Hezbollah struck was the Sheba farms because there are Israeli military installations and a couple of soldiers will patrol around here. So that's the the first place that Hezbollah fired rockets on was Sheba farms. But long story short, it's an excuse. It's that's all it is. It's still officially Syrian land occupied by Israel. And the
Syrian government has never officially handed over to Lebanon. So any resolution on the shepherd of farms is going to have to be an agreement that takes place between Israel, Syria, and Lebanon. They're going to have to decide what happens to this. The UN though has said that the border is here. See that? The UN decided that Sheba is not Lebanese when they drew this line. The farms, I mean. Anyway, boom. [ __ ] That's what she means by this is a she, right? Yeah. That's what she means by um silly claims about occupied lands. Steps
towards normalization will reduce the political support for any negotiations with Israel, especially the crucial support of Nab Bi. Such steps is it like five square km tops more closer to 20 15 20 such steps would also destabilize and weaken the Lebanese government which is committed to working on Hzbollah's disarmament after the militia dragged the country into two destructive wars in the span of 3 years. You know who this is? She was kidnapped by oh Kibzbalah not the um you mean Katibbala right? Not like just recently. Still an Iranian proxy but it's not the same as
in Lebanon. Once Hezbollah is disarmed and Israel no longer occupies Lebanese land, all actors involved can decide whether to pursue normalization. The law banning contact even with ordinary Israelis is draconic and harmful. But listen, linking normalization to Hezbollah's disarmament helps Hezbollah since normalization is deeply unpopular among the Lebanese population. I mean, that's just true. Like, they shouldn't be trying to do normalization. Like, not now. as cute as that would be. Man, it's funny that like on one side you've got all these people like Vosch Kolinsky or whatever else like saying that acting like Hezbollah represents
popular will in Lebanon or that they're I mean everyone basically is saying they're defenders of Lebanon. Like so many people saying that. Um despite that, Memory TV are having a [ __ ] field day with this [ __ ] with all these Lebanese pundits, politicians, analysts, whatever, uh, [ __ ] on on Did they not say le? They just say they say le man [ __ ] dialects, dude. Just chopping off all the all the [ __ ] Oh, that's the gayish. Yes. I hope so. Oh no. My Lebanese American friend pronounces falafel as falafel.
Is this how it's pronounced there or in a certain region or is he just diaspora? Falafel. Um, there are lots of words that go that are usually like in Lebanon they turn a lot of a into a's. That's that's all I remember. So that maybe it says I think if he's saying peace there salah it would normally be it would normally be salam right note that's is that like a Lebanonism Lebanonism Israel. Is this [ __ ] host's entire job to just to go? Is he just a [ __ ] They need to give him
a soundboard every time this guy talks crashing out type [ __ ] And then the host is just like For they do that as well. Is is that another thing? Like cuz I when I hear other Arabs talk about Lebanon, they call it libnan, but he's saying [ __ ] weird. And we get it, bro. You're trying to be unique. Okay, cool. Cute. Was this the guy that did he speak on Pierce Morgan? Isn't this the guy? Link, please. Oh, wait. Why? What are you doing with this information? Which people call it Fallstine? Like all
of them? That's That's just the Arabic word. How do they pronounce Lebny? Like that? That's how my dad says it anyway. Although it's got it's a bit more punchy. Isn't this the guy chat? Subscribe you [ __ ] [ __ ] I mean, sorry.